Posted: Wednesday March 10, 2010 1:23AM; Updated: Wednesday March 10, 2010 10:57AM
| 2010 NCAA Tournament Projection |
In this bracket, the Midwest matches
up with the West, the South with the East in the national semifinals.
Note: The top-four
seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in
high seeds between regions (e.g. if more
than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary
location. Thus, in the next couple weeks, shifts
in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions.
* -- automatic qualifier |
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| MIDWEST - Saint Louis |
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|
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| 1 |
Kansas |
| 16 |
East Tennessee State* (Atlantic Sun) |
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| |
| 8 |
Louisville |
| 9 |
Florida State |
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|
| |
| 5 |
Vanderbilt |
| 12 |
San Diego State |
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| 4 |
Georgetown |
| 13 |
Siena* (MAAC) |
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|
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| 6 |
Xavier |
| 11 |
Virginia Tech |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Pittsburgh |
| 14 |
Sam Houston State (Southland) |
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|
| |
| 7 |
Northern Iowa* (Missouri Valley) |
| 10 |
Oklahoma State |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Purdue |
| 15 |
UC Santa Barbara (Big West) |
|
|
| SOUTH - Houston |
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|
| |
| 1 |
Syracuse |
| 16 |
Jackson State (SWAC)/Lehigh (Patriot) |
| |
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| 8 |
UNLV |
| 9 |
Utah State (WAC) |
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|
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| 5 |
Maryland |
| 12 |
Illinois |
| |
| |
| 4 |
Baylor |
| 13 |
Mississippi |
| |
| |
|
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| 6 |
Richmond |
| 11 |
Cornell* (Ivy) |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Kansas State |
| 14 |
Oakland* (Summit) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 7 |
Clemson |
| 10 |
Notre Dame |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Ohio State |
| 15 |
Morgan State (MEAC) |
|
|
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| |
| |
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| WEST - Salt Lake City |
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|
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| 1 |
West Virginia |
| 16 |
Winthrop* (Big South) |
| |
| |
| 8 |
Gonzaga |
| 9 |
Old Dominion* (Colonial) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 5 |
Texas A&M |
| 12 |
Georgia Tech |
| |
| |
| 4 |
Tennessee |
| 13 |
Murray State* (Ohio Valley) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 6 |
Michigan State |
| 11 |
Florida |
| |
| |
| 3 |
New Mexico (Mountain West) |
| 14 |
Weber State (Big Sky) |
| |
| |
|
| |
| 7 |
Butler* (Horizon) |
| 10 |
Marquette |
| |
| |
| 2 |
Duke |
| 15 |
Vermont (America East) |
|
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| EAST- Syracuse |
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|
| |
| 1 |
Kentucky |
| 16 |
Quinnipiac (Northeast) |
| |
| |
| 8 |
Missouri |
| 9 |
Saint Mary's* (West Coast) |
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| |
|
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| 5 |
BYU |
| 12 |
Seton Hall |
| |
| |
| 4 |
Temple |
| 13 |
Kent State (MAC) |
| |
| |
|
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| 6 |
Texas |
| 11 |
California (Pac-10) |
| |
| |
| 3 |
Wisconsin |
| 14 |
Wofford* (SoCon) |
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|
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| 7 |
Wake Forest |
| 10 |
UTEP (Conference USA) |
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| |
| 2 |
Villanova |
| 15 |
North Texas* (Sun Belt) |
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New multibid conference teams in: None.
Multibid conference teams out: None.
Also considered: Memphis, Arizona State,
Washington, Rhode Island, Mississippi State, UAB, South Florida, Dayton.
Bids by conference: Big East (9), ACC and Big 12 (7), Big Ten and SEC
(5), Mountain West (4), Atlantic 10 (3), West Coast (2).
One-bid league winners and select other auto-bid teams are listed with their conference
for clarity. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.
SEEDING NOTES
On Monday night, I undertook a
through reevaluation of all seeds in the 1-12 lines and tried to reconcile some gaps that had appeared both between teams in the same conference and teams
with similar resumes from different leagues. Here are some of the modest adjustments made:
-- Villanova and Kansas State swapped spots at the 2/3 flex
point.
-- Wisconsin moved up to a 3 instead of Temple, which drops to a 4. The Badgers' bump was injury credit for the return of Jon
Leuer.
-- Michigan State moved from a borderline 4/5 down to a 6. Tennessee and Vandy benefited with bumps up a seed line.
-- Wake Forest
moved from an 8/9 to a 7. I was being a bit harsh on the Demon Deacons.
-- Marquette and Oklahoma State remain natural 9s but were pushed to 10s by
bracket conflicts.
-- Saint Mary's win over Gonzaga moved the Gaels from a natural 11 to a natural 10 and dropped the Zags from a 7 to an 8.
--
Cal should be a natural 10 and Notre Dame an 11, but bracketing rules required a swap.
Obviously, a lot will change between now and Sunday, but I
think these tweaks provide a more accurate platform off of which to judge postseason work.
Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
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