
Bowl ProjectionsAn early look at title game, the BCS and beyondPosted: Monday November 6, 2006 1:08PM; Updated: Monday November 6, 2006 6:09PM
These are my first bowl projections of the season. They will be updated every Monday between now and the end of the season. There are a few things you need to know to properly understand these projections. Unfortunately, I have a feeling 90 percent of you have already skipped past this part straight to the projections and will now be sending me angry e-mails that could have been averted by simply reading the following explanation. But I feel like I ought to try anyway: These projections primarily illustrate where teams would likely head if the season ended TODAY. With the exception of projected conference champions, very few attempts were made to predict future results, because trying to predict the remaining schedules of 64 teams would take several weeks. With the exception of conference champions, bowls are not obligated to select teams in order of conference standing. The designation "Pac-10 No. 3," for instance, does not refer to the third-place Pac-10 team but to a bowl having third choice of eligible Pac-10 teams. Notre Dame is part of the Big East's bowl partnerships. During of two of the next four seasons, the Gator Bowl can choose a Big 12 team rather than a Big East team. Whichever conference it doesn't choose then goes to the Sun Bowl. Also, the Meineke Car Care Bowl has a deal for this year only that replaces its Big East choice with Navy. If a conference does not have enough eligible teams to fill all of its partnerships, the partner bowl(s) can choose any eligible team remaining after the other bowls fill their obligations. This year, the Big Ten is unlikely to have enough teams to fill its spots in the Motor City Bowl and, possibly, the Insight Bowl. Finally, to be eligible for a BCS at-large berth, a team must have nine wins and finish in the top 14 of the BCS standings. Teams that finish in the top four are guaranteed a berth. One non-BCS conference champion (i.e. Boise State) can earn a guaranteed berth by finishing in the top 12 or by finishing in the top 16 if ranked higher than one of the six major-conference champs. Notre Dame is guaranteed a berth if it finishes in the top eight.
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