
Risky businessRecent history doesn't favor Dodgers after massive makeoverPosted: Tuesday August 3, 2004 1:08PM; Updated: Tuesday August 3, 2004 7:16PM
The Yankees cut payroll, the Red Sox unceremoniously dumped a local legend, the Mets acted as if they were in a pennant race, Billy Beane did nothing and the Marlins claimed to actually want Juan Encarnacion, but the most repeated question among all the trading deadline weirdness was this: What the heck are the Dodgers doing? Say this for GM Paul DePodesta: He cuts his own path. No team in the nine-year history of the wild-card era has ever made it to the World Series by turning over their team the way the Dodgers did at last Saturday's trading deadline. Rolling (20-6 in July), solidly in first place, and singing sweet songs of clubhouse chemistry, Los Angeles changed its catcher, center fielder, first baseman, rotation and bullpen with the additions of Brent Mayne, Steve Finley, Hee Seop Choi and Brad Penny and the departures of Paul Lo Duca, Dave Roberts and Guillermo Mota. Such change is unprecedented among the past 20 pennant winners. Of those teams, only two of them acquired as many as three players who would be on their World Series roster in the week leading up to the trade deadline. The 2000 Mets added Mike Bordick, Rick White and Bubba Trammell and the 1999 Braves picked up Greg Myers, Terry Mulholland and Jose Hernandez. Not exactly jaw-dropping stuff there. Here's the scorecard for players added July 24 through 31 since 1993: Ten World Series champions -- 6. (Biggest additions: Rickey Henderson for the 1993 Blue Jays, Craig Counsell for the 1997 Marlins). Ten World Series losers -- 13 (Biggest additions: Aaron Boone for the 2003 Yankees and Kenny Lofton for the 2002 Giants). Recent history suggests you don't win a pennant at the trade deadline. The past 20 World Series teams added a total of 19 major league players in the week leading up to the trade deadline -- and no impact players since Henderson in 1993. Maybe this comes up heads for the Dodgers. Maybe Penny is a legitimate stopper, Darren Dreifort is the new Mota and Choi is better than his past two clubs thought he was. Finley provides more offense than Lo Duca. And the Dodgers, who need to win a playoff series, not just get to one, host the NLCS opener. Then DePodesta will have launched a whole new paradigm, copied only by those with no aversion to risk. October will decide the ultimate winners and losers of the last-minute dealing, but why wait? Here are my first impressions: WinnersMarlins Cubs Red Sox
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Sports Illustrated senior writer Tom Verducci covers baseball for the magazine and is a regular contributor to SI.com. |
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