Posted: Monday January 18, 2010 1:38PM; Updated: Monday January 18, 2010 1:38PM
| 2010 NCAA Tournament Projection |
Selection Sunday is not until March 14, but it's never too early to see what the 2010 NCAA Tournament field looks like as of right now. Note: The top-four
seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more
than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location. Thus, in the coming weeks, shifts
in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions.
In this bracket, the South matches up with the West, the East with the Midwest.
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| SOUTH - Houston |
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|
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| 1 |
Texas |
| 16 |
Campbell (Atlantic Sun) |
| |
| |
| 8 |
Wake Forest |
| 9 |
New Mexico |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 5 |
Northern Iowa (MVC) |
| 12 |
Illinois |
| |
| |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
| 13 |
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 6 |
Georgia Tech |
| 11 |
Richmond |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Purdue |
| 14 |
Weber State (Big Sky) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 7 |
Mississippi |
| 10 |
Baylor |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Villanova |
| 15 |
Vermont (America East) |
|
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| EAST - Syracuse |
| |
|
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| 1 |
Kentucky |
| 16 |
Lafayette (Patriot)/Jackson St. (SWAC) |
| |
| |
| 8 |
UAB (C-USA) |
| 9 |
Texas A&M |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 5 |
Ohio State |
| 12 |
Saint Mary's |
| |
| |
| 4 |
Temple |
| 13 |
Virginia |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 6 |
Mississippi State |
| 11 |
Xavier |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Pittsburgh |
| 14 |
Oakland (Summit) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 7 |
Missouri |
| 10 |
Washington |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Duke |
| 15 |
Morgan State (MEAC) |
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| WEST - Salt Lake City |
| |
|
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| 1 |
Syracuse |
| 16 |
Quinnipiac (Northeast) |
| |
| |
| 8 |
North Carolina |
| 9 |
Minnesota |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 5 |
Gonzaga |
| 12 |
Dayton |
| |
| |
| 4 |
BYU |
| 13 |
Louisiana Tech (WAC) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 6 |
Vanderbilt |
| 11 |
Siena (MAAC) |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Kansas State |
| 14 |
Buffalo (MAC) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 7 |
Connecticut |
| 10 |
Florida State |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Michigan State |
| 15 |
Pacific (Big West) |
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| MIDWEST - St. Louis |
| |
|
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| 1 |
Kansas |
| 16 |
TAMU-CC (Southland) |
| |
| |
| 8 |
UNLV |
| 9 |
Cal |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 5 |
Clemson |
| 12 |
Cincinnati |
| |
| |
| 4 |
Wisconsin |
| 13 |
Murray State (Ohio Valley) |
| |
| |
|
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| 6 |
Butler (Horizon) |
| 11 |
Rhode Island |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Tennessee |
| 14 |
College of Charleston (SoCon) |
| |
| |
|
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| 7 |
William & Mary (CAA) |
| 10 |
Cornell (Ivy) |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Georgetown |
| 15 |
Coastal Carolina (Big South) |
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New multi-bid conference teams in: Virginia (auto bid), Cincinnati, Illinois.
Multi-bid conference teams out: Miami (FL), Oklahoma State, Texas Tech.
Also considered: Virginia Tech, Marquette, Arizona State, Northwestern, Florida, Louisville, Old Dominion. (No teams with an RPI over 100, according
to CollegeRPI.com, were considered.)
Bids by conference: ACC and Big East (7); Big 12 and Big Ten (6), SEC and Atlantic 10 (5); Mountain West (3); Pac-10 and West Coast (2).
Auto bids in smaller conferences were determined by best RPI among all first-place (e.g. fewest losses) teams in the league. One-bid league winners and
select other auto-bid teams are listed with their conference for clarity. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.
Brief thoughts:
-- Virginia's inclusion as the ACC auto-bid winner bumped out an at-large team, which was in the Northwestern/Arizona State/OK State/Texas Tech/a couple
others neighborhood. My eyes started bleeding when comparing those profiles.
-- There appears to be a clear split now halfway through the 2-seed line, with Villanova and Duke being stronger profile-wise than Michigan State and
Georgetown.
-- North Carolina tumbled from a 3 to an 8 after 70 bad minutes and two losses.
-- Florida State and Richmond swapped seed lines to help the bracket conform to rules.
-- There are seven at-large teams from outside the BCS conferences.
Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
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