Projecting all 34 bowl matchups
The ACC pecking order will depend on the Georgia Tech-Clemson title game
My Pac-10 lineup is based on Oregon beating Oregon State next weekend
With only a week to go until Selection Sunday, much of this chart is still very fluid.
For instance, the six 7-5 teams from the SEC are all possibilities for any of six bowls. My projections are based on a hunch that the Outback will select Tennessee and the Chick-fil-A will take home-state Georgia, creating a ripple effect from there. A different decision by either bowl, however, could affect five other teams' spots.
The ACC pecking order will depend in large part on the result of Saturday's Georgia Tech-Clemson championship game. I'm projecting a Yellow Jackets victory, with Clemson sliding to the Champs Sports Bowl. If the Tigers win, however, Georgia Tech's 7-1 conference record prevents it from falling below the Gator Bowl. Similarly, a Cincinnati victory over Pittsburgh could send the Panthers sliding to the Meineke Car Care Bowl, but the Bearcats might not slip past the Gator.
My Pac-10 lineup is based on Oregon beating Oregon State. Should the Beavers win, the Ducks will not fall below the Holiday Bowl, causing USC and others to drop a spot. The Big Ten and Big 12 lineups seem more clear-cut.
Only one eligible BCS-conference team will not get a bowl spot. Right now, that teams appears to be UCLA. However, there remains the possibility that Notre Dame, which I have in the Little Caesars Bowl, will turn down a bowl invite, what with its coaching staff in flux and its star players already setting sights on the NFL. In that event, a spot would open for the Bruins, most likely in either the GMAC or Humanitarian bowls.
Note that some official bowl berths might be doled out prior to Sunday, in which case this chart will be updated.
Finally, it's important to remember that bowls are NOT obligated to choose their teams in exact order of conference standings. For instance, "ACC No. 3" means "third choice of ACC teams" -- not "the ACC's third-place team." Also, a bowl can only select a 6-6 team from a conference if no 7-5 team from that league is still available, and bowls seeking a replacement for a conference without enough eligible teams cannot choose a 6-6 team if there is a 7-5 team available.
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