Tiers Of A Fantasy Clown, Part II
On Friday, I detailed the Six QB Tiers for Drafting, a mathematical compilation of QB projections from eight respected fantasy annuals (The Sporting News, ESPN the Mag, Fanball.com, etc.). So, in the name of fairness and balance (thank you, Fox News), SI.com presents a five-tiered list of the top-50 running backs (based on their average estimates):
Five Knee-Jerk Thoughts From The Weekend
1. Dallas @ Denver: I may have to reconsider my QB tiers, based on Jay Cutler's scintillating performance against the Cowboys -- 16 of 20 for 178 yards and one touchdown. But those stats only tell half the story: Playing against the Cowboys' first-team defense (OK, so they're a tad overrated, especially in the secondary -- ahem, Pacman!), Cutler completed his first 12 passes while engineering two lightning-fast scoring drives, including a 3-yard TD pass to Brandon Marshall (who's three-game suspension will likely be whittled down to two). And at the risk of repeating myself from last week, the Cowboys are one substantial Tony Romo injury away from being a rudderless 5-11 team ... based on the dark-ages play of backup QBs Brad Johnson and Richard Bartel.
Are You Ready For Browns-Giants?
The NFL is a brilliant organization from top to bottom, no question. But, I have to take issue with the logistical lunacy of the Browns and Giants playing at the Meadowlands on Monday night ... when the two playoff-worthy foes will meet in Week 6 -- and on ESPN's Monday Night Football, no less! It's bad enough that teams implement vanilla defenses and call lackluster audibles during the preseason, but now that shroud of secrecy will be doubly cloaked, thanks to the league's schedule-makers. As for the actual game, I'll be getting my first real look at Jamal Lewis this season, in terms of:
America's Top 10
I've harped on this before. But the No. 1 most overlooked stat in fantasy football is the number of Targets (both total and per-game), as in the amount of times a receiver, running back or tight end has the ball thrown his way. But those days are done -- as long as I have a say. SI.com presents a list of the top-10 receivers from 2007 with the best combination of Targets and Receiving Yards. Basically, we're talking about guys with minimums of 148 yearly targets (at least nine per game) and 1,100 receiving yards.
Ocho Oucho!
Boy, Chad Johnson really took a tumble against the Lions, didn't he? Luckily, he only suffered a sprained shoulder and could return to the lineup for Bengals-Ravens in Week 1. With that said, it would be wise to drop him down a few pegs in your WR rankings. He's currently listed at No. 8 overall (behind T.O., Moss, Wayne, Andre Johnson, etc.) on my cheat sheet -- two slots ahead of teammate Houshmandzadeh. But now, Housh can slide up into Johnson's 8-spot, thus moving Chad to No. 12 ... right behind Housh, Steve Smith, Brandon Marshall and Plaxico Burress.
SI.com Celebrity Fantasy League
Ever dreamt of playing fantasy football against a Hall of Fame safety, Sports Illustrated football writer, Major League Baseball general manager, world-renowned swimsuit model, professional poker player or best-selling author -- to name a few? SI.com, in conjunction with Facebook, will welcome someone into its 2008 Celebrity Fantasy League where one lucky fan matches weekly wits, from Draft Day to the Fantasy Bowl, with Ronnie Lott, Peter King, Oakland A's GM Billy Beane, supermodel Brooklyn Decker, poker great Phil Gordon and Michael Lewis, author of the sabremetrician-friendly book, Moneyball. Time's running out, though, so click here and register today! As a consolation prize for the contest non-winners, you can create new leagues and develop newer rivals on the new SI/Facebook fantasy game.
With The No. 10 and 11 Picks, I Select ...
My next BIG fantasy draft comes this Saturday -- in a Points Per Reception league. I've already drawn the 10th pick in the 10-team league, meaning I'll have a golden chance to select a premium Tier I running back (from above) and the best WR option not named Randy Moss (although he could fall my way, too) at 11th overall. For the sake of argument, let's use the PPR cheat sheet from Fantasy Football Index's preseason annual. The first nine picks comprise: Tomlinson, Steven Jackson, Westbrook, Moss, Frank Gore, Adrian Peterson, Reggie Wayne, Tom Brady and Marques Colston ... leaving me with a clear shot at two of the following performers:
Trivia Time
What Angels pitcher led the team in wins for their World Series-winning season of 2002 -- the same year then-rookie John Lackey started Game 7 of the Fall Classic?
In Case Of Emergency
In search of an unheralded Monday spot starter for your fantasy lineup, one who may bring glory in Ks, ERA and WHIP -- if for just one night? Look no further than Houston's Randy Wolf, who has gone 2-0 since the Astros acquired him on July 22, via trade. In his last five National League outings, Wolf has posted a nearly 2-to-1 K/BB ratio of 23-12, along with a decent ERA of 4.18 (at least for Minute Maid Park) -- while never allowing more than four runs during that span.
Trivia Answer
Jarrod Washburn posted a team-high 18 victories for the world champion Angels in 2002. Ramon Ortiz (15 wins), Kevin Appier (14 wins), Lackey (9) and Aaron Sele (8) rounded out the five-man rotation.
Analyze This!
With the trade deadline (Thursday) looming large in my favorite AL-only baseball league, I wanted to analyze a blockbuster trade concocted on Sunday (not involving my squad, Count Chocula's Henchmen): Francisco Liriano and John Lackey for Mark Buehrle, Jose Guillen and David Ortiz. Using a broad brush, who gets the better end of this potentially season-defining swap? Hmmm ... for this exercise, I will enlist the help of Accuscore.com:
I Cannot Leave Without Saying ...
That, if you're going to execute a draft-day trade -- such as surrendering your first-round pick for another owner's second- and third-rounders, before the picks are made -- it might be wise to create a trade-value chart, not unlike the ones NFL teams draw up come April. Or, at the very least, you can read this article about the Do's and Don'ts of draft-day etiquette. I'd like to add my own No-No to the list: Minimize the amount of beer consumed during the draft process. Or, at the very least, consume less than the guy selecting after you. Case in point: There are two Steve Smiths and two Adrian Petersons. Have A Link, Comment or Question For Us?
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