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All things considered, it's been quite a one-year proposition. The 2004 season will be the Montreal Expos' third under the ownership of Major League Baseball, and while the off-field picture remains hazy, on the field the team is coming off back-to-back winning seasons for the first time since a three-year stretch from 1992-94. But to stay in contention, the club will need to replace free agent Vladimir Guerrero, arguably the best player in team history. To do so, general manager Omar Minaya has turned to the likes of Carl Everett, Tony Batista and Nick Johnson, knowing that finding one player to replace Guerrero is an impossibility even without a tight payroll. As if that hasn't made the odds long enough, the National League East has suddenly become one of the top divisions in baseball. The East is home to the defending world champion Florida Marlins, the always good Atlanta Braves and the improving Philadelphia Phillies, who are flush with the riches of a new ballpark. Rotation
If Tony Armas rebounds from shoulder surgery, the Expos have the makings of a decent starting rotation, even with the trade of Javier Vazquez to the New York Yankees. A healthy Armas could give the Expos 15-18 wins.
Livan Hernandez had a career year, but after 233.1 innings, he could be poised for a setback. He's had similar setbacks before in his career. Claudio Vargas pitched in September after recovering from shoulder tendinitis and needs to regain the form of his rookie season to become a dependable No. 3 starter. The Expos went 14-9 (.609) in Zach Day's 23 starts, but Day, like Vargas, missed 50 games because of shoulder inflammation. Right-hander Tomo Ohka didn't miss a turn in the rotation for the second consecutive season and had 22 quality starts, but he is at times all too hittable.
Bullpen
Bothered by a sore right knee, Rocky Biddle blew six of his final 25 save opportunities. While he has the makeup to be a closer, he may not have the stuff -- but he's got the job for now. Southpaw Joey Eischen has turned into a workhorse setup man. Lefty Randy Choate, who comes over from the Yankees, could earn a spot as well.
Chad Cordero, the Expos' top draft pick last year, was pressed into duty late in the season and did not look overmatched; he has retired the first batter faced in each of his 12 career appearances. Luis Ayala was a revelation after spending six years with Saltillo of the Mexican League, and he has the repertoire to repeat his performance in middle relief.
Middle Infield
Shortstop Orlando Cabrera and second baseman Jose Vidro are superior defensive players who have started more games together (572) than any other double-play combination in baseball. Cabrera, who led the team in RBIs despite playing with a bulging disc, has been voted the Expos' most valuable player in two of the last three years.
Vidro is one of the smartest hitters in the game and is coming off his third All-Star season. Vidro is in the final year of a multi-year contract, and Cabrera signed a one-year deal in January, so there's reason to expect big things in 2004.
Corners
The additions of Batista and Johnson provide a huge upgrade over the past two seasons. The Expos used five different third basemen in 2003, and they combined for a .230 average with just nine home runs and 49 runs batted in. Batista has played on artificial turf before with the Toronto Blue Jays and will bring some right-handed pop to the lower part of the order. With Johnson, one of the most patient hitters in the game, in the top third of the order, there won't be too many quick innings for opposing pitchers.
Outfield
Everett is with his seventh major league team, and it will be interesting to see him handle the uncertainty of the Expos' situation. His switch-hitting bat and power numbers will help make up for Guerrero's loss, but Guerrero's insular nature was often a blessing, considering the off-field turmoil surrounding the team. Center fielder Endy Chavez is a strong defender, but his slightness of build doesn't suggest he can be a year-round offensive force. Left fielder Brad Wilkerson wears down pitchers and has been a model of consistency in his first two seasons, but it's time for him to have a breakout season. With top prospect Terrmel Sledge pressing for a spot, there could be some shifting in positions that would likely make Chavez the odd man out.
Catching
The trade of Michael Barrett left Brian Schneider as the only catcher on the roster heading into February. Schneider isn't much of an offensive threat, but he led all major league catchers in throwing out 46.7 percent of opposing baserunners. Gregg Zaun signed a minor league deal and will likely be the backup.
Bench
Robinson is an aggressive manager who will find himself with an athletic, versatile bench consisting of Juan Rivera, acquired from New York in the Vasquez deal, Ron Calloway, Jamey Carroll and Sledge, if he doesn't win a starting job. Because of the team's limited payroll, the Expos find it difficult to pick up players during the season, even in a depressed marketplace.
Management
Club president Tony Tavares says the time has come for the Expos to start rebuilding their minor league depth, which has been left perilously thin because of Minaya's aggressive wheeling and dealing. He has also said publicly that he favors trading players who won't commit to long-term deals instead of letting them walk away, as was the case with Guerrero. Tavares, Minaya and Robinson are three strong personalities who don't always see eye to eye, yet they have somehow managed to co-exist as the hand-picked administrators of a club that is owned and operated by the other 29 franchises. While critics of commissioner Bud Selig say the powers that be have run this franchise into the ground, the evidence suggests otherwise.
Final Analysis
The Expos might be a better offensive team -- certainly a more balanced team -- even with the departure of Guerrero. But it will only take one injury to send them into a spiral, and finishing over .500 for a third consecutive season is going to be a tall order. The team had over $8 million in player salaries being paid by other teams last season as a result of trades. That won't be the case this year, which means the club will have a true payroll of between $42 million and $45 million.
Click here for a complete list of 2004 Team Previews
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