At season's start, every NFL club has playoff hopes, the optimism ranging from realistic expectations of 14-2 and home field advantage to wishful thinking about 8-8 and the sixth wild-card spot. Assuming 16-0 is out of the question, what's the most your favorite club can hope for? SI looked at each team's schedule to devise a best-case scenario -- how the season could play out if all the key elements break right. The chart rates each game from -5 (certain loss) to +5 (sure win) and notes a handful of important matchups and calendar quirks that will make or break the season. The +1s are the games to watch -- win those, and the hope becomes reality.

AFC NFC AFC NORTH Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers NFC NORTH Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings AFC SOUTH Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans NFC SOUTH Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Buccaneers AFC EAST Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets NFC EAST Dallas Cowboys New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins AFC WEST Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders San Diego Chargers NFC WEST Arizona Cardinals St. Louis Rams San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks