Original pick: Matt Jones, WR, Arkansas
Sorry, Jags, Mr. X Factor -- Matt Jones -- is long gone by now. But we're going to give you another intriguing and speedy prospect to toy with. Mathis is going to the Pro Bowl as a rookie kick returner, and he leads the NFL with a gaudy 29.1-yard average and two touchdowns. Besides, your Chad Owens pick was a bust. Throw in his one receiving touchdown on just three catches and Mathis has been one of the few bright spots in Houston this season.
Original pick: Mark Clayton, WR, Oklahoma
Signing late seemed to set Clayton back considerably, but he has started to show the promise that elevated him to first-round status to begin with. In his last four games, Clayton has hauled in 21 passes for 305 yards and two touchdowns, developing a good rapport with quarterback Kyle Boller. If not Clayton, here's an idea: Mid-round quarterbacks Charlie Frye and Kyle Orton have both proven to be capable of winning games as rookies.
Original pick: Fabian Washington, CB, Nebraska
Here's why the science of drafting is a bunch of malarkey (not Mike): Hill goes in the seventh round to Tennessee and easily out-plays the likes of Washington, Antrel Rolle, Pacman Jones and Carlos Rogers, who all were first-round cornerbacks. For all the work that NFL teams put into draft weekend, players like Hill and Samkon Gado eventually put the lie to the accuracy of scouting grades.
Original pick: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Cal
OK, so we're breaking our own production over projection rule. But Rodgers still makes a lot of sense for the Packers this far down in the round, and we can't pass judgment on him in any way until he gets a shot to succeed Brett Favre. If he develops into a star for years to come, Green Bay will have pulled off yet another coup at the game's most pivotal position.
Original pick: Jason Campbell, QB, Auburn
Passing on Campbell might some day look like a mistake from our vantage point, but it doesn't today and here's why: With Joe Gibbs not long for the NFL in his second go-round of coaching, the Redskins are built to win now. And for now, they have plenty of quarterbacking with the resurgent Mark Brunell and the still youthful Patrick Ramsey. We give them Rogers 16 spots lower than they selected him and say use a mid-round pick on Orton or Frye.
Original pick: Chris Spencer, C, Mississippi
The Seahawks took Spencer as the eventual replacement for veteran Robbie Tobeck, and that's all well and good at the bottom of the first round I suppose. But with the lightning-fast Williamson still on my board, I'm not worried about the offensive line down the road. I'm trying to find some one who can stretch the field the way Seattle once hoped Koren Robinson would.
Original pick: Roddy White, WR, Alabama-Birmingham
White hasn't looked deserving of first-round billing thus far. He has just 25 catches for 399 yards and a pair of touchdowns. By comparison, the 6-foot-4 Henry has been a pleasant surprise in Cincinnati, scoring six times on 31 receptions for the playoff-bound Bengals. And he only cost Cincy a third-round pick.
Original pick: Luis Castillo, DL, Northwestern
I had the Chargers taking Castillo at No. 12, so give them Spears to help make up for the playing-making presence of outside linebacker Shawne Merriman, who wasn't there for the taking for San Diego this time. Castillo might some day shift inside to tackle, freeing up left end for Spears. Another good option would be Wisconsin DE Erasmus James, who Minnesota took 18th in the real draft.
Original pick: Marlin Jackson, CB, Michigan
Jackson has played some as an extra cornerback for Indy this season, and he hasn't fared badly. But while Jones has been disappointing in coverage, his speed is enticing and he does bring the added dimension of making plays as a kick/punt return man. That's one of the few areas the Colts, with their embarrassment of riches, could use an upgrade.
Original pick: Heath Miller, TE, Virginia
With Miller long gone to the Panthers at No. 14, the Steelers could invest in Jacobs, grooming him as the short-yardage, power-running back who will take over the pivotal Jerome Bettis role once he retires. Jacobs has run a bit too straight up and timidly at times this season for the Giants, but the fourth-round pick does have six rushing touchdowns for New York.
Original pick: Mike Patterson, DT, USC
The Eagles threw the ball entirely too much this season, and at times their running game seemed like an afterthought. Barber ran for more than 500 yards and five touchdowns as a part-time player in Dallas this season, and the fourth-round pick is the kind of tough, inside runner that Andy Reid likes to have around when the weather turns nasty in the NFC East.
Original pick: Logan Mankins, OL, Fresno State
Who else but the personnel-savvy Patriots would have taken Mankins in the first round? All he did was walk into the void created by left guard Joe Andruzzi's signing with Cleveland and seamlessly replace him, starting all 15 games thus far. Mankins is a tough, all-business type who was the perfect Patriots' team guy even before New England drafted him.