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Wins to get in (cont.)

Posted: Thursday February 1, 2007 12:23PM; Updated: Thursday February 1, 2007 12:55PM
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Seed Report

EAST

With a win over UCLA on Sunday, Aaron Brooks has Oregon headed for a No. 1 seed.
With a win over UCLA on Sunday, Aaron Brooks has Oregon headed for a No. 1 seed.
John W. McDonough
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1. North Carolina
2. Pittsburgh
3. Kansas
4. Nevada

SOUTH

1. Florida
2. UCLA
3. Butler
4. Indiana

MIDWEST

1. Wisconsin
2. Duke
3. Marquette
4. Oklahoma State

WEST

1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Memphis
4. Texas A&M

The first thing you'll notice is that I have Oregon as a No. 1 seed and UCLA a No. 2. As far as I know, I'm the only person who has the Ducks as a No. 1, but follow my logic: Besides the obvious (Oregon beat UCLA the only time the teams played), I think you have to discount one of Oregon's two losses because Brooks did not play against Washington. Meanwhile, Oregon has quality road wins at Rice, Georgetown, Arizona and Washington, with its only loss at full strength coming by two points at home to USC. Plus, Oregon is 5-0 against teams ranked in the top 50 of the RPI while UCLA is 6-2. If UCLA beats Oregon on Thursday night, I'll flip them back next week, but if the Ducks do win in Pauley then everyone will have them as a No. 1 seed.

Elsewhere, I moved North Carolina to my No. 1 overall seed ahead of Florida, but that won't matter much because either way the Tar Heels are going East Rutherford and San Antonio, respectively. It's also not easy to figure out what to do with Butler, Memphis and Nevada. Those guys aren't going to get much credit for winning a bunch of league games, so even if they don't lose again it will be hard for them to get to the top two lines.

Indiana, meanwhile, moved into my top 16 by virtue of its defeat of Wisconsin on Wednesday night. The Hoosiers replaced Virginia Tech, which lost at home to N.C. State. As for the other teams that got left out, you might think Washington State is getting slighted, but the Cougars are actually 1-3 versus the top 50. Arizona is ranked No. 6 in the RPI, but that's just another example of why a team's overall ranking means so little, especially at this relatively early stage. The other teams knocking at the door are Air Force and Tennessee.

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