
Mixed messagesDoes signing Martinez make the Mets Hot Stove winners or losers?Posted: Tuesday December 14, 2004 11:42AM; Updated: Tuesday December 14, 2004 12:45PM
Mets general manager Omar Minaya paid Pedro Martinez the respect the pitcher was looking for, something no other club cared to do. Minaya treated and paid him like an ace diva and no doubt will continue to do so, giving Martinez free reign in Queens. That's why Martinez will be a Met. The Mets stepped up in class, something they failed to do with Alex Rodriguez, Gary Sheffield and Vladimir Guerrero. Is that a good thing? It's not so easy to answer. The fact that Boston let Martinez slide easily into Minaya's arms and that no other club in a market blown wide open with dollars cared to enter the bidding tells you this was a gamble by Minaya. This was not Dan Duquette trading for the young Pedro in 1997, when all of baseball coveted the Montreal ace. Minaya is personally tied to this deal. It's his reputation as the man with "full autonomy" that goes on the line with Pedro's health, his stuff and his reputation as an independent contractor. At the money Minaya shelled out -- which should have been used to help lure the younger, more impactful Carlos Beltran -- his gamble only works if Martinez can reverse the declines in his stuff and efficiency and, at 33 with a history of slight shoulder trouble and a small frame, he finds a higher threshold of year-to-year physical fitness and durability. He must take the ball regularly and pitch at an elite level. Can Martinez do that at ages 33, 34, 35 and 36? No one else in baseball but Minaya wanted to take that risk. I don't rule out Martinez doing it because he's supremely talented with a tremendous pitching intellect, which means he can make late-career adjustments with his body and stuff that many others can't. (Kevin Brown comes to mind.) But you'd be kidding yourself, based on the rest of baseball sitting this one out, to think the odds are with him. It's a fascinating and complicated signing for all those reasons and more. And as you'll see in my winter meetings breakdown of winners and losers, it cannot be easily categorized. WinnersNew York Mets Pedro Martinez Boston Red Sox John Smoltz Doug Melvin Matt Clement Old guys Matt Mantei LosersNew York Mets Make no mistake, the Red Sox were tired of his act, wary of his durability and have been prepared for months to live without him. Every eye is dry today on Yawkey Way. No other team in baseball wanted him. When I asked Arizona GM Joe Garagiola where Martinez was on his radar after the D'backs spent $33 million on Russ Ortiz, Garagiola said, "Not even on it." The Mets' biggest problem is that they are paying him to be a No. 1 pitcher when he is a guy who needs an extra day of rest in between starts and just threw more innings in one year than he ever did in his life. (He was 7-6 with a 4.17 ERA in the second half while making sure to stay in the rotation during his walk year.) It's unlikely over the next four years, especially the next one, that he can go to the mound as often and pitch as deep into games as consistently as you expect from an ace at that kind of money. Willie Randolph New York Yankees The Lost Generation of Pitchers The New Generation, 28-and-under (six): Pavano, Roy Oswalt, Jason Marquis, Johan Santana, Mark Buehrle, Carlos Zambrano. Arizona Diamondbacks
Sports Illustrated senior writer Tom Verducci covers baseball for the magazine and is a regular contributor to SI.com. |
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