Posted: Monday March 7, 2011 11:37AM ; Updated: Monday March 7, 2011 12:47PM
Andy Glockner
Andy Glockner>BRACKET WATCH

Notre Dame joins top seed line

Story Highlights

Last four teams out: VCU, Clemson, Gonzaga, Penn State

UNC jumps from a No. 4 seed to a 2; Florida rises up from a 5 to a 3

Bids by conference: Big East (11); Big 12, Big Ten and SEC (6); ACC (5)

2011 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the East matches up with the West, the Southeast with the Southwest in the national semifinals.

This week's notable moves:

• I did an entire seed scrub of the S-curve and a few teams made sizable moves ...

• ACC regular season champ North Carolina went from a No. 4 seed to a 2.

• SEC champ Florida jumps from a No. 5 to a 3.

• Surging Cincinnati went from a 10 to a 6.

• Notre Dame is a new No. 1 seed.

• There was no simple way to avoid the pair of possible Big East Sweet 16 games in the West region.

With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournament's lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.

The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.

League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity. Projected auto-bid winners in traditional one-bid leagues are determined by the best RPI from the team(s) with the fewest league losses. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

* Team has officially won its league's automatic bid.

 
 
EAST - Newark, N.J.
 
Cleveland
 
1 Ohio State (Big Ten)
16 Boston U. (America East)
 
 
8 Old Dominion (Colonial)
9 Utah State (WAC)
 
 
Denver
 
5 Xavier (Atlantic 10)
12 Saint Mary's (West Coast)
 
 
4 St. John's
13 Belmont* (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
Washington, D.C.
 
6 Kansas State
11 Michigan
 
 
3 Syracuse
14 Bucknell (Patriot)
 
 
Charlotte
 
7 Arizona (Pac-10)
10 Georgia
 
 
2 North Carolina (ACC)
15 Long Island (Northeast)
 
SOUTHEAST - New Orleans
 
Cleveland
 
1 Pittsburgh (Big East)
16 Mid. Tenn. St. (Sun Belt)/Texas So. (SWAC)
 
 
8 UCLA
9 Florida State
 
 
Tampa
 
5 Wisconsin
12 Oakland (Summit)
 
 
4 Louisville
13 Harvard (Ivy)
 
 
Tampa
 
6 Georgetown
11 Boston College/Alabama
 
 
3 Florida (SEC)
14 Kent State (MAC)
 
 
Tulsa
 
7 UNLV
10 Richmond
 
 
2 Texas
15 No. Colorado (Big Sky)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Anaheim
 
Chicago
 
1 Notre Dame
16 Beth.-Cook. (MEAC)/McNeese St. (Southland)
 
 
8 Missouri
9 George Mason
 
 
Washington, D.C.
 
5 Connecticut
12 UAB (C-USA)
 
 
4 Kentucky
13 College of Charleston (SoCon)
 
 
Chicago
 
6 Cincinnati
11 Butler
 
 
3 Purdue
14 Indiana State* (Missouri Valley)
 
 
Denver
 
7 Texas A&M
10 Marquette
 
 
2 BYU (Mountain West)
15 Long Beach State (Big West)
 
SOUTHWEST - San Antonio
 
Tulsa
 
1 Kansas (Big 12)
16 UNC Asheville* (Big South)
 
 
8 Temple
9 Illinois
 
 
Tucson
 
5 Vanderbilt
12 Virginia Tech/Colorado
 
 
4 West Virginia
13 Iona (MAAC)
 
 
Tucson
 
6 Tennessee
11 Michigan State
 
 
3 San Diego State
14 Morehead State* (Ohio Valley)
 
 
Charlotte
 
7 Villanova
10 Washington
 
 
2 Duke
15 UW-Milwaukee (Horizon)
 
 

Last four out: VCU, Clemson, Gonzaga, Penn State.

New at-large teams in: Alabama, Boston College.

At-large teams out: Baylor, Gonzaga.

Bids by conference: Big East (11); Big 12, Big Ten and SEC (6); ACC (5); Mountain West, Pac-10, Atlantic 10 (3); Colonial and Horizon (2).

Seed changes: To ease bracket conflicts, Georgetown and Vanderbilt switched 5 and 6 seeds.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

 
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