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Posted: Monday March 1, 2010 12:20PM; Updated: Monday March 1, 2010 8:16PM
Andy Glockner
Andy Glockner>BUBBLE WATCH

As Selection Sunday nears, it's a huge week for bubble teams

Story Highlights

With the NCAA tournament bubble tightening, teams play their way in and out

With Purdue's Robbie Hummel out, Duke is closing in on a No. 1 seed

It's going to be a fight for at-large spots in the Big East and Atlantic 10

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Kemba Walker must drive UConn to a big week to boost the Huskies' NCAA tournament hopes.
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Tech-hip people likely are familiar with the term WYSIWYG, or "what you see is what you get," where the system produces an end document that looks very similar to what's currently on the screen.

With less than two weeks until Selection Sunday, what you see today is definitively NOT what you'll get on March 14, thanks to the annual shrinkage of the bubble itself and the self-elimination of some candidates down the stretch.

This week, that will especially be true in the Big East and ACC. Here's a quick primer on some of this week's biggest bubble games from all around the nation:

TUESDAY

Vanderbilt at Florida: The Gators need this one or they'll head to Kentucky staring at 9-7 in the SEC and uncertainty.

Georgia Tech at Clemson: The Yellow Jackets really could use the road win; Clemson's looking for safety.

Louisville at Marquette: The winner feels very good about its position. The loser keeps sweating into the Big East tournament.

WEDNESDAY

Wake Forest at Florida State: The 'Noles need this one more, but Wake could use it to eliminate doubts.

Connecticut at Notre Dame: Very well could be for a spot in next Monday's bracket.

Charlotte at Rhode Island: The winner still has reasonable at-large hopes, while the loser's in a ton of trouble.

THURSDAY

Dayton at Richmond: The Flyers very well have to get this one or they may need a trip to the A-10 finals.

SATURDAY

UAB at UTEP: The winner enhances its at-large prospects at the expense of the loser.

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech: Especially if GT loses at Clemson, this one's huge for both teams.

Notre Dame at Marquette: The back half of this week's Big East Bubble Roulette for the Irish.

New Mexico State at Utah State: Utah State needs this one for solo WAC crown, at-large hopes.

********

Housekeeping note: On Thursday, we'll have an update. Starting next Monday, the Bubble Watch and the bracket will go daily through Selection Sunday.

Remember, records listed are Division I only, per NCAA tournament selection guidelines. All RPI and SOS data are from Sunday's collegerpi.com RPI report.

Send your very valuable feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com or to @aglockon Twitter. All submissions are read; polite, fact-based ones stand the best chance of a response. Readers who claim their team's record is wrong because they failed to read the previous paragraph will be forced to play overtime against Marquette.

Summary key:

GW: Good wins over top-50ish foes (home league wins judged more strictly).

BL: Bad losses to teams outside top 100 or to direct bubble competitors.

ACC

Locks: Duke, Maryland

Duke is the potential prime benefactor from the knee injury to Purdue's Robbie Hummel. A run of the table should mean a No. 1 seed in the NCAAs. The Blue Devils finally have lock company, with Maryland into the dance now after picking up an 11th ACC win in double-overtime at Virginia Tech. Despite an empty nonleague slate, there's no way an 11-win ACC team is missing the bracket. Well done by the Terps.

In bubble news, there is a lot to be settled. Going 9-7 in the ACC this season is not a golden ticket in all cases. A lot of the bubble teams play this week, so the pecking order will be a lot clearer next week.

SHOULD BE IN

None.

IN THE MIX

Wake Forest (18-8, 8-6, RPI: 28, SOS: 32) had a sizable misstep, losing at home to plummeting North Carolina in its only game of the week. Suddenly, things are far less secure for the Deacons, who head to Florida State on Tuesday and host Clemson on Saturday in two very important games. Wake has some solid nonleague wins to fall back on, but needs to step messing around.
GW: at Gonzaga, Xavier, Richmond.
BL: William & Mary and UNC at home aren't great Ls. Neither is at Miami or N.C. State.

Clemson (20-8, 8-6, RPI: 39, SOS: 34) got a huge road win at Florida State on Sunday night to keep moving toward an NCAA berth. If they can split this week against Georgia Tech and at Wake, they'll be in decent shape.
GW: Butler (N), sweep of FSU.
BL: None, but handful to bubble competition: league foes Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech, plus Illinois.

Florida State (20-8, 8-6, RPI: 35, SOS: 57) did what it needed to do at UNC, but then lost at home to Clemson, which could be a key misstep. The 'Noles host Wake before visiting Miami, so they still have a decent schedule, but the depth of their profile isn't very good. Winning both would be a good idea.
GW: Marquette, sweep of GT and beat VT (bubble purposes).
BL: Home to N.C. State; swept by Clemson and lost to Florida (bubble purposes).

Virginia Tech (21-7, 8-6, RPI: 52, SOS: 132) should be very concerned now after getting ripped at BC and then falling in 2OT at home to Maryland. Beating N.C. State at home is now imperative and winning at Georgia Tech on Saturday is strongly recommended. The nonleague slate continues to haunt Tech. Will BW's Jan. 25 suggestion that the Hokies will go to the NIT after finishing 22-9 (9-7) be prophetic?
GW: Best of thin lot are Clemson and Wake at home and vs. Seton Hall (bubblers).
BL: Nothing awful, but at Miami and at BC hurt.

Georgia Tech (18-9, 7-7, RPI: 28, SOS: 32) scraped past BC to get back to .500. Now Tuesday's trip to Clemson and the home finale against Virginia Tech are enormous. Georgia Tech is another ACC team that probably needs two more decent wins to feel good about its chances.
GW: Duke, Siena?
BL: Nothing horrible, but swept by FSU (bubble purposes) and lost at Miami.

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