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College Football Preview

Posted: Thursday December 30, 2004 12:29PM; Updated: Thursday December 30, 2004 12:29PM
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BCS Marquee Matchup
SI.com's B.J. Schecter breaks down the Fiesta Bowl
No. 19 Pitt (8-3) vs. No. 5 Utah (11-0)
Saturday, 8:30 p.m. EST (ABC)
Sun Devil Stadium (73,752)
  Setting The Stage
For the first time in the history of the BCS, a small-conference school has crashed the party. Coming out of the Mountain West, Utah proved it deserves to play with the big boys (the Utes went 3-0 against BCS conference schools) and showcases one of the most exciting offenses in the nation. But in a touch of irony, Utah's opponent doesn't deserve to be here. Pitt received the Big East's automatic BCS bid by winning six of its final seven games, but this is a team that nearly lost to Division I-AA Furman earlier this season. The Panthers finished No. 21 in the BCS. Meanwhile, No. 5 Cal was sent to the Holiday Bowl. This game also features a pair of lame duck coaches. Utah's Urban Meyer will head to Florida next season and Pitt's Walt Harris is off to Stanford.
 
  Breakdown
Alex Smith
Robert Beck/SI
Sizing up Utah
What Meyer has done in two short seasons in Salt Lake City is nothing short of remarkable. He's gone 21-2 and his innovative offense, featuring reverses and misdirection plays, has produced an average of 46.3 points and 502.7 yards per game. Meyer has the perfect quarterback to run his system in junior Alex Smith, who is 21-1 as a starter. Smith is extremely smart and has completed 66.1 percent of his passes for 2,624 yards and 28 touchdowns. He has only thrown four interceptions and has also rushed for 563 yards and 10 TDs.

But this offense is much more than Smith. The Utes are an excellent rushing team, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. In addition to Smith, the duo of Marty Johnson (782 yards, 14 TDs) and Quinto Ganther (620 yards) has helped keep defenses honest. Meyer also loves to get the ball in the hands of speedy wideout Steve Savoy, who averages 14.0 yards per carry and has scored six rushing touchdowns. Savoy is also the team's top receiver with 60 catches for 891 yards and 11 touchdowns. But double him and Paris Warren (65 catches, 878 yards, 10 TDs) will make you pay.

Utah's defense may be unheralded but the success of this unit wasn't lost on Utah athletic department officials, who named defensive coordinator Kyle Whittingham as Meyer's replacement. The Utes are aggressive and swarm to the ball. Linebacker Spencer Toone leads the team with 107 tackles, while fellow linebacker Tommy Hackenbruck has 81 tackles, including 6.5 for loss, and has forced five fumbles. The secondary features a pair of playmakers. Safety Morgan Scalley is second in the nation with six interceptions and has scored twice on an 88-yard fumble return and a 90-yard kickoff return. Freshman cornerback Ryan Smith had 40 tackles, two sacks, an interception and five pass breakups.

Tyler Palko
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Sizing up Pittsburgh
The Panthers' second-half run coincided with the maturation of sophomore quarterback Tyler Palko. The 6-foot-2, 220-pound Palko averaged 320.2 yards passing in Pitt's last five games and played like an All-American in leading the Panthers to a come-from-behind, 41-38 overtime win at Notre Dame on Nov. 13. Palko has a strong, accurate arm and has thrown for 2,816 yards and 23 touchdowns on the season.

When All-American Larry Fitzgerald left for the pros after last season, many wondered who Pitt's playmaking wideout would be. The Panthers have developed a reputation for producing game-breaking receivers and sure enough, sophomore Greg Lee stepped up to become the guy. With good size at 6-2, 200 pounds, and sure hands, Lee was sixth in the nation with 1,204 receiving yards (he averaged 19.7 yards per catch) and scored nine touchdowns. Lee and Palko will draw plenty of attention, which is why Pitt's success will depend on its ability to run the ball. The Panthers don't have a dominant running back, but Raymond Kirkley and Tim Murphy must be able to keep the Utes off balance.

Pitt's defense, while lacking many stars, has been extremely productive, forcing 25 turnovers (17 interceptions, 8 fumbles) and coming up with four goal-line stands this season. All-Big East linebacker H.B. Blades leads the team with 102 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss and has three interceptions. Linebacker Clint Session has 86 tackles, while linebacker Malcolm Postell has 8.5 tackles for loss and a team-leading four interceptions. The strength of this unit is the front seven, but against Utah, the pressure will be on the secondary. If the Utes are able to beat Pitt deep early, this one will be over quickly.

Special Teams Breakdown
This area has been another one of Utah's strengths. Since replacing injured starter Bryan Borreson in October, freshman walk-on kicker David Carroll has been outstanding, going 5 for 5 on field goals and hitting 39 of 39 PATs. The Utes were second in the nation in kickoff return average (26.5 yards per return). Morgan Scalley (41.8 yards per return) and Justin Walker (34.1) both have the ability to bring kicks back.

Pitt has also been solid in the kicking game, but lacks a return threat. Place-kicker Josh Cummings has made 34 of 36 PATs and 18 of 25 field goals, including three game-winning kicks. Punter Adam Graessle was All-Big East after averaging 44 yards per kick and also placed 17 inside the 20.

 
  Key Matchup
Utah QB Alex Smith
• Junior, 6-foot-4, 212 pounds
• Stats: 185 of 280, 2,624 yards, 28 TDs passing; 120 carries, 562 yards, 10 TDs rushing
• With his ability to run and pass, Smith is the most versatile quarterback in the nation. If he has time to throw -- and room to run -- he'll carve up Pitt's defense.

Pitt LB H.B. Blades
• Sophomore, 6-foot-0, 245 pounds
• Stats: 102 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss, 3 interceptions
• Blades is the Panthers' best defensive player and he must get pressure on Smith early and often. If he can disrupt Smith's rhythm, the game will be close for a while. If not it will be over early in the first quarter.

 
  The Outcome
It's a shame that Utah won't have the chance to face a team like Auburn. That would be a much better test and a more entertaining game. Utah has the second-longest winning streak in the nation at 15 games and has scored 40 or more points in nine games this season. What's more, the Utes usually jump on opponents early, outscoring them by an average of 30-10 in the first half. It's a lopsided matchup and Utah will win by a lopsided score.

Utah 48, Pitt 14

 
For more BCS Marquee Matchups, return to SI.com's College Bowls Section.

B.J. Schecter is an associate editor for Sports Illustrated.

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