My 2013 Mock Draft

Some mocks have Eric Fisher overtaking him, but Luke Joeckel will be the No. 1 pick according to Peter King.

Dave Martin/AP

I say it every year, but this time I really mean it: There'll be a mad dash to trade down from the top. There's no Andrew Luck superstar to froth over, but there's good depth from 10 to 50. Here's how Round 1 will play out.

(Editor's Note: NFL Draft Live: 3 p.m. ET Thursday on SI.com. Watch Don Banks and Andrew Perloff discuss the hottest draft topics on our live SI.com draft show heading into Round 1. Submit your questions on Twitter using the #SIDraftLive hashtag)

1 Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M Jr.6-6306     The top-caliber modern-day tackle. Blocked for a pocket QB (Ryan Tannehill) in '11 and a mobile one (Johnny Manziel) in '12.

2 Ziggy Ansah DE BYU Sr.6-5271     The Jags want to move down. If they stick where they are, new coach Gus Bradley goes for a D presence who he hopes has instant pass-rush impact.

3 Sharrif Floyd DT Florida Jr.6-3297     With possibly nine new starters on D, the Raiders need everything. Floyd replaces a free agent they hated to lose: DT Desmond Bryant.

4 Dion Jordan DE/OLB Oregon Sr.6-6248     Chip Kelly bypasses the strong tackle market and a need at CB to pick an old friend from Oregon. He'll fill those other spots later.

5 Dee Milliner CB Alabama Jr.6-0201     The worst cover team in the league over the last four years ought to have its head examined if it picks anything but a CB or OT.

6 Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan Sr.6-7306     Acquired from Browns. It costs new GM Tom Telesco a Round 2 pick to move from 11th to sixth overall, but their LT of the future is worth a first- and second-rounder.

7 Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma Jr.6-6303     There is only one very obvious thing in this draft: If one of the three very good tackles is there for Arizona to take, he'll be a Cardinal.

8 Chance Warmack OG Alabama Sr.6-2317     The Bills figure they can get their preferred QB in the second round, and they're right. Warmack will be the long-term heir to Andy Levitre.

9 Barkevious Mingo DE/OLB LSU Sr.6-4241     The Rex Ryan Watch is on, but he gets one last wish: a versatile, physical rusher, and the Mr. Outside to Muhammad Wilkerson's Mr. Inside.

10 Jonathan Cooper OG North Carolina Sr.6-2311     No question that guard-turned-coach Mike Munchak runs the show in Tennessee after the signing of free agent Andy Levitre and this pick.

11 Geno Smith QB West Virginia Sr.6-2218     Acquired from Chargers. Don't let the smokescreen acquisition of Jason Campbell, a backup, fool you: the Browns want a QB in this draft, and they get one.

12 D.J. Fluker OT Alabama Sr.6-5339     Out goes Jake Long; in comes a guy developed by old pal Nick Saban at a position of need. He could be the opening-day RT.

13 Tavon Austin WR West Virginia Sr.5-9174     Acquired from Buccaneers. The Jets are desperate for playmakers on offense, and Austin might be the best one in the draft.

14 Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri Jr.6-2294     Anyone who has 14 tackles and a sack against 'Bama's offensive line, which Richardson did last October, can play for me.

15 Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina Sr.6-3313     I thought it'd be a pass rusher here, and it's very possible that's how the Saints go with their lone top 70 pick. But a versatile defensive tackle's smart too.

16 Kenny Vaccaro S Texas Sr.6-0214     With Rodney McLeod and Darian Stewart projected as starters at safety, it's time to prioritize the position -- which the Rams will do here.

17 Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia Jr.6-2245     Great college productivity, but he's sliding. Teams think he'll struggle to pick up difficult schemes. The Steelers will take that chance.

18 Johnathan Cyprien S Florida International Sr.6-0217     Dallas has a need at safety, and Cyprien -- a climber over the past month -- is the enforcer type the Cowboys' secondary has lacked.

19 Bjoern Werner DE Florida State Jr.6-3266     This just in: The Giants like to take first-round pass rushers. Productive ones. Werner qualifies: 49 tackles behind the line over the last two years.

20 Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame Sr.6-5250     Chicago would rather have a top tackle, but the good ones will be long gone. Instead, Eifert could be Jay Cutler's Day One security blanket.

21 Eddie Lacy RB Alabama Jr.5-11231     NFL sign of the times: No RBs in the top 20 of the draft. There's a legit chance none go in the first round, but the Bengals love this guy.

22 DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson Jr.6-1214     The Rams want to deal out of this because they think they can get WR value in the second or third round. So this spot could move on the fly.

23 Manti Te'o LB Notre Dame Sr.6-1241     The Vikes have had good luck with Domers -- they have five on the roster -- and GM Rick Spielman thinks the hoax story is overblown.

24 Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State Jr.6-2210     GM Ryan Grigson's hot streak continues as he gets the No. 2 CB in the draft all the way down at 24. Rhodes is big and confident.

25 Justin Hunter WR Tennessee Jr.6-4196     They could take Cordarrelle Patterson, who reminds some of troubled Randy Moss, but they opt for the safer, bigger (6-foot-4) Vols receiver.

26 Star Lotulelei DT Utah Sr.6-3320     A classic example of Packers GM Ted Thompson's taking the best player on the board. Patience is a virtue this year. And Star will be a star.

27 Keenan Allen WR California Jr.6-2206     Cal's all-time leading pass catcher is a smart play here. Allen, who's 6-2 and physical, will be a great bookend to Andre Johnson.

28 Datone Jones DE UCLA Sr.6-3283     Though not a classic pass rusher, the three-year college starter fits the bill of developmental outside rush man to replace Elvis Dumervil.

29 Terrance Williams WR Baylor Sr.6-2208     Not widely beloved, but a tall (6-2), physical receiver with 51 games of experience and the ability to beat corners. The Pats don't have that.

30 Desmond Trufant CB Washington Sr.5-11190     There aren't many four-year starters in college these days, but Trufant is one -- against big-time West Coast attacks. Atlanta needs a starting corner.

31 Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee Jr.6-2216     A juco convert, he had only one year in D-I, and he comes with discipline concerns. This is a reach, but Jim Harbaugh's 49ers don't fear different kids.

32 Arthur Brown LB Kansas State Sr.6-0241     "Hell of a football player and leader," said one opposing scout of the two-year K-State captain after he transferred from Miami.

MORE NFL DRAFT KING'S RANKINGS: QB | RB | WR/TE | OL | DE/OLB | DB BURKE: Big Board 5.0 STAPLES: Overrated, underrated prospects based on college BANKS: Potential undrafted free agents who could star