Posted: Wednesday November 24, 2010 2:02PM ; Updated: Wednesday November 24, 2010 3:54PM
Peter King
Peter King>WEEKEND PICKOFF
NFL Week 12
 
Thursday, Nov. 25
 
12:30 p.m. ET (CBS) New England Patriots (8-2) at Detroit Lions (2-8)
This is the Lions' last big game of the year -- national TV, Jim Schwartz coaching against his model/first boss in the football business, Thanksgiving in Detroit -- and they'll throw a few roundhouses at the Patriots. But this just in: Shaun Hill is not Tom Brady.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) New Orleans Saints (7-3) at Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
As much as I want to pick the motivated Garretts (in part because of their four-game Turkey Day winning streak, but mostly because they're playing the way they should have played all season), I can't go against the Saints. Not with Drew Brees getting revenge for last year's Cowboy ravaging of the Saints, ruining their perfect season, and not with Reggie Bush returning to the field.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NFL Network) Cincinnati Bengals (2-8) at New York Jets (8-2)
Let's see. Second-half meltdown to 1-8 Bills at home. Terrell Owens: "We're terrible." Carson Palmer with his foot in a boot all week. Vultures swirling around the head of Marvin Lewis. Mark Sanchez playing like the fourth-quarter Montana. If you've got a Suicide Pool, this is the pick of the year.
 
Sunday, Nov. 28
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Jacksonville Jaguars (6-4) at New York Giants (6-4)
If I'm Tom Coughlin, I walk into the defensive meeting Saturday night and say, "Guys, for us to make the playoffs, we can't count on the offense to put up 30 points the rest of the year; they're too beat up. Starting Sunday, you guys have to win us two or three games if we're going to make the playoffs."
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Minnesota Vikings (3-7) at Washington Redskins (5-5)
Interesting nugget from Leslie Frazier when we spoke this week: He was bummed out last Saturday hen the Vikes' pregame speaker Saturday night kept focusing on how the players needed to rid themselves of all these distractions hovering around the team. "I can tell you," he said, "the only focus this week will be on the Washington Redskins all week." Smart man. Maybe the talent of this team finally will start coming out.
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Green Bay Packers (7-3) at Atlanta Falcons (8-2)
Game of the Week, by far. Great battle between two of the game's top 10 quarterbacks. Aaron Rodgers 260 yards per game, Matt Ryan 250. Rodgers .641 completion rate, Ryan .631. The difference here? The Green Bay corners. Tramon Williams and Charles Woodson will give Ryan his toughest day of the year so far.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) at Buffalo Bills (2-8)
Beware the Bills. They're not screwing around. Everyone else has given up on them. Except them.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Tennessee Titans (5-5) at Houston Texans (4-6)
Rusty Smith might have the shortest Wikipedia page of any starting quarterback in Wikipedia history. Seven sentences. So I've given the Titans one point per sentence.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Carolina Panthers (1-9)
Until further notice, I've stopped taking the Panthers seriously.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS) Oakland Raiders (5-5) at Miami Dolphins (5-5)
Jason Campbell gets the start against the Dolphins, and though Cameron Wake will make his life miserable for part of the day, he's got Darren McFadden to lean on when times get tough. Tyler Thigpen has no such backfield savior. Ergo, Oakland wins.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS) Kansas City Chiefs (6-4) at Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
In Missouri or on a neutral field, the Chiefs win. But there's something about that 12th Man thing, and about Qwest Field. Homefield means a touchdown to the Seahawks. One thing, though: Somebody better block Tamba Hali, or there goes my Qwest theory out the window.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) Phildelphia Eagles (7-3) at Chicago Bears (7-3)
For the Bears to win, Israel Idonije or Julius Peppers is going to have to have a game like Justin Tuck did last week, forcing a turnover or two and giving Jay Cutler a couple of short fields. For the Eagles to win, Mike Vick is going to have to be Mike Vick. Until shown otherwise, I trust Vick.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (Fox) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3) at Baltimore Ravens (7-3)
Funny thing about the Bucs: Fans and teams still look at them as a win on the schedule until they come to town and you're in the middle of the third quarter and trailing 14-3 and say, "Hey, what happened? Who are these guys?" So don't sleep on these Bucs, Baltimoreans.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) St. Louis Rams (4-6) at Denver Broncos (3-7)
Josh McDaniels' Broncos are 5-15 in their last 20, and his support base is thinning. It's going to be downright bald if Sam Bradford comes to town, with Tim Tebow watching from across the way, and makes it 5-16.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) San Diego Chargers (5-5) at Indianapolis Colts (6-4)
The Chargers are the Colts' kryptonite. In the last five years, San Diego's 4-1 in the series. Colts will still win the South, even with this loss, but San Diego's just playing better right now, and Philip Rivers is playing at a Manning level.
 
Monday, Nov. 22
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) San Francisco 49ers (3-7) at Arizona Cardinals (3-7)
Not even Ron Jaworski can make this one interesting.
 

 
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