Posted: Tuesday December 28, 2010 11:56AM ; Updated: Wednesday December 29, 2010 3:19AM
Seth Davis

Biggest surprise, disappointment and more Midseason Superlatives

Story Highlights

UConn has been most surprising team, Virginia Tech the most disappointing

Ranking the top 10 nonconference games to look forward to in 2011

Despite a home loss to Texas, Michigan State remains No. 13 on my ballot

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Malcolm Delaney and Virginia Tech were supposed to challenge Duke for the ACC crown, but have already dropped four games.
Malcolm Delaney and Virginia Tech were supposed to challenge Duke for the ACC crown, but have already dropped four games.
Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images

With the holidays winding down and the conference season trickling in, your resident Hoop Thinker is here to offer up his take on the first two months of the season. My colleagues and I will provide our annual crystal ball look-ahead next week, but my assessments tend to be slightly more accurate when I'm discussing the past as opposed to predicting the future. Here, then, are my 15 midseason superlatives:

Biggest surprise: Connecticut. The Huskies are ranked No. 4 in this week's AP poll, but did not even appear in SI's field of 68 for our college hoops preview issue. And for good reason: They lost the nucleus of a team that couldn't even make the NCAA tournament last season. UConn shocked the experts in November by defeating Michigan State and Kentucky to capture the Maui Invitational, but it's worth noting that, as usual, Jim Calhoun loaded up his December schedule with patsies. The rubber hit the road Monday night with a loss at No. 6 Pittsburgh, and that game will be followed by dates at Notre Dame and Texas in the next two weeks. In other words, we're about to find out just how good this team is -- or isn't.

Biggest disappointment: Virginia Tech. I almost went with Tennessee here because of its recent three-game skid, but at least the Vols have quality wins over Villanova and Pitt. The Hokies entered the season pegged as Duke's biggest challenger in the ACC, but they lost every significant nonconference game they played (Kansas State, UNLV, Purdue) and then fell to Virginia at home in their ACC opener.

Better than you think: North Carolina. The Tar Heels have two NBA first-round caliber players in Tyler Zeller and John Henson, and freshman Harrison Barnes is starting to figure things out. They are never going to be stellar in the backcourt, but they do have young talent with upside. All four of North Carolina's losses were respectable, including a two-point loss to Texas on a last-second field goal by the Longhorns' Cory Joseph. If you saw Texas tear Michigan State apart at the Breslin Center, you can appreciate why I'm calling that a quality loss.

Not as good as you think: Kansas State. The Wildcats' problems go much deeper than the current suspensions of Jacob Pullen and Curtis Kelly for receiving some extra benefits. The main issue, as I've noted before, is K-State's atrocious foul shooting -- but that is part of the larger problem of a general lack of skill. Athleticism and effort can only carry a team so far.

Not as good as you think (runner-up): Memphis. This might well be the youngest major team in the country, and Conference USA is better than most people realize. I could envision a scenario where the Tigers finish third in the league behind UCF and UTEP.

Best league: Big East. I had stuck by the Big Ten up until Michigan State's latest stumbles. I was also swayed by the way St. John's manhandled Northwestern in Madison Square Garden last week. The Big East tends to be overrated because it has so many more teams than every other league. But with four teams ranked in the top 10, the Big East is clearly head-and-shoulders above the rest.

Most disappointing league: ACC. Could it be this league is actually worse than the Pac-10? Duke is the only ACC team ranked in the Top 25, and the bottom of the conference is as bad as I have ever seen it.

Worst break: Purdue senior forward Robbie Hummel's torn ACL. I might have gone with Duke freshman point guard Kyrie Irving's injured toe, which will probably sideline him for the season, but Hummel's injury is far more devastating considering he also missed the end of last season with the same injury. Hummel has said he will come back next season, but his two talented classmates, E'Twaun Moore and JaJuan Johnson, will be gone. At least Duke fans experienced the joy last season of winning an NCAA championship, and the Blue Devils still have a pretty good shot at winning one this year. I seriously doubt Purdue can win a title without Hummel.

Worst call: You can argue whether an official should call the game differently with 0.7 seconds left than with seven minutes left. (I think he should.) But Doug Sirmons's call on UCLA guard Malcolm Lee as the Bruins were locked in a tie with Kansas was bad no matter how much time was on the clock. Instead of sending the game into overtime -- where it belonged -- Sirmons's ill-advised whistle sent Kansas guard Mario Little to the foul line, where he knocked down one out of two attempts to allow KU to escape with a 77-76 win.

Best player: Kemba Walker, UConn. I thought about being contrarian and going with someone else here. (Ohio State's Jared Sullinger and BYU's Jimmer Fredette were the two other players I considered.) But Walker's numbers are too prodigious to ignore. Not only is he leading the nation in scoring at 26.9 points per game, but his percentages are also off the charts: 49.5 percent from the floor, 39.7 percent from three, 84.3 percent from the foul line. Not to mention his 4.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 2.1 steals per game. He also drives the bus, cooks pregame meals and tapes his teammates' ankles before practice.

Most disappointing player: Alex Tyus, Florida. The Gators' 6-foot-8 senior forward has seen his scoring average slip from 11.8 last season to 9.0 this year, but even that is deceptive because Tyus had two of his best games against Kent State (20 points) and FAU (19). He was virtually invisible against tougher foes like Ohio State (4 points), Florida State (4), Central Florida (0) and Kansas State (2). A nod of disappointment also goes to Villanova guard Corey Fisher, who was benched for the start of the game against Penn for being disrespectful to coach Jay Wright during practice and whose shooting percentages are way down, and to Butler guard Shelvin Mack, though he has rediscovered his outside touch of late.

Best game: Georgetown 111, Missouri 102, in overtime on Nov. 30. The Hoyas were up 18 points in the first half, and then they needed a buzzer-beating three-pointer by Chris Wright to send the game into overtime. It was a quality de facto road win at the Sprint Center in Kansas City.

Worst game: Notre Dame 57, Cal 44, Nov. 26 in Lake Buena Vista, Fla. When you only score 21 points in the first half, you expect to be trailing by a lot. Notre Dame was winning by 16, thanks to Cal's woeful 2-for-25 shooting in the first half. The Irish weren't much better, finishing the game just 1-for-20 from three-point range. If James Naismith could have seen these two teams play, he would have invented a different game.

Major conference player you need to see: Derrick Williams, Arizona. The Wildcats' 6-8 sophomore forward is America's best-kept secret. He is a versatile scorer who reminds me a lot of Wesley Johnson. Williams is averaging 19.3 points and 7.0 rebounds while making 63.2 percent from the floor and 82.6 percent from the foul line. He doesn't take a ton of three-pointers, but he has made 13 of 19. Looks to me like he's headed for the lottery.

Midmajor player you need to see: BYU's Jimmer Fredette is a little too obvious, so I'm going with Cleveland State senior guard Norris Cole, who is ranked 17th in the country in scoring with 21.5 points per game. Cole has really improved his three-point shooting (46.2 percent, up from 43.2 last year) but what I really like about him is his toughness. He has a nose for the ball and has had six games where he has attempted at least 10 free throws.
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