
Four commandments of trading: Fantasy Clicks |
These Ten, er, Four Commandments
For a good chunk of fantasyland owners ... welcome to, by far and away, the biggest week of your life (figurative hyperbole), in the form of the pre-Week 11 trade deadline -- likely Wednesday night, before Jets-Patriots on Thursday. What's it going to take to succeed during this gut-wrenching, mind-numbing game of Beat The Clock? Well, here are four unimpeachable rules to live by:
The Money Guys
OK, now that you've read the Four Commandments of the trade deadline, here's a list of the QBs/RBs/WRs (in no particular order) that you'll want to move mountains (or molehills) to acquire during the fantasy-playoff weeks:
QB Locks -- 275 Yards and/or 3 TDs, Week 11
1. Jay Cutler vs. Atlanta
Bye, Bye ... Bye Weeks!
Fantasy excuse-makers, your days of whining about bye weeks halting your September-like rhythm have come to a merciful end ... because the NFL will have a full 16-game slate in Week 11. Yes, with no more bye weeks and top-flight performers like QB Tony Romo and Reggie Bush (among others) coming back from injury, surprising talents like Greg Camarillo, Matt Ryan, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, DeSean Jackson, Matt Jones, Joe Flacco, Billy Miller (the Saints' best tight end, by the way) and Eddie Royal will likely return to their requisite spots on the fantasy bench. In other words, if your at-full-strength squad does not succeed in Weeks 11, 12 and 13 ... you shouldn't expect any playoff success in Weeks 14, 15 and 16.
Curb Your Enthusiasm
Before you blindly re-insert Romo and Bush into your fantasy lineups this week ... think long and hard about the move. I'm assuming Bush and Romo will pronounce themselves as fit and "ready to go" to the press on Wednesday or Thursday, which is fine, I suppose; but are they really prepared to dominate again -- at a time where your club cannot absorb a subpar outing from a megastar or two. My rule of thumb: I never start a playmaker in his first week back from a leg or knee injury -- which justifies Bush's non-start. But with Romo ... how long does a broken pinkie really need to heal? Surely, Romo would have played proficiently in Week 10 if Dallas didn't have its bye then ... which leads me to believe he's a strong start in Week 11 (against the 'Skins). Am I wrong? Here are two Bush/Romo projections, courtesy of AccuScore and Pigskin Addiction.
Bull Market In Indy
Has any fantasy owner ever been dissatisfield with the bi-annual results of Colts vs. Texans? In the last nine meetings, dating back to 2003, the clubs have an average combined score of 52.4, paving the way for plenty of Peyton Manning scores (he's thrown 31 TDs in 13 career games vs. Houston), a ton of Andre Johnson yards (216 and 3 TDs in his last three games vs. Indy) and a slew of defensive touchdowns (especially when Texans QB Sage Rosenfels is scrambling for extra yardage). But this burgeoning rivalry is more than just a vehicle for superstars; seriously, you're bound for fantasy goodness by starting the following truckload of players: Indianapolis -- Manning, Joseph Addai, Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison, Dallas Clark and even Dom Rhodes, if you're dying for a flex option. Houston -- Rosenfels, Johnson, Steve Slaton, Kevin Walter, Owen Daniels and even Ahman Green in emergency situations.
RB Locks -- 120 Total Yards and/or 2 TDs
1. Brian Westbrook/Correll Buckhalter vs. Cincinnati (whichever one gets the start)
Target Practice
A receiver is only as good as his quarterback ... and the number of opportunities he gets to make a catch (known as Targets). So, while the fantasy world applauds Kansas City wideout Mark Bradley for his 9-catch, 81-yard, 1-TD effort against San Diego last week, I'm busy marveling at the stunning 14 passes that came Bradley's way. Not to belabor the point, but Targets are a must-know for fantasy owners -- especially in PPR leagues. This underrated stat is the best way to safeguard against one-hit wonders during a long, long, long fantasy season. To wit, SI.com presents a list of the 27 pass-catchers (including three tight ends) who are averaging at least 8.0 Targets per game (excluding Nate Burleson, who's lost for the year to injury):
How To Get AP Without Really Trying
Looking for a creative way to land Vikings RB Adrian Peterson in a pre-deadline blockbuster? Try offering a receiver-needy owner Brandon Marshall, Steve Breaston and Packers RB Ryan Grant, as part of an all-too-tempting 3-for-1 trade.
Kicker Locks For 3 Field Goals
1. Jason Elam vs. Atlanta
Shoot For The Stars
Looking for a creative way to land Andre Johnson for your Points Per Reception league? Try offering a RB-light owner Jamal Lewis, Tim Hightower and Falcons WR Roddy White, as part of a bold 3-for-1 trade.
Trivia Time
Which Giants running back holds the franchise record for touchdowns in one season?
If I Were A Bidding Man ...
Here are 10 free agents I'd spend at least $18 on this week in blind-bidding leagues when handling waiver-wire pickups ($100 salary cap):
Trivia Answer
The answer is C. In 1985, Joe Morris (1982-90) amassed 1,548 total yards (1,336 rushing) and a club-record 21 TDs for the NFC East-winning Giants. How good was Morris in '85? Rodney Hampton and Ottis Anderson (along with Morris) share second-place for touchdowns, with only 14.
You've Got A Friend
Never underestimate the power of friendship in fantasy football. If you're hot-and-heavy for a wide receiver (like Braylon Edwards or Dwayne Bowe) ... sign up for an Instant Messenger account (AOL has a great one) and start schmoozing away with your buddy, in hopes of conceiving a win-win trade before the deadline. Buddy-swaps can be proffered at any time, obviously, but when it comes to brokering 11th-hour deals, nothing beats a stress-free negotiation where trust was established long ago. As a reference point, here's one favored-nation trade I made this week: Braylon and Giants RB Derrick Ward (perhaps the best backup RB in the NFL) for Bucs RB Earnest Graham (734 total yards, 4 TDs) and Jets WR Jerricho Cotchery (7.4 Targets per game). Both sides get a sure-fire fantasy starter and someone with good upside during the playoff weeks.
Permission To Talk Fantasy Hoops ...
As promised, we'll dive full-bore into fantasy hoops in a couple of weeks. But in the meantime ... here's one of the most versatile lists you'll see for roto and/or head-to-head leagues -- the 26 elite players with per-game averages of 10 points, 5 assists OR rebounds and 1.6 blocks OR steals. Have A Link, Comment or Question For Us?
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