

First impressionsWhich 2007 draft picks have the most fantasy value?Posted: Monday April 30, 2007 11:55AM; Updated: Monday April 30, 2007 1:51PM Another wild draft has come and gone, and now the big questions become, which of these players are worth taking in fantasy drafts and where should they go? There doesn't seem to be as many hotshot quarterbacks with the potential for a starting job right away, or top running backs with the opportunity to break through. However, there could be a few more receivers with the chance to be decent contributors early. Of course, at this time last year, how would we know that Maurice Jones-Drew would've been such a TD machine or Marques Colston would be a 1,000-yard receiver? So be sure to take much of this analysis with a grain of salt. We'll all have a better of idea of what to expect as training camp opens. However, here are some thoughts of the top picks from this year's draft, plus thoughts on other selections as the search for the next Colston continues. Round 1JaMarcus Russell, QB, Raiders (first overall): He's got the physical skills to be great, but will he play much in his rookie year? And who will catch his passes? Oakland picked up Josh McCown from Detroit to ease Russell's transition to the NFL, and it also got Mike Williams hoping to resurrect his career and replace Randy Moss (sort of), who's off to the Patriots. He's a great keeper pick, but a marginal backup this year, although he might get decent playing time. Calvin Johnson, WR, Lions (2): Detroit hopes he's like Roy Williams, and not like Charles Rogers or Mike Williams. But remember that Mike Furrey had a big season in this offense last year, so the future is bright. Plus, while Jon Kitna may be a so-so quarterback, he's much better than Reggie Ball, who was Johnson's QB at Georgia Tech last year. Rookie receivers are often a crapshoot, but you saw what Colston did last year. Keep him in your sights on draft day. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings (7): Injury issues dogged him into the draft, but he was the best running back prospect this year. He won't be the main guy just yet, but he could be the preferred part of the platoon with Chester Taylor. All of last year's first-round running backs were part of decent tandems, and most of them performed reasonably well. Don't overdraft Peterson like many did with Reggie Bush last year, but look to the range that includes Joseph Addai, Laurence Maroney and DeAngelo Williams. Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Dolphins (9): The speedy Ginn can make big plays, especially in the return game, and hopefully his foot injury has healed enough to be the No. 2 receiver behind Chris Chambers. He could be a faster version of Wes Welker, who blossomed last year before going to New England. He won't be as highly regarded as Johnson, but could be a useful pick later. Marshawn Lynch, RB, Bills (12): Buffalo needs a regular running back to replace Willis McGahee, and Lynch (who compares favorably to Marshall Faulk) could have the primary job all to himself, possibly making him slightly more valuable than Peterson at least initially. Brady Quinn, QB, Browns (22): Cleveland has a few good weapons around him, and Quinn could get into a game earlier than Russell. Plus, he's got extra protection on the line in fellow first-rounder Joe Thomas. Last year's first-round QBs Vince Young, Matt Leinart and Jay Cutler all had decent stats last year but also had some growing pains. He's worth one of the top picks in keeper leagues, and is an OK No. 2 fantasy QB, but could there be a long camp holdout based on his fall in the draft? Dwayne Bowe, WR, Chiefs (23): Kansas City is in dire need of someone to catch passes who isn't named Tony Gonzalez, so the talented Bowe could get his share of receptions almost by default. Robert Meachem, WR, Saints (27): Colston was a huge find, but New Orleans does need to replace Joe Horn, and Meachem could be a solid option after a huge senior season for Tennessee. While Devery Henderson will make a push for a starting job, Meachem could be a decent option late in your fantasy draft. Craig Davis, WR, Chargers (30): Like the Chiefs, the Chargers needed a wideout to take pressure off Antonio Gates, so they also get an LSU wideout. Davis will be thrown in the mix, but may not be in line to start right away. Greg Olsen, TE, Bears (31): He's the latest Miami tight end hoping to make a big splash in the NFL, and he's in a nice situation with Chicago, especially seeing how Desmond Clark bounced back last year. Olsen makes catches and is a possible No. 2 fantasy option. Anthony Gonzalez, WR, Colts (32): Indianapolis needs a replacement for Brandon Stokley, and Gonzalez (who sometimes outshined Ginn at Ohio State) could be a nice fit in that third receiver role, which can be a source of quiet fantasy points.
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