Posted: Thursday November 17, 2011 11:34AM ; Updated: Thursday November 17, 2011 12:13PM
Peter King
Peter King>WEEKEND PICKOFF

NFL Week 11
 
Last week: 8-8 (.500); Season: 94-52 (.644)
 
Thursday, Nov. 17
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NFL Network) New York Jets (5-4) at Denver Broncos (4-5)
Time for two Jets who have done far too little this year to stand up and finally contribute to a win the team has to have: Shonn Greene (3.9 yards per carry) and Mark Sanchez, 29th in the league with a 56.7 completion rate. If they don't keep the chains moving, Tim Tebow will.
 
Sunday, Nov. 20
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Cincinnati Bengals (6-3) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3)
Never thought I would say the Ravens, coached by longtime special-teams maven John Harbaugh, would be a total mess in the kicking game, but the special teams cost the Ravens 12 points last week in a five-point loss. Return man David Reed (since dispatched to Siberia) fumbled twice, leading to two Seattle field goals, and the kicker with the longest leg in the league, Billy Cundiff, missed two field goals. He was short on a 50-yarder. Short? Okay, one point about this game: Yes, the Bengals have lost their best corner, Leon Hall, for the year with a torn Achilles. But Joe Flacco still has to prove he can throw against any Cincinnati secondary. Last four games versus Bengals: two touchdowns, nine picks. Bengals coordinator Mike Zimmer must be in his head.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-6)
I don't have anything good to say about this game, other than Colt McCoy, who's already on double-secret probation, needs a W for his long-term future in Cleveland. He has two chances for wins the rest of this year (Jacksonville and Arizona). Otherwise, he's at Cincinnati, with Baltimore and Pittsburgh twice.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Carolina Panthers (2-7) at Detroit Lions (6-3)
Matthew Stafford played one of the worst games of his life last week at Chicago. Rushed and bothered and inaccurate, he threw 19 balls to Calvin Johnson, and only seven hit the intended target. The Lions need to go to the intermediate stuff more to keep the chains moving and keep the ball out of the hands of Cam Newton. Which they'll do.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) at Green Bay Packers (9-0)
Tampa's only chance -- heck the only chance for any team playing Green Bay these days -- is to hit Aaron Rodgers early and often and clog the running lanes. It's not happening. Rodgers' release is so good, and his timing so perfect, that he shredded the Vikings even with Jared Allen in his face half the night Monday. And have you seen anyone make the back-shoulder throw better than Rodgers?
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Buffalo Bills (5-4) at Miami Dolphins (2-7)
Fred Jackson's 145.4 yards from scrimmage per game is the best average in the league, and he'll need all of those in south Florida. Sign of decency in Miami: Tony Sparano is 11-5 in November games. Toughest game on the slate to pick -- and not because of that stat. I just don't really know who the Bills are anymore.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Oakland Raiders (5-4) at Minnesota Vikings (2-7)
The Vikings have to be demoralized after losing so horribly Monday night in Green Bay -- and then finding out their second-best defensive player, Antoine Winfield, was lost for the season this week. The Raiders, on the other hand, now know they're the best team in a bad division, and with a hellish month following this game (Chicago, at Miami, at Green Bay, Detroit), this is a game they cannot blow.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Dallas Cowboys (5-4) at Washington Redskins (3-6)
In the past -- oh, way back in the pre-DeMarco days -- I'd be picking Dallas to lose this game, because they just do weird things to lose games they certainly should win, particularly rivalry games. But with Murray, life is different in Dallas. The sun is warmer. The sky is bluer. Murray has changed everything with the Cowboys. Last four games: 150.3 rushing yards per game -- and a ridiculous eight yards per rush. Rest, Felix. Rest.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (FOX) Seattle Seahawks (3-6) at St. Louis Rams (2-7)
I long for the days when Sam Bradford will have a receiving corps. Those days are not now.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (FOX) Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at San Francisco 49ers (8-1)
John Skelton stakes his claim to take the starting job with a win. Alas, Fordham Nation is crushed; Bob Papa goes into serious mourning. NaVorro Bowman and Patrick Willis don't let him breathe. By the way, neat note about how quickly things change in this game: Last time these two teams played, just over 10 months ago, Brian Westbrook led the way for the Niners with two six-yard touchdown runs.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (CBS) San Diego Chargers (4-5) at Chicago Bears (6-3)
We interrupt this lovefest between Philip Rivers and Jay Cutler for a football game. And not a particularly pretty one. The Bears haven't lost since Week 5. The Chargers haven't won since Week 5. Patterns continue.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (CBS) Tennessee Titans (5-4) at Atlanta Falcons (5-4)
I find this stat fairly incredible -- Tennessee's 13-1 in its last 14 against NFC teams -- but also fairly unimportant, seeing that only one of the games was played with Mike Munchak as coach, Jeff Fisher not, and Matt Hasselbeck as quarterback. Atlanta is not going to let one badly executed fourth-down snap derail a Wild Card season, by the way.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) at New York Giants (6-3)
Strange motivations in this game, considering one team has a one-game lead in the division and one team is all but packing for the winter. The Eagles have to go 7-0 to have a realistic playoff shot -- with a short-week Thursday night jaunt to Seattle and games against both Ryan brothers, with no sign that they can play consistently well. I'm assuming Mike Vick plays here, and I'm assuming he becomes more of a pocket guy with two broken ribs. That just means he'll be easier to hit for the Giants' voracious front. As for New York, the players have to know Dallas is nipping at their heels, and because the Cowboys are a different team with DeMarco Murray their most important offensive weapon right now (and the Michael Boley-less Giants allowing 4.6 yards per rush), entering the final six weeks in a tie with Dallas would not be very good.
 
Monday, Nov. 21
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) Kansas City Chiefs (4-5) at New England Patriots (6-3)
The story is so neat: Tyler Palko, cut in the NFL (Arizona) and United Football League (California Redwoods) and unable to crack the Montreal Alouettes lineup in 2009, makes his first NFL start in Foxboro. On Monday night, Palko should find out that Bill Belichick -- and more importantly, rejuvenated pass-rusher Andre Carter -- are not actors in a Disney movie.
 

 
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