Ripple effects (cont.)
Posted: Monday July 23, 2007 1:31PM; Updated: Tuesday July 24, 2007 1:35PM
The Sabres are hoping for a deal with a cap hit of $2 million, maybe a little higher. They're bound to be disappointed. Roy's camp is likely to focus on the deal recently signed by Florida's Nathan Horton that nets him an average of $4 million a year. Horton, a 22-year-old center, had 62 points last season (31-31) and a plus-15 rating. Horton's and Roy's time on ice was similar, and their career stats are comparable. Given the expanded role that Roy's likely to play with Briere and Drury gone, he'll probably land anywhere from $3.5 tio $4.5 million a year on a two-year deal. That's a big cap hit, but for a player from whom the Sabres can't afford to walk away.
Other noteworthy cases currently on the docket:
Sean Avery, Rangers (July 30): His importance to the Rangers is undeniable. Unfortunately, it can't adequately be captured by his numbers. That makes his case a tougher sell. He deserves a raise on the $1.1 million he made last season, but he's unlikely to knock one out of the park this summer. With Marcel Hossa still to sign, the Rangers are hoping this award stays south of $2 million for a one-year term. It should. Anything higher and they may have to consider their options.
Michael Ryder, Canadiens (July 30): With 35 of his 60 goals over the last two seasons coming on the power play, Ryder's an important weapon for the Habs. They'll likely use Detroit's Tomas Holmstrom ($2.25 million) as a comparable, while Ryder's camp will offer up Carolina's Erik Cole ($4 million). A one-year, $3.5 million award is a good bet.
Lee Stempniak, Blues (July 31): The 24-year-old right winger is cashing in his chips at the right time. He's hoping for an award based on the $2.5 million given by Washington to Viktor Kozlov and the $3.5 million that Boston gave to Marco Sturm. Something around the low end of that range is about right.
Trent Hunter, Islanders (Aug. 1): He's a player the Isles clearly need to hold on to, and his last two seasons (35 points each) suggest he's not going to be too expensive. Still, his 20 goals won't be overlooked. He's likely to score around $1.5 million.
Mike Cammalleri, Kings (Aug. 2): Coming off a career-high 80-point season, the diminutive center could reap the summer's highest award. The Vanek deal plays in his favor but really only serves to counteract the effects of a lowball comparison such as Andrew Brunette. Expect the salaries of Alex Tanguay ($5.375) and Patrick Marleau ($4.5) to set the parameters for his deal.