Snap Judgments (cont.)
Posted: Thursday April 19, 2007 12:49PM; Updated: Thursday April 19, 2007 1:18PM
Just wondering, but if Michigan defensive tackle Alan Branch is the prospect who's poised to take a tumble out of the top 10 due to concerns about his weight and his competitive hunger, will that make him the draft's proverbial fallen Branch? There must be a Ryan Leaf line in there somewhere.
And just FYI, if Branch does indeed last past the top 10, my sources say the No. 11 49ers will not break his fall, even though they could use a defensive tackle. Nebraska defensive end Adam Carriker continues to look like a good bet in San Francisco.
This just in from the beating-a-dead-horse department: Now that Joey Harrington has joined his third team in three years, all three quarterbacks taken in 2002's first round have changed uniforms this offseason. David Carr (No. 1 overall) went from Houston to Carolina, Harrington (No. 3) went from Miami to Atlanta, and Patrick Ramsey (No. 32) went from the Jets to Denver.
The three first-round QBs have combined to belong to eight organizations -- four in the AFC (Houston, Jets, Denver and Miami) and four in the NFC (Detroit, Washington, Atlanta and Carolina). Interestingly enough, 2002's three first-round receivers have the same track record. Donte' Stallworth (No. 13), Ashley Lelie (No. 19) and Javon Walker (No. 20) have eight teams on their combined resumes.
As if the Tennessee Titans haven't had enough stacked against them this offseason. Pacman Jones was suspended for the season. And the Titans lost most of the 2006 offensive firepower with the defections of their lead running back Travis Henry and top two receivers in Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade.
Now they've got the "Madden Curse'' to deal with, thanks to the news that second-year quarterback Vince Young will be pictured on the cover of the wildly popular video game's 2008 version. The way I figure it, once Young goes down with the inevitable injury (see Shaun Alexander, Donovan McNabb, Ray Lewis, Michael Vick, etc...), the Titans will be minus two very talented cover men this season.
Tennessee continues to make the most sense as a trading partner for San Diego if the Chargers wind up moving reserve running back Michael Turner. With both No. 12 Buffalo and No. 16 Green Bay potentially in position to fill their No. 1 running back vacancies in the draft (Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch are the two first-round worthy rushers), the No. 19 Titans are probably waiting to see what develops above them in the first round before they make their best offer for Turner.
San Diego A.J. Smith is said to be seeking second and third-round picks for Turner, but would probably settle for a two this year (Tennessee has pick No. 50), and a conditional four next year, which could bump up to a three if Turner hits some statistical milestones for the Titans in 2007. The tricky part to a potential draft-day trade may be Tennessee in advance working out the framework of a new contract with Turner, who is entering the final season of his four-year rookie deal. But Turner seems motivated to become a Titan, and that hurdle could be overcome somewhat quickly if agent Bus Cook and Tennessee's general manager Mike Reinfeldt want to get it done.
I first remember Winston, the onetime Bucs and Raiders linebacker. Then came Randy, and Santana, and eventually Sinorice. Scouts in the know say this year's best available Moss is Jarvis, the Florida defensive end who is expected to go somewhere in the middle third of the first round.
How quirky is it that another guy named Moss is about to hit the NFL in either first or second-round style?
Here's why the longer you study NFL draft prospects, the worse your analysis can get: NFL Network draft analyst Mike Mayock -- who I think sounds pretty darn shrewd at this time of year -- said that while most teams have Penn State linebacker Paul Posluszny graded as a first-round pick, he knows of some clubs who have the Butkus Award winner tagged as a third or fourth-rounder.
If Posluszny is a third or fourth rounder, then I don't have a clue as to what NFL scouts are looking for. Every time I've seen the kid play, he looks like obvious star material to me.