Posted: Thursday December 2, 2010 11:54AM ; Updated: Thursday December 2, 2010 2:28PM
Peter King
Peter King>WEEKEND PICKOFF
NFL Week 13
 
Thursday, Dec. 2
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NFL Network) Houston Texans (5-6) at Philadelphia Eagles (7-4)
At the risk of being taken off the Reid Family Christmas Card List, let me harp on the exposure to injury Michael Vick is getting right now. In the past two games, he's thrown 82 passes, been sacked seven times and run the ball 20 times. That is 109 exposures to being hit. This is his third game in 11 days. Philly's got two games left versus DeMarcus Ware, one against the Giants (who tormented Vick in Week 11) and one against the possibly dangerous Vikes. Too much heat for Vick, IMHO.
 
Sunday, Dec. 5
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Washington Redskins (5-6) at New York Giants (7-4)
Watched the extended second-half highlights of G-Men win over the Jags, and wish I'd given Eli Manning more credit for his cool, strong second half. He'll need more of that against a defensive playing well for coordinator Jim Haslett.
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Chicago Bears (8-3) at Detroit Lions (2-9)
Kudos, Mike Martz, for not forcing the pass when your line cannot protect Jay Cutler.
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) San Francisco 49ers (4-7) at Green Bay Packers (7-4)
Lost in the mayhem of the week: the $8-million-a-year extension for Green Bay cornerback Tramon Williams. Kid, you're now officially a peer of Charles Woodson.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Buffalo Bills (2-9) at Minnesota Vikings (4-7)
Maybe the ball is less slippery in the dry Dome, Stevie Johnson.
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) New Orleans Saints (8-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-9)
Welcome to the Sports Illustrated Sportsman of the Year anti-jinx. Five days after Tom Brady won it in 2005, he threw for two touchdowns in a 35-7 win over Buffalo. Five days after Brett Favre won it in 2007, he threw for two touchdowns in a 38-7 win over Oakland. This game will be played five days after Drew Brees won Sportsman. Ergo...
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox) Jacksonville Jaguars (6-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-6)
Titans routed the Jags 30-3 in October in Jacksonville. Titans routed the Jags 30-13 in Nashville last year. Chris Johnson's numbers in those two games: 339 rushing yards with scoring runs of 35, 52 and 89 yards. I'm sensing a trend.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Denver Broncos (3-8) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)
Todd "Bury The Hatchet'' Haley has gotten some heat for the way he uses his running backs because he's not using Jamaal Charles as much as some of the other top backs in the league. But I have no idea why the criticism's there. Jamaal Charles isn't built to handle a 330-carry load for a season. In the past two weeks, Charles (34 carries) and the more durable Thomas Jones (35) have rushed for 400 yards on the nose and a dominating 5.8 yards per rush. No need to change that.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Cleveland Browns (4-7) at Miami Dolphins (6-5)
I don't care if Colt McCoy has to play in one of those walking boots. Start him, Eric Mangini. He's the future.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS) Oakland Raiders (5-6) at San Diego Chargers (6-5)
This is not just a big game for the Chargers to keep pace in the AFC West. It's also the start of three in a row at home for the Chargers, and the team and its fans need to show the city they're serious about the franchise staying in San Diego for the future. Downtown Los Angeles beckons if the local politicos don't get serious about a new stadium.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) Dallas Cowboys (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (6-5)
Came very close to picking Dallas; check out Jon Kitna's remarkable play, particularly his 73 percent passing in the past two games. But I'm sure it's been a fire-drill kind of mentality around the Colts this week. Can't see Peyton Manning playing poorly here.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) Atlanta Falcons (9-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4)
I like Tampa's chances to break the can't-beat-a-team-with-a-winning-record schneid, and this one comes down to which team makes a couple of big plays late. I like Thomas DeCoud and Curtis Lofton to come up big down the stretch for the Birds.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) St. Louis Rams (5-6) at Arizona Cardinals (3-8)
I expect Sam Bradford to continue playing like a young Kurt Warner, with Warner commentating from the FOX booth. I expect Derek Anderson to have a dour look on his face at all times. No smiling allowed.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox) Carolina Panthers (1-10) at Seattle Seahawks (5-6)
No time to slip for the Seahawks, trying to win the Really Bad West. Remaining games: at 49ers, Falcons, at Bucs (nice six-hour flight), Rams to close.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3) at Baltimore Ravens (8-3)
Margins of victory in past seven Baltimore-Pittsburgh games: 6, 3, 4, 9, 3, 3, 3. Severe bruises that don't heal until the following March from the last seven meetings: 43, 35, 29, 34, 41, 40, 33. Why the Steelers, on the road, with all their injuries? Gut feeling that Rashard Mendenhall, the tougher Mendenhall, will outgain and outscore Ray Rice.
 
Monday, Dec. 6
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) New York Jets (9-2) at New England Patriots (9-2)
Ye Olde New England Donnybrook. I expect varied coverages on the Patriots tight ends, with Darrelle Revis not being isolated on Wes Welker for four quarters, but there aren't three Revises. I also expect Tom Brady to find Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski enough to win.
 

 
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