A new champion in the Premiership

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With Carlo Ancelotti (left) continuing Guus Hiddink's work from last season, Chelsea could take back the Premier League trophy. Darren Walsh/Chelsea FC via Getty Images 2009-10 EPL Predictions Place Team 1 Chelsea 2 Manchester United 3 Liverpool 4 Arsenal 5 Manchester City 6 Aston Villa 7 Everton 8 Tottenham Hotspur 9 West Ham United 10 Fulham 11 Sunderland 12 Blackburn Rovers 13 Bolton Wanderers 14 Birmingham City 15 Wigan Athletic 16 Stoke City 17 Wolverhampton Wanderers 18 Portsmouth 19 Hull City 20 Burnley

Awaking from our slumber after one of those tedious biennial summers without a showpiece international tournament, it slowly dawned on us: the Premier League is back at last! With only one week before the world's pre-eminent league kicks off, we headed for Castle Limey to dust down the dungeon-sized supercomputer responsible for our EPL predictions.

Dials whirring and steam pouring forth from pipes and pistons, on the mustiest of paper, the trusty machine spat out its sage message. Before we race to Honest Hesketh's bookmakers to desperately blow our last few cents, here's our forecast. As with last season, we see the EPL table shaping up into six groups of teams. Belts and braces on, here we go from the top:

Three of last year's top four teams have a realistic tilt at EPL glory, while Arsenal risks being ousted from the Champions League qualifier positions by free-spending Manchester City.

Manchester United, last year's champion, has suffered key losses with the departure of Carlos Tévez and, especially, FIFA World Player of the Year Cristiano Ronaldo. United's chances Tévez on Michael Owen's ability to consistently be an out-and-out goal-scorer, something Tévez never was. However, now injury-prone and lacking the pace of his youth, doubts remain about whether Owen can perform consistently at the highest level. Plus, good though he is, can Antonio Valencia really fill the shoes of Ronaldo? Can anyone not named Lionel Messi? These factors, coupled with the ever-aging legs of Ryan Giggs and Paul Scholes, likely mean a weaker United side. We think the EPL trophy will leave Old Trafford next May.

So where is it headed? Xabi Alonso's exit to Real Madrid is a big blow for Liverpool, but Rafael Benítez has moved quickly to replace the Spaniard with the imminent signing of Italian international Alberto Aquilani. Similarly, the loss of Álvaro Arbeloa, also to Real, has been compensated for by replacement right back Glen Johnson. Liverpool therefore looks like a similar prospect to last season in terms of personnel, and for that reason we think the Reds will finish third.

Chelsea hasn't lost any key players from its squad and, under Guus Hiddink, its form was excellent. So much so that had it been replicated prior to his February arrival, the Blues would now be defending champions. Importantly, this momentum looks to have been maintained under new manager Carlo Ancelotti. Midfielder Frank Lampard this week voiced the virtues of Ancelotti and fellow Italian national manager Fabio Capello: "That's why they have won big trophies in their careers. 'Must win' is the only way for them and they don't accept slacking off in games or training," he told The Sun.

We consider that Chelsea's strong squad -- including the addition of highly rated new signing Yuri Zhirkov -- and the must-win mentality of its new manager should see the Blues crowned champions for the first time since 2005-06.

A long-standing criticism of the EPL is that its Champions League qualifying teams are practically preordained. Not this year. Man. City's huge spending spree has seen it bring in Gareth Barry, Roque Santa Cruz and Tévez to the club, as well as (and perhaps crucially in the race for fourth), former Arsenal duo Emmanuel Adebayor and Kolo Touré. Arsenal's trip to the City of Manchester Stadium on Sept. 12 will provide an early indication of their relative strengths, but for now, we're tipping the Gunners to just pip City at the post. With similar caliber of squads, we think that Arsène Wenger's guile and Cesc Fàbregas' ability to control a match will prove the difference. City's advantage of not having additional European games to play will be erased if Arsenal fails to negotiate a tricky Champions League qualifier with Glasgow Celtic.

Aston Villa, Everton, Tottenham Hotspur. That's our sense of the order in which these three will finish, but those standings could be reversed easily. Villa's form tailed off last year, but with a host of young stars developing, we think it will make sixth despite the loss of Barry. Once fit, Stewart Downing should prove another potent strand in Villa's fast attacking plays. Everton finished fifth for the last two seasons, but we think the Toffeemen will drop to seventh this time round.

If Joleon Lescott is Manchester City-bound, incoming Philippe Senderos will not plug the defensive gap, especially with Phil Jagielka not expected to return until November and Tony Hibbert being no Gianluca Zambrotta. Offensively, the return of Yakubu Aiyegbeni and Mikel Arteta from long-term injury will be welcome, but if Everton is to close in on Arsenal, Marouane Fellaini must dictate from the center, allowing Tim Cahill more freedom to roam, and Jô needs to reproduce the form he showed prior to his arrival in the EPL.

Spurs, dear Spurs. So often the self-anointed "other big club" and London media darlings offer so much and fail to deliver. We were tempted to predict them fifth given their squad -- how about Robbie Keane, Jermain Defoe, Roman Pavlyuchenko and Peter Crouch for an attacking quartet? -- and the form they showed after Harry Redknapp arrived in October and took them from relegation contenders to eighth place. But we won't. Something tells us that they won't have the consistency to finish ahead of Everton and Villa.

Three teams are grouped in our fourth tier of clubs, those who sit just off the pace of the Europa League qualifying teams. We think Gianfranco Zola's impressive first season form will continue and West Ham again will finish ninth. We're predicting Fulham, stretched and distracted by its participation in the Europa League, to fall from seventh to 10th. In addition, the potential departure of defensive linchpin Brede Hangeland to Arsenal could be a real blow. Sunderland, with Steve Bruce as manager, a safe pair of hands and a face like the Elephant Man, and new signing Darren Bent, hungry to dispel his doubters and win a place in the England World Cup squad, will see a significant improvement from last season.

Blackburn, Bolton, Wigan and newly promoted Birmingham City should finish clear of the relegation dogfight. The remaining teams all will face a scrap to avoid the trap door into the Championship. Bankruptcy-threatened Portsmouth has released and sold many big-name players and, at present is a key relegation candidate. We reckon Pompey will be accompanied by Hull -- can anyone see the Tigers regaining their form of last autumn? -- and newly promoted Burnley, a club with a lot of heart but not enough budget for the EPL.