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Posted: Wednesday April 7, 2010 4:39PM; Updated: Wednesday April 7, 2010 5:01PM
Michael Farber
Michael Farber>ON THE FLY

Best and worst of painful season

Story Highlights

Headshots dominated the news, but inspired the league's best idea

Colorado was the biggest surprise, creating a new turnaround paradigm

Our picking Jay Bouwmeester for the Norris Trophy deserves worst prediction

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max-afinogenov.jpg
During a season in which they lost star sniper Ilya Kovalchuk, the Thrashers got solid bang for their bucks out of bargain bin castoff Max Afinogenov (left).
Mark Goldman/Icon SMI

The Year of the Headshot will not go down as a fabulous hockey season, at least by most metrics.

Midway thought the final week of an NHL campaign in which blindside hits left us as dizzy as the success of the wards-of-the-state Coyotes, there still is no 50 goal-scorer and only three 100-point men. The playoff slots have been decided in the Western Conference and the turtle race for the last three Eastern spots has been a joke. (Since 2003-04, no playoff team has had fewer than 90 points. The East could have as many as three.)

Our guess is that 2009-10 will look better in an historical context than it has in real time -- this season likely will be the dividing line of a seismic generational shift with the emergence of Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos and a host of brilliant young defensemen -- but hindsight is better than our foresight, as you will soon see.

Anyway, here's a free-form list of highs and lows from October to early April, a season in shorthand:

• Biggest bargain: Maxim Afinogenov, RW, Atlanta. During a phone conversation with Lindy Ruff in the fall of 1999, the Buffalo coach said, "I think we've found our Pavel Bure." He was right, in a way. For 170 or so feet, Afinogenov sometimes looked like a version of the Russian Rocket. But he never seemed able to master the rest of the real estate -- those tricky scoring areas near the goal where he'd morph into Roberto (Hands of Stone) Duran. Afinogenov's 24 goals this season for Atlanta aren't exactly Bure-esque, but they do mark a career high. For a one-year commitment of $800,000, the Thrashers got more than their money's worth.

• Oddest contract: Matt Stajan, C, Calgary. In a pre-trade deadline effort to shake up the Flames, general manager Darryl Sutter shipped defenseman Dion Phaneuf to Toronto and imported four Maple Leafs. Acquiring players who made up roughly a fifth of the worst team in its conference was problematic by definition, but quickly re-upping Stajan for four years and $14 million was mind-blowing. Maybe Sutter really liked Stajan. You know -- decent passer, upgrade at center, all that. But the GM should have been chary of a player who will never fill the role of a No. 1 on a good team or be an ideal complement to star winger Jarome Iginla. Cap room is king in the new NHL; the Flames squandered a chunk of it on a player who is not a difference-maker.

• Worst coaching decision: Bengt-Ake Gustafsson, Team Sweden. So many possibilities -- Slava Bykov's deer-in-headlights act behind Team Russia's bench against Canada, Vancouver's Alain Vigneault allowing Roberto Luongo to stay in for eight goals against Los Angeles, fill in your own favorite team's blank -- and so little space. But Gustafsson, who coached Sweden's gold medal team in 2006, lost his ever-loving Scandinavian mind in the quarterfinal loss to Slovakia.

Forget his playing Henrik and Daniel Sedin a mere eight minutes in the first two periods against the Slovaks. That's chump change compared to what happened with a minute left and the Swedes down by a goal. Pulling Henrik Lundqvist for an extra attacker, the coach sent Sami Pahlsson over the boards. With an array of exceptional offensive talent available, Gustafsson apparently was guessing that the hot stick belonged to a Blue Jackets checker who has scored 34 goals since the lockout. Maybe the coach was praying for a Max Talbot moment. (Michel Therrien used Talbot as the extra attacker in Game 5 of the 2008 Stanley Cup Final, getting a goal from the unheralded Penguin center with 35 seconds left and prolonging the series.)

Under the circumstances, Gustafsson's was an all-time low percentage play. On the Fly recently asked Washington's Nicklas Backstrom what his coach might have been thinking. "I don't know," he said. "I ask myself that same question every day."

There have been two European head coaches in the NHL: Ivan Hlinka and Alpo Suhonen. After Vancouver 2010, it might be another decade before any team hires another one. Phoenix assistant Ulf Samuelsson, a Swede, is the only Euro with a chance, but all his coaching has been done in North America.

• Biggest surprise team: Colorado Avalanche. The Coyotes were a bigger and better story given the ownership/dollar-sign drama that surrounded the franchise, but Colorado's ascent to the playoffs was even more staggering. Phoenix actually showed something last season -- it was fifth at the All-Star break -- before it crashed. In stockpiling some battle-hardened and marked-down veterans, GM Don Maloney was at least giving new coach Dave Tippett, a Jack Adams lock, a chance. Colorado looked like it hadn't bottomed out yet. But credit new GM Greg Sherman and rookie coach Joe Sacco for establishing what might be a new paradigm for a turnaround: get young players who can score a little and give them ice time. Winger Chris Stewart and rookies Matt Duchene and T.J. Galiardi filled the roles. Certainly the plan worked better than defense-first Calgary's. The Flames scored 37 fewer goals than the Avs, about a half-goal per game less.

• Most disappointing team: Edmonton Oilers. Pat Quinn and associate coach Tom Renney didn't suddenly lose 50 points off their coaching IQs, but the stagnation of the young Oilers is disconcerting. Sam Gagner, Patrick O'Sullivan (a green jacket-worthy minus-36) and Andrew Cogliano, who struggles to create his own ice, look like they have regressed. There is some reason for optimism in the erstwhile City of Champions, given the potential of their past two No. 1 draft choices -- Jordan Eberle and Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson -- and the possibility of the first overall pick in June, but the Oilers are years away from Cup contention. That's assuming they ever get there.

Futility can lead to championships in some cases. (See Pittsburgh and maybe Washington, which restocked with high draft picks.) But the formula does not come with a money-back guarantee. (See Florida and the New York Islanders.)

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