Revisiting Signing Day battle with the prediction machine, and more
Revealing how prediction machine and I fared in a Signing Day head-to-head
With two dual-threat QB signees, Michigan will finally have a legit QB battle
One recruit explains why he chose Yale despite numerous scholarship offers
Mike DuMond couldn't remember the terms of our wager.
"We put, what, 100 bucks on this thing, right?" the economist asked early Thursday afternoon. No, I told him. Just my dignity.
DuMond, a principal in CRA International's Tallahassee, Fla., office, is one of three brains behind the Recruiting Prediction Model, a computer program that predicts -- with stunning accuracy -- school choices for the nation's top recruits. DuMond and fellow brainiacs Allen Lynch and Jennifer Platania wanted to test their model against a human who covers recruiting, and I volunteered to be their guinea pig. So two weeks ago, I offered my picks for which schools the 17 then uncommitted members of the Rivals.com Top 100 would choose.
Come National Signing Day, Deep Blue Chip -- I can't even take credit for the clever name; alert reader Will Sherrill of Archer City, Texas, came up with it -- turned me into its own personal Garry Kasparov, drubbing me nine correct predictions to four.
I offer no excuses. And, with apologies to Kent Brockman, I, for one, welcome our new computer recruiting overlords.
DuMond actually seemed surprised the model had done so well. The guys who delay their decision until the 11th hour typically don't behave like the ones who commit the previous year. "The ones who decide in the last week," DuMond said, "are very different creatures from the players who know where they want to go, take one official visit and commit right away."
When Sulphur Springs, Texas, quarterback Tyrik Rollison committed to Auburn last week, DuMond assumed I had some sort of mind meld with the prospects and predicted a Staples rout. But as the signatures rolled in Wednesday, DuMond knew science had won again. Fortunately for me and for the computer, we agreed to consider Wichita, Kan., tailback Bryce Brown a Miami commitment. Neither of us considered the Hamilton Tiger Cats a possible destination.
On to the results:
Rueben Randle, WR, Bastrop (La.)
Computer pick: LSU
Devon Kennard, DE, Desert Vista (Phoenix, Ariz.)
Computer pick: USC
Dre Kirkpatrick, City (Gadsden, Ala.)
Computer pick: Alabama
Jelani Jenkins, LB, Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, Md.)
Computer pick: Penn State
Manti Te'o, LB, Punahou (Honolulu)
Computer pick: Notre Dame
Greg Reid, DB, Lowndes (Valdosta, Ga.)
Computer pick: Georgia