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Posted: Friday December 21, 2007 12:48PM; Updated: Friday December 21, 2007 11:33PM
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Each Friday, SI.com's Seth Davis will pick the weekend's biggest games.

The First Five
Memphis doesn't lack for cylinders. It just has a hard time getting all of them to fire at the same time. On a night when Derrick Rose was sensational in the win over Cincinnati, scoring a career-high 26 points on 5-for-8 shooting from three-point range, Chris Douglas-Roberts scored a season-low four points (his third straight lousy game). Antonio Anderson seems to be emerging from his early-season slump, but the Tigers are again ranked last in Conference USA in free throw shooting. (Their 21-for-36 effort from the stripe on Wednesday allowed Cincy to stay close when it had no business doing so.) Still, the Tigers have a tendency to play both down and up to the level of their competition, so I expect they'll play their best game of the season on Saturday. Georgetown might be the better team, but the Hoyas have played a typically soft nonconference schedule, with their toughest road games at Alabama and Old Dominion. That is not adequate preparation to beat a great team in a hostile environment.
Memphis 71, Georgetown 68
If Andy Kennedy at Ole Miss is worthy of Grant Wahl's annual Golden Souffle award for the softest schedule of the unbeatens, then Tom Izzo should get some kind of veggies-and-bran trophy every year. This is Michigan State's fourth ranked opponent of the season, and Izzo didn't even have the sense to make the Longhorns play in the Breslin Center -- they will instead face off at the Palace in Auburn Hills. The Spartans have learned a lot about themselves through this stretch, and the result is seven straight wins, including two on the road at Bradley and BYU. Texas, meanwhile, has also been playing sensational offensive basketball, but the Longhorns are still a work in progress at the defensive end. (They're ranked eighth in the Big 12 in opponents' scoring and 83rd nationally in defensive efficiency.) It is absolutley vital that Michigan State take care of the ball (they've committed more turnovers than opponents), but once again I have a hunch that the home team will rise to the occasion and beat the better team.
Michigan State 82, Texas 80
If any team needed a week off, it was Xavier. The Musketeers had to scrap and claw to emerge with a five-point win over their crosstown rival Cincinnati (anyone else noticing the Bearcats play so much harder than their opponents?), and then looked completely gassed last Saturday in losing by 22 points at Arizona State. More important than the week of rest was getting senior forward Josh Duncan healthy. He injured his knee against Cincy and only played five minutes against ASU but should be good to go against Tennessee. As for Vols, they're still waiting for Chris Lofton to get his groove back, but their bigger problem is they do not have a real point guard on the roster. They'll see just what they're missing in Xavier's mighty mite, Drew Lavender.
Xavier 79, Tennessee 75
Florida (11-1) at Ohio State (7-3)
When these two played last December, you could already see they were on a collision course to the NCAA championship game. Well, with only one out of 10 starters back between them, if the Gators and Buckeyes are playing for a championship in March, it will be for the NIT. Still, these young players are well worth watching, most notably the two freshmen leading the teams in scoring -- Ohio State's 7-1 center Kosta Koufos (15.8 ppg) and Florida's 6-6 swingman Nick Calathes (also 15.8). Florida has the better record, but that's what happens when you don't play anybody good and never leave your home state. At least Ohio State has been tested against the likes of Syracuse, Texas A&M, North Carolina and Butler. Those experiences will be the difference.
Ohio State 76, Florida 67
Illinois (5-4) vs Missouri (8-3)
If you could combine these two teams' relative strengths, you'd have a Final Four contender. Missouri has a lot of talented wings who pressure the ball (they lead the Big 12 in three-point defense and are second in steals). Yet, they are also an undersized team that gets killed on the boards. (They were out-rebounded by 18 in a loss at Cal three weeks ago.) Illinois, on the other hand, has one of the most underrated big men in the country in 6-10 senior center Shaun Pruitt (24 points, nine rebounds in the loss to Arizona), yet their poor guard play leaves them last in the Big Ten in three-point percentage and seventh in assists. (Wherefore art thou, Eric Gordon?) You all know I always go with guards over bigs, and in this case the Tigers will also have the best player on the floor in 6-8 junior forward DeMarre Carroll, the transfer from Vanderbilt who is averaging 15.2 points and 6.6 rebounds.
Missouri 82, Illinois 70
The Second Five
Davidson (4-5) at N.C. State (5-3)
N.C. State allowed East Carolina to bury 10 of its 18 three-point attempts. What do you think Stephen Curry and company will do to them?.
Davidson 84, N.C. State 79
Mississippi (9-0) vs. No. 15 Clemson (9-0)
Clemson is basically the same team that beat the Rebs by 21 in last season's NIT. No reason to think things will be much different in this matchup of unbeatens.
Clemson 79, Ole Miss 64
Stanford (9-1) at Texas Tech (6-4)
Brook Lopez had 20 points and six rebounds in 19 minutes off the bench during the Cardinal's drubbing of Santa Clara on Wednesday night. I'd say his return from academic purgatory is a fairly meaningful development.
Stanford 77, Texas Tech 65
Florida State (10-3) at Providence (7-3)
When you're a probable bubble team playing at home against another probable bubble team from a different conference, you absolutely, positively cannot afford to lose.
Providence 72, Florida State 66
Utah (6-3) at California (7-1)
Intriguting matchup between big men Luke Nevill and DeVon Hardin, but the Utes also have a pretty good find in 6-foot juco transfer Tyler Kepkay, who had 23 points in a loss at Oregon.
Utah 74, Cal 71
LAST WEEK: 8-2 | SEASON RECORD: 15-5

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