2010 NFL Mock Draft: Giants, Eagles may trade up in first round

Sam Bradford would be the 18th quarterback taken No. 1 since the merger in 1970. Damian Strohmeyer/SI NFL Draft 2010 Latest Coverage Banks: Raiders deft moves, more Snaps Banks: Snap Judgments from Rounds 2, 3 Deitsch: Goodell enjoys primetime buzz King: Jags make biggest reach in Round 1 Posnanski: Daydreams give way to reality Banks: Snap Judgments from Round 1 Trotter: Cowboys choose talent over risk Deitsch: Analyzing the first-round trades Rounds: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Tracker Latest SI Videos LT's draft memory: Drinking 41 beers Denver Broncos' big first-round gamble More Coverage Select an option VIDEO: Tebow's personality boosts his stock VIDEO: Gerald McCoy interview VIDEO: Ndamukong Suh interview VIDEO: Sam Bradford interview Peter King: My final mock draft, with two trades Peter King: Ten people under most draft pressure Stewart Mandel: Undervalued college stars in draft Tony Pauline: Super sleeper prospect in draft Tony Pauline: Draft prospects on the rise, decline Full NFL Draft 2010 coverage Draft order, rounds 1-7

One of the reasons Gil Brandt, the godfather of the NFL Draft, thinks this one will have more "I'm shocked" moments is because of the pre-draft smokescreens by the teams picking high this year. Washington GM Bruce Allen and coach Mike Shanahan have always been pros at disguising their draft intentions. Scott Pioli, in his second draft in Kansas City, has his front office locked down. The Seahawks, Bills and Jags have muzzles on too. With those five teams in the top 10, Brandt's theory -- which is correct, I believe -- will bear fruit this year. One or more of those teams will pull off a shocker.

It's during times like these that doing a mock draft becomes most difficult. But I've learned over the years to ignore much of what's said in April when I put the mock jigsaw together.

Take the Redskins. Washington has a crying need for a tackle, its biggest need by far. There are three or four very good ones projected as top picks. Washington has the fourth pick in the first round, its only pick in the top 100. Shanahan twice shocked the world with Denver, picking John Mobley (1996) and Jay Cutler (2006) when no one had a clue he cared about either. His son, new offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan, has been talking about how swell he thinks his line is, particularly tackles Stephen Heyer and Artis Hicks. Allen and Mike Shanahan have said they might take a quarterback at number four.

Well, they might. But if you just traded for a veteran passer (Donovan McNabb) with three or four years left, with no one to protect his blind side, drafting into the teeth of a top-tackle draft, with one pick in the top 100 ... I mean, would your pick be Jimmy Clausen?

Mine wouldn't be either. So here's my mock draft, finalized last weekend in time for the magazine's deadline, with a tackle to Washington and two trades I project in the top half of the round. Trades -- always stupid to project. But I know Denver and Miami are talking about moving down, and I'm rolling some dice. In, as Brandt says, a very dicey first round. (Click players' names for complete profiles)

1. St. Louis
Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma

Rams need a face of the franchise -- and an accurate deep arm. Bradford's both.

2. Detroit
Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska

Coach Jim Schwartz had Albert Haynesworth in Tennessee. He thinks Suh's better.

3. Tampa Bay
Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma

Easiest pick in the draft. For Bucs, value of McCoy is twice any other player left.

4. Washington
Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma

Got a sick feeling Shanahan wants to deal down, pick a QB. Crazy, but that's him.

5. Kansas City
Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa

Sinking on most boards, but GM Pioli sees meat-and-potatoes left tackle for a decade.

6. Seattle
Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State

'Hawks rejoice. A month ago, Okung was top tackle on most NFL draft boards.

7. Cleveland
Eric Berry, S, Tennessee

But if Williams or Okung's around, this will be a very tough call for GM Tom Heckert.

8. Oakland
Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers

Chalk pick -- big, athletic OT -- but since when do Raiders make the chalk pick?

9. Buffalo
Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee

Chan Gailey gets the only top nose tackle in draft to anchor his 3-4 defense.

10. Jacksonville
C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson

I know he has Maurice Jones-Drew ... but Jack Del Rio thinks Spiller can be the next Chris Johnson.