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Ups and downs

Notable players rising and falling down draft charts

Posted: Friday July 13, 2007 4:51PM; Updated: Friday July 13, 2007 5:30PM
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Joseph Addai
Joseph Addai, a potential top-five pick? Some fantasy owners think so, now that he'll actually start for the Colts this season.
Al Tielemans/SI
Fantasy Football: 2007 Preview
RANKINGS: Top 200 | QB | RB | WR | TE | K | D
GEORGOPOULOS: Indiv. Def. Player rankings
SI: Complete fantasy football preview
SI: Analyzing all 32 running back situations
SI: Next elite QB? | Take top QBs early?
SI: More burning questions for 2007
PROTRADE: Fan-driven stat projections
CARROLL: Previewing potential injury situations
CARROLL: Team-by-team list of injury risks
QUINTONG: Preseason Burning Questions: AFC
QUINTONG: Preseason Burning Questions: NFC
QUINTONG: Who should go No. 2 overall?
GEORGOPOULOS: Drafting kickers, defenses
FLOWERS: Breakout third-year wide receivers
FLOWERS: Key QB and RB handcuff selections
HICKEY: Injured players on the rebound
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: Minnesota RB
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: Tampa Bay QB
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: Denver TE
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: Dallas K
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: Cleveland QB
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: Green Bay RB
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: N.Y. Giants RB
BEACOM: Training Camp Battle: New England WR
NAZAREK: The Stud RB Theory of drafting
EPSTEIN: All 10-Foot Pole fantasy team
MOCK DRAFT: Aug. 6 -- online experts
MOCK DRAFT: Sports Illustrated's experts
FANTASY DRAFT: SI.com's Experts League Draft
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While training camps are still a couple of weeks away from opening, there's already plenty of movement on some of the early player rankings and drafts. There are some inklings coming out of minicamps about some players' roles, while contract issues could have lingering effects throughout the summer.

Here are a handful of those risers and sliders. These aren't necessarily sleepers or busts, just players whose values are seeing major changes now. In some cases you might want to take a flyer on them early, while others you may be better off waiting a round or two so as not to get burnt.

Risers

Jay Cutler, QB, Broncos: It took some time for many to accept Cutler as being on par with Matt Leinart and Vince Young at last year's draft. The same goes in fantasy circles, although Cutler arguably has the best overall team around him, which could elevate him to a marginal No. 1 fantasy starter.

Jeff Garcia, QB, Bucs: My colleague Mike Beacom has already broken down the Tampa Bay QB situation, and with Garcia installed as the starter for now, he has some extra value, especially after last year's revival. Just don't go crazy drafting him early.

Alex Smith, QB, 49ers: He's slowly but surely rounding into form, and with the additions of Darrell Jackson and even Ashley Lelie, the targets are forming. Having Vernon Davis healthy for a full season will help Smith immensely.

Joseph Addai, RB, Colts: Last year's playoffs proved that Addai can shoulder a bigger load. Thus the departure of Dominic Rhodes to Oakland and the lack of a proven No. 2 guy mean Addai has been taken among the top five or six picks in some drafts, even ahead of guys like Shaun Alexander.

Brandon Jacobs, RB, Giants: Tiki Barber proved he wasn't just a third-down back. Jacobs has to prove he's more than just a goal-line back. He has shown his other skills in preseason games, but can he do it for real? Will newly acquired Reuben Droughns steal his carries?

LaMont Jordan, RB, Raiders: Dominic Rhodes' four-game suspension means Jordan has the job to himself to start the year. The hope in Oakland is that a revamped offense will take advantage of his receiving skills, which were ignored last season. So one of last year's bigger busts becomes a rebound candidate in 2007.

Santonio Holmes, WR, Steelers: Hines Ward is still the man in Pittsburgh, but Holmes is ready to be at least a sturdy No. 2 after a very respectable 824 yards in his rookie season. The new coaching regime in Pittsburgh will go a long way toward determining whether he will have a breakout season.

Vincent Jackson, WR, Chargers: Granted, San Diego's top two receiving options are Antonio Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson. But Philip Rivers needs wideouts, too. Jackson is heading into his third season, when many wideouts supposedly start to blossom. He had just 27 catches for 453 yards last year, but six TDs are nice, and his size should help him get more scores (at least when Gates and Tomlinson aren't already in the end zone).

Brandon Marshall, WR, Broncos: Cutler needs more than Javon Walker, and Marshall is getting a lot of attention despite catching just 20 passes for 309 yards and two scores last year. However, the second-year player has shown some brilliance, and the veteran Rod Smith is on the wrong side of his career. He seems to be a classic upside guy.

Eric Johnson, TE, Saints: Marques Colston doesn't qualify at tight end anymore (a nice quirk in many leagues last year), but this time Johnson does. The ex-49er had 82 catches for 825 yards in 2004, and while he likely won't come close to that this year, he is in a very high-powered offense that can help him. He's at least moving into a solid No. 2 tight end slot.

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