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Down to the wire

Several conference titles are still up for grabs

Posted: Thursday November 10, 2005 3:19PM; Updated: Thursday November 10, 2005 7:52PM
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Steve Spurrier
In an unlikely -- but still possible -- scenario, Steve Spurrier and the Gamecocks could play for the SEC title.
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With just three weeks (in most cases less than that) of conference games remaining, here's a breakdown of the title races in each of the major leagues:

• Six SEC teams remain alive for the Dec. 3 conference championship game. Alabama (9-0, 6-0 in the SEC) and LSU (7-1, 4-1) in the West (the teams meet this weekend) and Georgia (7-1, 5-1) in the East control their own destiny. Auburn (7-2, 4-2) needs to beat both Georgia and Alabama and hope LSU loses a game. Florida (7-2, 5-2) needs to beat South Carolina and hope Georgia loses a game. And, in the most implausible but still technically feasible scenario, Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks (6-3, 4-3) can still win the East if they beat the Gators on Saturday and if Georgia loses to both Auburn and Kentucky, creating a three-way tie in which the Dawgs would be eliminated due to a lesser divisional record.

• Compared to the SEC, the Big Ten's title picture is pretty cut and dry. If Penn State (9-1, 6-1 Big Ten) wins at Michigan State (5-4, 2-4) on Nov. 19, the Nittany Lions automatically win the conference's BCS berth (they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over 5-1 Ohio State). If Penn State were to lose, however, it would open the door not only for the Buckeyes but also Michigan (6-3, 4-2). Under that scenario, if the Wolverines were to win out against Indiana and Ohio State and if Iowa were to beat Wisconsin (8-2, 5-2) on Saturday, it would create a three-way tie between Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State, with the Wolverines holding the head-to-head advantage over both. In a four-way tie with Wisconsin, however, Penn State gets the automatic berth (Ohio State and Michigan would be eliminated because of their non-conference losses, leaving Penn State with a head-to-head edge over the Badgers).

• USC (9-0, 6-0 in the Pac-10) is in the Pac-10 driver's seat, but both Oregon (8-1, 5-1) and UCLA (8-1, 5-1) remain alive if the Trojans collapse. Because the Ducks and Bruins don't play each other this season, any tiebreaker comes down to head-to-head record against common opponents, starting at the top of the standings. If the three were to finish tied for first, USC would get the automatic berth due to, of all things, UCLA's loss to Arizona. If the Trojans lose to both Cal and UCLA, however, the  Bruins would win a tiebreaker with Oregon due to the Ducks' loss to USC. Oregon's lone hope is to win out against Washington State and Oregon State and have both the Trojans (against Cal and UCLA) and the Bruins (against Arizona State) lose two conference games.

• In the ACC, Florida State (7-1, 5-2) has already clinched the Atlantic Division. Miami (7-1, 4-1), with its win over Virginia Tech last weekend, holds the edge in the Coastal Division over the Hokies (8-1, 5-1) but could relinquish it with a loss in one of its final three games (Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Virginia) combined with Virginia Tech victories over Virginia and North Carolina. Georgia Tech (6-2, 4-2) would need to win out and have Virginia Tech lose both remaining games. North Carolina (4-4, 3-2) would need to win out and have Miami and Georgia Tech both notch three conference losses. Virginia (5-3, 2-3), with games remaining against all of the top three, needs to win out and have the Tar Heels finish with four conference losses.

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