

Fantasy Notebook (cont.)Posted: Friday November 3, 2006 3:30PM; Updated: Friday November 3, 2006 3:30PM By Bob Harris, Special to SI.com, FootballDiehards In other words, Johnson needs to put Monday night behind him and avoid beating himself and his own team again this weekend. Fortunately, help could be on the way. As SI.com insider Don Banks noted last Sunday, the 49ers already this season have given up more than 40 points three times, losing 41-0 at Kansas City and 48-19 to San Diego at home in Week 6, San Francisco's previous game before giving up 41 points in Chicago last Sunday. Banks also reminded remind readers that in the 23 games of the Mike Nolan coaching era in San Francisco, the 49ers have never held an opponent to less than double digits in points. My prediction: Johnson and the Vikings' offense get well in San Francisco. The game: Browns-Chargers The other game: Kellen Winslow vs. Antonio Gates In case you missed it, Winslow said before the season that his injuries the last two years had taken their toll, and that he might never be 100 percent. But he quickly added that at just 90 percent, he is still the best tight end in the game. So it comes as no real surprise that Winslow made a point Wednesday of hyping his matchup with Gates. "I look at it like it's a heavyweight match. It's me versus Gates," Winslow said. "I want to be the best tight end out there." That being the case, the tale of the tape reads tells us that Winslow, playing in his first full season after a motorcycle accident and multiple injuries, leads all tight ends with 40 receptions. He has 393 yards receiving and three touchdowns. Kansas City Chiefs tight end Tony Gonzalez is second with 33 catches for 441 yards and a score. Gates is third with 32 receptions, 384 yards and four touchdowns. "Tony is right behind me. Gates is right behind me. So I've got to stay on top," Winslow said. Winslow was asked to clarify. Did he mean keep his lead in receptions? "The best overall. I'm trying to be the best. I said I was the best. I am the best, and I'm going to prove it on Sunday," he said. Gates' response? "For you to play in seven straight games and decide you're the best tight end in the league," he explained. "I don't think that's appropriate to say." My prediction: Gates doesn't have as many catches, but he's averaging more yards per reception than Winslow -- 12.0 to 9.8 -- and, with four TDs, has one more than Winslow. This is Gates' fourth year in the league. He's a proven commodity. He has a superior supporting cast and plays on the better team and it sounds like he's a little irritated we're even having this discussion. ... Knockout:Gates. The game: Colts-Patriots The other game: Joseph Addai vs. Dominic Rhodes Sure, most of the world will focus on the Peyton Manning-Tom Brady storyline. Or the Adam Vinatieri taking on his former team angle. ... For fantasy owners, however, having one man emerge as the Colts' rushing weapon of choice could be much more significant down the stretch. And it looks like Addai is starting to assert himself. For the season, Rhodes has carried 95 times for 299 yards, a 3.1-yard average. Addai's current season totals of 87 carries for 447 yards and a 5.1-yard average project to a 1,022-yard season. But as the Indianapolis Star suggested Tuesday, give Addai, who averages 12.4 carries a game, the 23.1 attempts Edgerrin James had as a rookie in 1999 while leading the NFL in rushing with 1,553 yards, and Addai's projection soars to a team-record 1,885 yards. My prediction: The Colts rode the hot hand -- Addai -- in Denver last Sunday. Rhodes, the starter, carried only three times for zero yards. While the official company line says Addai and Rhodes will continue to alternate, I expect Addai to continue to push for more time with each passing week. The game: Falcons-Lions The other game: Michael Vick vs. Warrick Dunn Most teams would be happy with the Falcons' 143 yards rushing in last week's win over Cincinnati or the 173 yards on the ground in the previous week's victory over Pittsburgh. But those numbers don't meet what Dunn called "the Falcons' standard." Atlanta, the NFL's best rushing team each of the last two seasons, has 15 regular-season games with 200 or more yards rushing since the start of 2004. No other team hit the 200-yard mark more than six times in that span. This year, Dunn rushed for more than 130 yards in three of the team's first five games. But in the last two games, however, he has been held to a combined total 126 yards on the ground. My prediction: If Vick continues to produce at the rate he has the last two weeks -- he's tossed seven touchdown passes and racked up 533 passing yards in that span -- Dunn will continue to play second fiddle. And I won't be surprised in the least if Vick's roll extends through Sunday's game against the Lions, who rank 29th in the league against the pass. Again, those are just a few of the games I'll be watching this weekend. But there are games within every game -- often more than one -- for those taking a fantasy-centric point of view. Enjoy! Bob Harris is co-founder of the FootballDiehards Web site and senior editor at FSP Inc., publisher of Fantasy Football Pro Forecast, DraftBook, CheatSheets and Football Diehards magazines. He is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. 2 of 2 |
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