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Posted: Thursday November 6, 2008 5:09PM; Updated: Friday November 7, 2008 4:39PM

Who are the real Gold Glovers?

Story Highlights

The American and National League Gold Glove winners were announced this week

Some choices, like Adrian Gonzalez at first base in the NL, might be incorrect

A plus/minus system rates the effectiveness of every fielder in baseball

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Mark Ellis
Oakland's Mark Ellis has the best plus/minus rating of any AL second baseman the last three seasons, but has yet to win a Gold Glove award.
AP

By John Dewan

The Gold Glove awards, which were announced on Wednesday and Thursday, are voted on by managers and coaches from each league (they are not allowed to select players from their own teams).

The awards, which are mean to honor the best fielders at each position, actually fail at that central mission with an alarming frequency. Among the criticisms of the awards are that they favor hitters and more popular players, all the outfield recipients are allowed to be centerfielders, and that the most deserving defenders are not selected often enough.

In an excerpt from The Fielding Bible, John Dewan of Baseball Info Solutions talks about their formula for discovering the game's true defensive stars and reveals who those stars actually are. (For more unique statistical analysis, visit www.actasports.com to purchase the 2009 Bill James Handbook.)

Fielding Bible Award winners

We asked our panel of ten experts to rank 10 players at each position from one to ten. We then use the same voting technique as the Major League Baseball MVP voting. A first place vote gets 10 points, second place 9 points, third place 8 points, etc. Total up the points for each player and the player with the most points wins the award. A perfect score is 100. One important distinction that differentiates our award from most other baseball awards, including the Gold Gloves, is that we only have one winner for all of Major League Baseball, instead of separate winners for each league. Our intention is to stand up and say "This is the best fielder at this position in the major leagues last season."

Catcher: Yadier Molina, St. Louis Cardinals

First Base: Albert Pujols, Cardinals

Second Base: Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati Reds

Shorstop: Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia Phillies

Third Base: Adrian Beltre, Seattle Mariners

Leftfield: Carl Crawford, Tampa Bay Rays

Centerfield: Carlos Beltran, New York Mets

Rightfield: Franklin Gutierrez, Cleveland Indians

Plus/Minus Ratings

Think of the MVP Award, the Cy Young Award, the Silver Slugger Award, Relief Man of the Year Award, etc. The key difference between these awards and the Gold Glove awards, is that statistics are much more strongly considered in the former group. Gold Glove voters historically have not relied much on fielding statistics, and with good reason: there haven't been many new reliable statistics in fielding for over 100 years. Until now (I hope). There are several new systems out there, and the Plus/Minus System from my book, The Fielding Bible, seems to be working pretty well. Video Scouts at Baseball Info Solutions chart each and every batted ball, including batted ball speed, type and direction. Using that information, the Plus/Minus System determines how well each fielder handles batted balls within each category compared to other fielders. A plus five (+5) in the system, for example, says this particular fielder successfully handled five more balls than the average fielder at his position. (NOTE: Catchers are not given a plus/minus rating by BIS because they rarely "field" balls hit to them.)

NL's Best Fielders
According to The Fielding Bible
Position Name,Team Plus/Minus Rating Gold Glove Winner
1B Albert Pujols, Cardinals +20 Adrian Gonzalez, Padres
2B Chase Utley, Phillies +47 Brandon Phillips, Reds
3B Blake DeWitt, Dodgers +11* David Wright, Mets
SS Jimmy Rollins, Phillies +23 Rollins
LF Willie Harris, Nationals +22 Nate McLouth, Pirates
CF Carlos Beltran, Mets +24 Beltran
RF Brian Giles, Padres +20 Shane Victorino, Phillies
P Greg Maddux, Dodgers +14 Maddux
* DeWitt split the year between the AL and NL. Ryan Zimmerman of the Nats topped all NL-only 3B with a +10 rating NOTE: There is no rating for catchers
AL's Best Fielders
Position Name, Team Rating Gold Glove winner
1B Mark Teixeira, Braves/Angels +24* Carlos Pena, Rays
2B Mark Ellis, A's +26 Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox
3B Adrian Beltre, Mariners +32 Beltre
SS Mike Aviles, Royals, +15 Michael Young, Rangers
LF Carl Crawford, Rays +23 Torii Hunter, Angels
CF Carlos Gomez, Twins +32 Ichiro Suzuki, Mariners
RF Franklin Gutierrez, Indians +29 Grady Sizemore, Indians
P Kenny Rogers, Tigers +16 Mike Mussina, Yankees
* Among full-season AL players, Pena ranked first at +14

This is an excerpt from John Dewan's Fielding Bible, found which will be available in February 2009 and can be purchased at http://www.actasports.com.

 
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