| 1 |
 |
Carlos Correa |
SS |
Puerto Rico Baseball Academy |
6-4 |
200 |
| Dave Perkin's Analyis: In a sizable surprise, the Astros bypassed Stanford righty Mark Appel, whom reports suggested they would take, to grab Correa, whom I listed as the second-best overall talent in the draft, behind only fellow prepster Byron Buxton, in my SI.com mock draft on Monday. Correa can be a franchise cornerstone: He is a slick defender with smooth fielding actions and a powerful arm who dazzled scouts at summer and fall showcases in 2011. Correa may outgrow shortstop but his tools fit easily at rightfield, leftfield or, most likely, third base. In the past year, Correa has markedly improved as a wood bat hitter and now possesses the ability to hammer the ball to all fields. |
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| 2 |
 |
Byron Buxton |
OF |
Appling County HS (Ga.) |
6-3 |
190 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: The finest position player in the 2012 draft, Buxton has drawn comparisons to Justin Upton but the best fit may be Matt Kemp. A legitimate five-plus-tool prospect, Buxton displays blazing speed, a powerful arm and the ability to snag flies over large swaths of outfield grass. His fluid, smooth swing promises to provide both base hits and towering home runs for many years. |
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| 3 |
 |
Mike Zunino |
C |
Florida |
6-2 |
220 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Zunino's tools and abilities are not quite in the Buster Posey stratosphere, but he is perhaps the best college catcher and Division I position player available in the 2012 draft. Strong and physically mature, Zunino's swing is a model of compact efficiency, capable of producing 15-20 homers annually. Zunino, the SEC Player of the Year and the son of a Cincinnati Reds scout, is a solid if unspectacular defensive backstop who could move quickly through a club's minor league chain, possibly reaching the majors in two years. |
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| 4 |
 |
Kevin Gausman |
RHP |
LSU |
6-4 |
185 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: A young Kevin Brown type with long arms and long fingers, Gausman's best pitch is a hissing, sinking mid 90's fastball. He has improved his high 70's curveball and has experimented with an unusual-but effective-mid 80's single-finger change up. He also adds a filthy mid- to high-80's slider. A candidate to be a No. 1 starter and big league staff ace, Gausman needs to achieve more balance in his delivery finis -- he currently topples off to his left, a habit which negatively affects his command. |
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| 5 |
 |
Kyle Zimmer |
RHP |
San Francisco |
6-4 |
220 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: A converted infielder, Zimmer drew first-pick buzz early in the spring, hitting 96-97 mph in his initial starts. A midseason game at Loyola Marymount showed that he had cooled off, as he sat in the 89-93 mph range that day and was cuffed around. Zimmer throws a weak 81 mph change but features an outstanding, sweeping 78 mph curveball. Mechanically, Zimmer's arm action should be freer and easier, he needs to add more leg drive and should eliminate a stiff-legged hop in his delivery finish. He projects as a solid No. 2 or 3 starter. |
| 6 |
 |
Albert Almora |
OF |
Mater Academy (Fla.) |
6-1 |
170 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Almora is a wonderfully talented and athletic outfield prospect, possessing fine speed, a decent arm and admirable fly-chasing skills. The singular knock on Almora is his inconsistency as a hitter. A tinkerer, Almora has adopted every conceivable batting stance gimmick. To his credit, once he starts his swing he gets into a near ideal launch position and often displays the ability to drive a pitch with authority. |
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| 7 |
 |
Max Fried |
LHP |
Harvard-Westlake (Calif.) |
6-4 |
170 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Fried, whose idol is Sandy Koufax, is a nascent Clayton Kershaw type lefty in terms of stuff and mechanics. Fried tosses a 91-93 mph fastball which peaks at 94 and adds a superlative mid 70's curve. His best pitch is an 81 mph change up, which magically disappears as it reaches the plate. A potential staff ace, Fried must overcome an occasional habit of dropping his arm slot and opening his front side too quickly, causing his pitches to sail high and outside. |
| 8 |
 |
Mark Appel |
RHP |
Stanford |
6-5 |
215 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Appel was widely expected to be the No. 1 overall pick as the draft approached -- reports even surfaced on Sunday that he would, indeed, be Houston's pick -- but he fell to No. 8, almost certainly because of signability issues. Appel features a sensational power arm which delivers a sizzling 95-96-97 mph fastball. His crescent-shaped 86 mph slider sweeps away from righties and dive bombs into a lefties' shoelaces. Appel adds a raw but promising low 80's changeup with late sink and arm-side movement. Scouts have two major concerns abput him: First, he suffers a distinct loss of velocity from the stretch, even early in games, and, second, when tired, his fastball will flatten out and drift over the heart of the plate, becoming eminently hittable. |
| 9 |
 |
Andrew Heaney |
LHP |
Oklahoma State |
6-2 |
174 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Lean and lanky, Heaney enjoyed a marvelous 2012 campaign, going 8-2 with a 1.60 ERA, three shutouts and 120 strikeouts. He locates his low 90's fastball exceptionally well, adding a sharp mid 80's slider and tricky low 80's change. Heaney may benefit from two mechanical tweaks: his straight up and down delivery provides little leg drive and he'll need fuller arm extension in his finish. |
| 10 |
 |
David Dahl |
OF |
Oak Mountain HS (Ala.) |
6-2 |
185 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: This year's collection of high school outfielders is one of the deepest in draft history. Dahl is the smoothest and most fundamentally advanced of the entire 2012 crop. His raw tools are impressive as well. Dahl is speedy, flashes a fine arm and displays excellent power. At bat, he is disciplined, patient and an impressive opposite field hitter. Dahl is strikingly similar to Josh Hamilton in stance, hitting mechanics and swing path. |
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| 11 |
 |
Addison Russell |
SS |
Pace HS (Fla.) |
6-1 |
215 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Russell's strong, mature frame indicates a probable move to third base as a pro. Nimble defensively, he shows smooth fielding actions but takes too many steps in releasing his throws. Russell drew kudos for a spectacular leaping grab in a 2010 summer all-star showcase game. At bat, Russell displays quickness and lift power, but must adjust his pull-oriented tendencies. |
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| 12 |
 |
Gavin Cecchini |
SS |
Barbe HS (La.) |
6-2 |
180 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Cecchini, whose older brother plays in the Red Sox organization, is a fast and athletic middle infielder who displays excellent baseball instincts. Despite being error prone, Cecchini shows the promise of being an outstanding defender. Some scouts are doubtful Cecchini will hit at the pro level. He flashes intriguing bat speed, but will need to make some mechanical tweaks and eliminate a trace of stiffness in his swing. |
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| 13 |
 |
Courtney Hawkins |
OF |
Carroll HS (Texas) |
6-2 |
215 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Pure power is Hawkins' forte. During a showcase game last summer, Hawkins flailed helplessly at curveballs in his first three at bats. In his next AB, he picked out a tasty fastball and hammered it 400 feet for a home run. Hawkins has a strong and mature build, runs well for a youngster of his size and packs a powerful arm. Defensively, he fits best as a corner outfielder. As a hitter, Hawkins generates terrific bat speed but will need to make a few mechanical adjustments in his stride and weight shift. |
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| 14 |
 |
Nick Travieso |
RHP |
Archbishop McCarthy HS (Fla.) |
6-3 |
205 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Powerfully constructed, Travieso resembles the Giants? Matt Cain in build and mechanics. Travieso has a mid-90's fastball that has arm side movement and which he can spot it to either side of the plate. He adds a harsh, swerving curveball which is murder on righthanded hitters. Travieso features a throwback type of straight over the top delivery, but he will need to fight a habit of pulling his front side open too quickly. |
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| 15 |
 |
Tyler Naquin |
OF |
Texas A&M |
6-2 |
175 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Sporting a tall, lanky and athletic outfielder's frame and a howitzer throwing arm, Naquin reminds scouts defensively of Dwight Evans. Naquin flashes a smooth, quick swing and has a unique ability to drill the ball to the opposite field despite a front leg lunge. To secure a middle of the order, corner outfield spot, Naquin will need to show an ability to turn on, lift and drive the ball. |
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| 16 |
 |
Lucas Giolito |
RHP |
Harvard-Westlake (Calif.) |
6-6 |
230 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: At a comparable stage of development, Giolito is far more advanced than either Stephen Strasburg or Gerrit Cole, both recent No. 1 overall draft choices. Physically imposing at 6-foot-6 and 230 pounds, Giolito easily fires a blistering fastball which sits in the 94-97 mph range, peaking at 98. He adds a change at 81 and offers two breaking pitches: a sharp 86 slider and a 78 curve. Currently thrown with a discernable "hole," Giolito's curve should become tighter with experience. An early-season injury to his throwing elbow put Giolito's draft status in a quandary. |
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| 17 |
 |
D.J. Davis |
OF |
Stone HS (Miss.) |
6-0 |
175 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Davis' stunning speed is his primary tool. Perhaps the fastest prospect in this year's draft class, Davis has been clocked at 6.38 seconds in the 60-yard dash, earning him an 80 score on the 20-80 scouting scale. Davis has improved substantially at bat in the past year, displaying the ability to drive pitches deep. He'll need to make mechanical corrections at bat; for instance, he begins with his legs in a "Gateway Arch" position, robbing him of momentum in the lower half of his body. |
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| 18 |
 |
Corey Seager |
3B |
Northwest Cabarrus HS (N. Carolina) |
6-3 |
195 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Corey is the younger brother of Kyle Seager, currently an infielder for the Seattle Mariners. Athletic and projectable at 6-foot-3 and 195 lbs., the younger Seager's specialty is defense. Corey exhibits smooth, fluid fielding actions, advanced playmaking ability and a powerful, accurate arm. He also flashes a picturesque lefty swing, but doubts exist regarding his ability to connect with advanced pitching using a wood bat. |
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| 19 |
 |
Michael Wacha |
RHP |
Texas A&M |
6-6 |
200 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Wacha works unusually quickly, barely giving hitters a chance to breathe between pitches. Mechanically sound, he fires a low 90's fastball which peaks at 95-96 mph, adding an outstanding 74-76 mph two plane curve and a superlative 86 mph change. Wacha's 84 mph slider will require refinement. A Dan Haren-sized workhorse, Wacha profiles as a top of the rotation starting pitcher, capable of winning 15 plus games per season. |
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| 20 |
 |
Chris Stratton |
RHP |
Mississippi State |
6-3 |
200 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Stratton is the rare prospect who emerged suddenly and dramatically. Knocked around in his first two college seasons (a combined 10-10 record and a 5.25 ERA), Stratton enjoyed a fabulous 2012 campaign: 11-2, 2.38 ERA, 127 K's. Lanky and projectable, Stratton features a low 90's fastball which peaks at 95, adding a decent curve and change. By far his best offering is his "out" pitch, a low 80's slider. Stratton profiles as a mid-rotation starting pitcher. |
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| 21 |
 |
Lucas Sims |
RHP |
Brookwood HS (Ga.) |
6-2 |
195 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Sims possesses one of the finest fastball/curveball combinations in the entire draft. His four-seam fastball ranges from 91 to 95 mph and his tight 11-to-7 curve is an exceptional put away pitch. Mechanical purists may be concerned with Sims delivery. Similar to Stephen Strasburg, Sims uses the inverted "W" delivery (a method many feel is an injury precursor), plus Sims drops the ball down so that it almost touches his pant leg during his delivery takeaway. |
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| 22 |
 |
Marcus Stroman |
RHP |
Duke |
5-9 |
185 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Short, stocky and muscular, Stroman is a right handed version of Al Holland, a former lefty reliever for the Phillies and Giants. Stroman delivers a low- to mid-90's fastball with a touch of a Jose Valverde finishing leg kick. Stroman's best pitch is a crackling mid 80's slider. Currently profiling best as a middle relief artist or closer, Stroman may fit as a starter if he develops and refines his cutter and change. |
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| 23 |
 |
James Ramsey |
OF |
Florida State |
6-0 |
195 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Almost every scouting department employs a "stat guy" -- a numbers man who mixes field reports with sabermetric formulas. Ramsey is a Moneyball fan's dream. A skilled, mechanically sound lefthanded hitter, Ramsey posts astronomical on-base and slugging percentages. His non-hitting tools (run, throw and field) are rather ordinary. Ramsey no doubt holds enormous appeal to the cadre of saber-stat oriented ballclubs. |
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| 24 |
 |
Deven Marrero |
SS |
Arizona State |
6-1 |
195 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Marrero profiles as a quality defensive middle infielder, displaying fine playmaking ability and excellent fielding fundamentals. His running speed is slightly above average, but many scouts detect a lack of energy in his playing style. To justify an early draft selection, Marrero must show more pop in his bat. Currently, Marrero uses a severe inside-out swing and flips his bat at the pitch instead of attacking the ball aggressively. |
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| 25 |
 |
Richie Shaffer |
3B/1B |
Clemson |
6-3 |
205 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Hampered in high school by a hamate bone injury in his wrist, Shaffer has emerged at Clemson as one of the nation's top college power hitters. In Fenway Park last summer, he won the Cape Cod League All Star game Home Run Derby. Tall and rangy, Shaffer is a Mark Trumbo-type hitter, exhibiting the ability to hit towering blasts out of any portion of the ballpark. A first baseman in his first two years at Clemson, Shaffer switched to third base this year and is hoping to stick at the hot corner as a pro. |
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| 26 |
 |
Stryker Trahan |
C |
Acadiana HS (La.) |
6-1 |
215 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Adorned with a name befitting a comic book jet fighter squadron commander, Trahan is by far the top high school catching prospect available in the 2012 draft. He couples a strong and athletic build with top shelf tools, including above average speed and a quick, powerful and accurate arm. At bat, Trahan exhibits excellent bat speed but will need to shorten his stride, achieve separation with his hands and fight a tendency to overstride. |
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| 27 |
 |
Clint Coulter |
C |
Union HS (Wash.) |
6-3 |
210 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Owing to the physical rigors of catching, scouts prefer strong, sizable backstop prospects and Coulter fits the prescription perfectly. His receiving skills are adequate and Coulter's home to second "pop" times hover around 1.89 to 1.92 seconds -- solidly above major league average. At bat, Coulter's swing has a slight lack of ease and fluidity, but he can murder a ball left up in the zone and exhibits provocative all-fields power. |
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| 28 |
 |
Victor Roache |
OF |
Georgia Southern |
6-1 |
235 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Built like a linebacker, Roache is the premier college power hitter available in this year's draft, despite missing most of the season with a broken wrist. Hitting out of a spread crouch, his signature pre-swing move is to violently pound his bat on home plate. Roache looks to turn on, pull and lift each pitch he rips at. His raw power, while not quite to the level of the majors' best sluggers like Miami's Giancarlo Stanton, is impressive. Roache's non-hitting tools (run, throw, field) are somewhat pedestrian and his future defensive home will probably be a corner outfield spot, most likely leftfield. |
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| 29 |
 |
Lewis Brinson |
OF |
Coral Springs HS (Fla.) |
6-4 |
190 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Tall and willowy, Brinson is one of the finest prep athletes in the nation. He is a spectacular "workout" player but frequently struggles in games. Blessed with terrific speed and a nice arm, Brinson has often appeared clueless at the plate. He occasionally exhibits electric raw hitting ability, but the Rangers must be patient and permit him the necessary time to develop. |
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| 30 |
 |
Ty Hensley |
RHP |
Santa Fe HS (Okla.) |
6-4 |
220 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Tall and projectable, Hensley fires a glove-popping low 90's fastball which peaks at 94 mph. He gets excellent two plane movement on his overhand curveball, but struggles to command that pitch. Hensley's arm works well, but he will need to achieve fuller extension and correct a habit of pulling his front side open too quickly in his delivery to the plate. |
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| 31 |
 |
Brian Johnson |
LHP |
Florida |
6-3 |
235 |
| Dave Perkin's Analysis: Johnson missed the tail end of last season, suffering a concussion when conked on the head by an errant catcher's throw. Healthy now, Johnson is a physically mature, innings-eating type lefty who profiles as a mid- to back-of-the rotation starter. A two-way player in college, he figures to abandon the DH role he often played for the Gators and stick to the mound as a pro. Johnson is a crafty pitcher who exhibits excellent command of his low-90's fastball and sharp curve. |
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