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San Francisco Giants Fantasy Preview

Posted: Friday March 2, 2007 1:16PM; Updated: Friday March 2, 2007 1:16PM
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Projected Lineup (2006 stats)
Pos. Player Avg. HR RBI SB
CF Dave Roberts .293 2 44 49
SS Omar Vizquel .295 4 58 24
2B Ray Durham .293 26 93 7
LF Barry Bonds .270 26 77 3
1B Rich Aurilia .300 23 70 3
3B Pedro Feliz .244 22 98 1
RF Randy Winn .262 11 56 10
C Bengie Molina .284 19 57 1
Projected Rotation (2006 stats)
Starters W-L WHIP ERA K
Matt Cain 13-12 1.28 4.15 179
Barry Zito 16-10 1.40 3.83 151
Matt Morris 10-15 1.35 4.98 117
Noah Lowry 7-10 1.39 4.74 84
Russ Ortiz 0-8 2.00 8.14 44
Projected Closer
Player W-L WHIP ERA Saves K
Armando Benitez 4-2 1.57 3.52 17 31
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Plain and simple, the Giants, led by the sideshow formerly known as Barry Bonds, are old. Every regular position player is at least 30. The rotation is a bit younger with free-agent prize Barry Zito, last season's sensation Matt Cain, and 2005 hero Noah Lowry all representing the 20-somethings.

Irreplaceable

With all due respect to Bonds, the Giants are one of the few teams without an outstanding fantasy player who's a lock for the top five rounds. Howeverr, Zito, crossing the Bay to the National League, has a chance. The 2002 AL Cy Young Award winner won 16 games last season, which would've tied for the most in the senior circuit. His ERA stayed under 4.00 for the second year in a row and can be expected to fall further with his league switch.

The Next Big Thing

It didn't take long for Brian Wilson to impress new manager Bruce Bochy, who believes that the 25-year-old Wilson has the makeup and stuff to be a big league closer should Armando Benitez either be injured or dealt. There's an outside chance that Wilson could beat out the injury-prone Benitez for the job outright. Wilson possesses a 98-mph fastball, a biting hard slider and a devil-may-care attitude perfectly suited for a big league closer.

Danger!

Trouble lurks around the corner with many of the Giants as is the case with most older players, but Bonds comes with a special caveat. Bonds finished the 2006 season strongly, hitting over .300 in August and September with personal monthly highs of five and seven home runs, respectively, but this year he creates the biggest quandary for fantasy owners. Even amid all of the steroid innuendo, Bonds has proven that when healthy, he's still among the top hitters in the game, especially in leagues in which on-base and slugging percentages count. But can you afford to take the risk on someone who has also shown that he could miss big chunks of the season and who has the specter of the BALCO investigation hanging over his head?

Do You Feel Lucky?

You'd be hard-pressed to find a worse pitcher in the last two years than Russ Ortiz, who went 5-19 with an ERA of 7.41 for Arizona and Baltimore, including going winless in eight decisions last year. However, working with pitching coaches Dave Righetti this season (with whom he had great success as a Giant early this decade) and Leo Mazzone (his former tutor in Atlanta with whom he worked last season), Ortiz feels he has found and corrected the flaws in his mechanics. If this is the case, Ortiz, a 21-game winner as recently as 2001, has a chance to be a Jose Lima-esque last-round steal who'll contribute double-digit victories.

Steals Come From ...

Dave Roberts stole 49 bases last year while playing in just 129 games for the Padres due to injuries. In fact, Roberts has spent time in the minors, mostly on rehab assignments in all but one of his pro seasons (2002) but is still among the league's best basestealers and is guaranteed an everyday job. Randy Winn, Omar Vizquel, fourth outfielder Jason Ellison and even Ray Durham all pose a threat on the bases.

If Something Should Happen To Armando Benitez

See about Brian Wilson above. Beyond those two, the options are slim with Vinnie Chulk and Scott Munter the most logical choices.

You Need Them Too

Rich Aurilia, Matt Cain, Pedro Feliz, Noah Lowry, Bengie Molina

Better Left As Someone Else's Problem

Brad Hennessey, Ryan Klesko, Matt Morris, Lance Niekro

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