Posted: Friday September 28, 2012 6:45PM ; Updated: Friday September 28, 2012 6:45PM
Eric Mack
Eric Mack>INSIDE FANTASY FOOTBALL

Scouting Report: Future looks bright for Simpson, not Ogletree

Story Highlights

Jerome Simpson is returning from suspension to face struggling Lions defense

With Reggie Bush or not, Daniel Thomas is getting goal-line carries foer Miami

Ryan Williams will be the Cardinals' starting running back until at least Week 12

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Ryan Fitzpatrick
Despite throwing for four touchdowns last season against the Patriots, Ryan Fitzpatrick faces a tough test against a New England team that has lost two games in a row.
Rick Stewart/Getty Images

Fantasy football tends to be a reactionary game. Football, after all, is a game of reading and reacting. Anticipating can get you in trouble.

You read fantasy analysis and then react.

In SI.com's Week 4 Scouting Report let's try to do a little more anticipating, which can come in handy during the bye season. It gets very competitive on the waiver wire, so we will try to help get you ahead of the curve by projecting what the Week 5 will look like:

1. Kevin Ogletree will be most dropped

Week 1 not only seems like a long time ago, it's light years away for Ogletree. After getting another disappointing week out of the most-added player going into Week 2, he'll wind up on waivers in most of the 76 percent of leagues in which he is still owned. It won't just be his poor numbers Monday night against the Bears defense. It will also be a function of his heading into a bye.

2. Jerome Simpson will be most added

Somehow the hype has skipped this guy. He front-flipped for a touchdown a season ago, registering the play of the year, and leaped over a defender in the preseason. This freakish athlete has disappeared in fantasy after a three-game suspension but he returns against a Lions defense that was torched by the Titans a week ago.

3. Ryan Fitzpatrick will be most disappointing

This is a dangerous prediction, because the Patriots have made Kevin Kolb look capable and Joe Flacco look like a star in back-to-back weeks. Fitzpatrick has gotten off to a start as impressive as the one he got off to last season. It looks like another great week to be happy with Fitzpatrick as your starter. Well, those game-breaking Bills running backs are still somewhat broken, and the Pats defense is a lot better than it has shown. The Bills played great against the Patriots last season, rallying to beat them once and building a huge lead the second time. But the Pats are not going to lose three consecutive games and avoiding that will require making Fitzpatrick look like the low-end fantasy backup quarterback he is.

4. Andre less than a Giant

Andre Brown looked like he gave the Giants offense a new dimension in Week 3. Really, he was merely in the right place in the right time. Trusting the journeyman against the Eagles run defense is a bad idea in Week 4. In fact, Brown is going to wind up as the Giants third-best running back shortly. Sell high on this flash in the pan.

5. Leonard Hankerson becomes a man

Pierre Garcon's foot injury -- and Josh Morgan's momentary lapse in (poor) judgment -- has given Hankerson an opportunity to step forward for the Redskins. Santana Moss looks like the biggest has-been in fantasy and Robert Griffin III looks like the next big thing. Someone is going to benefit and the former Miami Hurricane is a pretty good bet. Owned in just 16 percent of CBSSports.com fantasy leagues, Hankerson has talent and an incredible opportunity before him.

As for other things to anticipate: If you have some marginal bench players from the Cowboys (Felix Jones, Dan Bailey), Lions (Nate Burleson, Kevin Smith), Raiders (Brandon Myers) and Buccaneers (LeGarrette Blount), you can cut them now for a flier for Week 5. Those teams are heading into their bye weeks and won't register much interest on Tuesday night's waivers.

 
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