Posted: Wednesday December 29, 2010 12:11PM ; Updated: Wednesday December 29, 2010 1:39PM
Joe Posnanski
Joe Posnanski>VIEWPOINT

Sports' most fascinating for 2011

Story Highlights

2010 set up many questions for which 2011 should provide the answers

Greats like Tiger, LeBron, Fed, Peyton, Serena and JJ will be as compelling as ever

More figures to watch: Tim Tebow, Bill Cowher and the Phillies' great rotation

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Tiger Woods went winless in 2010. Is he done as the dominant force in golf?
William West/AFP/Getty Images

In many ways, 2010 felt like a setup year. There were a lot of questions. We didn't get too many answers. Is Tiger Woods done as the dominant force in golf? Don't know. Is Derek Jeter declining rapidly? We'll find out. Will LeBron James' Decision (powered by ESPN) lead to a shift of power in the NBA? Let you know next year.

In many ways, 2010 felt like one of those sitcoms with the "To Be Continued" tease at the end.

Oh, there were great moments. New Orleans won its first Super Bowl, San Francisco won its first World Series. Lindsey Vonn won the downhill at the Olympics. Manny Pacquiao won something like his 184th championship. Rafael Nadal grabbed his place as the best tennis player in the world -- and will now chase Roger Federer's legend as the best of all time. Kobe Bryant and the Lakers won again, and Sidney Crosby scored a goal for the ages. Two men threw perfect games -- one of them, Roy Halladay, also threw a postseason no-hitter -- but the most memorable game of the year was a one-hitter thrown by Detroit's Armando Galarraga. Landon Donovan scored the most famous goal in U.S. soccer history. Once again, no thoroughbred won the Triple Crown.

Photo Gallery: The best games of the year

But it seems like much of the excitement is waiting for next year, when we should get answers to some of the most pressing questions in sports -- and, if not answers, at least hints. These are my 10 most fascinating people in sports for 2011.

1. Tiger Woods

Something absolutely remarkable happened with Woods in his final tournament of the year. To set the scene, this was the Chevron World Challenge in Thousand Oaks, Calif. This is the tournament that Woods hosts. Only 18 golfers played in it. With that setup, it won't surprise you to know that Woods won the thing the two previous times he played and three of the previous four. He looked like an easy winner again. He led by four shots going into Sunday. Even though this thing was all but set up for him, and there were only a few other players, it was still kind of a big deal. Tiger had not won a tournament all year.

And then -- Woods lost anyway. The gritty Graeme McDowell of Northern Ireland shot a 69 on the final day to chase down Woods, who closed with a 1-over 73. McDowell, the U.S. Open champion, made back-to-back clutch putts, the first to force a playoff, the second to beat Tiger on the first extra hole. Tiger, who had been the world's best big-moment putter for so long that it seemed like he had retired the trophy, missed his putt to extend the playoff.

The victory by McDowell was something -- but that's not the remarkable part. The remarkable part was how so many people afterward somehow used this as proof that Woods is "back." Hey, he had been in contention! Hey, he made some nice shots! Look out, world! Next year is Tiger's year!

This is how desperately we want Woods back on top of the golfing world. It's boring and plain without him. Woods turns 35 at the end of this month, which isn't the end for a pro golfer, but it usually means that he better start cherishing the good weekends. When Woods was asked what he learned after he blew the tournament to McDowell, he said something curious. You could be sure that the old Tiger would have simply said, "I lost." That was always what he learned from losses, nothing more, nothing less. But this time he said, "I tried hard." The crushing 2010 clearly took a lot out of the man -- the tabloids, the public divorce, the rough golf moments -- but he was still standing at the end. It will be fun to watch him in 2011. For once, his future doesn't look so clear.

2. LeBron James

In a year when a couple of the hottest animated movies -- Megamind and Despicable Me -- dealt with the conflicting feelings of being a good guy or a bad guy, James was dealing with that question in real life. His Decision (powered by ESPN) to take his talents to South Beach was widely viewed as a public relations disaster. He and Nike released an artsy and strange commercial in which LeBron was heard asking again and again, "What Should I Do?" And the Miami Heat -- the team that James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh created, seemingly out of friendship -- started off the season playing disordered and uninspired basketball. James complained about too much playing time, there was the most-viewed player-coach bump in memory, and then an anonymous source (oh, whose camp could it be?) said that Heat coach Erik Spoelstra was kind of mean to LeBron and didn't let him have his fun. It did not seem to be going well.

Then in early December, James went back to Cleveland -- the city he had left behind -- and unleashed some of the basketball talents that only he seems to have. And the crowd booed him and taunted him and he only played better and better. It was almost as if he finally embraced his role as the bad guy. After the Cleveland visit, the Heat reeled off nine straight wins and 12 of 13.

Are they good enough to win a championship? It will be fascinating to watch. The Heat still lack an inside game, James and Wade still seem to be more in competition than togetherness on the court, and when James is on the floor the team, even with Wade and Bosh, still seems to play a lot like the Cavaliers teams that crumbled in last year's playoffs. But when they are right, they are scary good. And LeBron James seems to like being scary.

3. Derek Jeter

The Jeter-Yankees negotiations were a bit testier than many people expected (the spectacularly undramatic Jeter even admitted to being "angry"), but it of course ended exactly where everyone knew it would end: Jeter signed a three-year deal for dramatically more money than any other team would have offered (three years, $51 million) and with less money than he would have liked.

But now is the real question: Just how much does Jeter have left in the tank? He showed signs of age in 2008, when he needed a hot last two months to raise his average to .300. As it was, 2008 was probably Jeter's worse offensive season since he was a rookie, and his defensive numbers suggested that he was well below average. He was also about to turn 35. It seemed like he had begun the downhill slide.

But then, he had a spectacular 2009 season -- he hit .334, had a .406 on-base percentage, stole 30 bases and dramatically improved his defensive numbers, and the Yankees won their first World Series in nine years. The year was capped off with Jeter's being named Sports Illustrated Sportsman of the Year.

Age, though, is relentless, and his decline picked up where it left off in 2010. He had by far his worst offensive season, hitting only .270 and slugging just .370 -- for the first time in his career he led the league in outs. Jeter believes that he has a lot of baseball left in him, and the Yankees obviously believe that must be true to give him a three-year deal. If Jeter can maintain even what he did in 2010, he can be an effective player (especially when you include his role as a team leader and spokesman). But if he keeps regressing at the plate and in the field, the Yankees could find the next three years uncomfortable. Jeter will be especially energized this year as he tries to prove people wrong and as he closes in on 3,000 hits.

But how much longer can he be an everyday shortstop? How much longer can he stay at the top of the Yankees' lineup? These questions and many more will be worth asking in 2011.

4. Roger Federer

Speaking of players who seem to be aging before our eyes -- Federer started 2010 by winning the Australian Open. But then it all changed for him. He was knocked out in the quarterfinals at the French Open -- the first time since 2004 that he had not reached the semifinals of a major. And then at Wimbledon -- his tournament -- he was knocked out in the quarterfinals again. He lost in the semifinals at the U.S. Open, and he ended the year No. 2, more than 3,000 points behind his young rival, Rafael Nadal.

Federer is widely viewed as the greatest player ever. His genius for angles, his great movement, his ability to transfer his greatness to each surface (he was only the second player, after Andre Agassi, to win all four major championships on three different surfaces; Nadal has since become the third) has made him probably the first individual athlete since Jack Nicklaus to be treated as the best ever while he was in his prime. But the prime seems over now, and it will be interesting to see what happens to Federer. Does he, like Pete Sampras, have another chapter left?

 
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