Wimbledon: men's seed report
Federer appears more than ready to take the fifth
Posted: Friday June 22, 2007 2:28PM; Updated: Sunday June 24, 2007 4:03PM
A quick preliminary note to clear up some confusion: While Wimbledon doesn't follow the rankings to seed players, the seedings are not "subjective" or based on the whims of crusty committee members. There is a formula, and it is explained here:
Herewith, our 2007 Wimbledon seed reports:
Men: Seeds 1-16
1. Roger Federer: No pressure or anything, but this year the event especiallly seems like his to lose. Put another way, it would be a stunning upset -- and it will take a stunning upset -- for Federer to fail to re-re-re-re peat.
2. Rafael Nadal: The hot pick is another Nadal - Federer final, but we don't see it. The Spaniard is coming off a grasscourt loss to a player ranked outside the top 100. And he needs to go through a lot of strong players -- including Youzhny and Berdych -- just to reach the semis. First match is against Mardy (Vinatieri) Fish.
3. Andy Roddick: In the event that Federer quits tennis tomorrow to join an ashram, Roddick is your next best bet. But here on planet Earth, look for Roddick to fulfill his seeding and then fall to Federer in the semis.
4. Novak Djokovic: The Serb has a nice chance to continue building on his successful 2006. A bit of an unknown quantity on grass, but the draw gods treated him kindly.
5. Fernando Gonzalez: Seems to have reverted to Arctic-or-Saharan form. Gonzo crashed out of the French and has never been much of a force on grass. Which, of course, means that he's a good pick to reach the finals.
6. Nikolay Davydenko: "His Airness" has won one match at Wimbledon for his career. Enough said.
7. Tom Berdych: A hot pick, given both his success in tune-up and his heavy game, especially if he can get through his early matches efficiently and has stamina left for Week Two, he could be a real force.
8. Andy Murray: A nation wants to know: how's the wrist? Apparently, it's not good.
9. James Blake: The American is desperate for a strong result, having done little of note during the first half of the year. Not a lot of momentum here, but the fast courts should complement his game. A tough early test will come against Andreev, but then the coast clears.
10. Marcos Baghdatis: The biggest beneficiary of the seeding system reached the semis last year. Couldn't have asked for a much better draw.
11. Tommy Robredo: Hurt by the seeding formula, but he has never done much on grass. Bobby Kendrick has a chance to avenge last year's close call and take out a big Spaniard.
12. Richard Gasquet: Fast replacing Marat Safin as the biggest enigma in tennis. Long on talent; short on temperament.
13. Tommy Haas: His health and durability are question marks, but his talent is not. Surprising that a fluid, reasonably athletic player like Haas hasn't had better results at the All-England.
14. Mikhail Youzhny: Good big-match player, with a bigger game than his size would suggest. Always worth watching.
15. Ivan Ljubbic: The Croatian sedation has never done much at Wimbledon which is a bit of a mystery on the basis of his serve alone.
16. Lleyton Hewitt: Only former champ besides R-Fed in the draw. Odd year for Hewitt who played well on clay and then crashed in his grasscourt tune-up.
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