Posted: Thursday October 18, 2012 12:57PM ; Updated: Friday October 19, 2012 2:12PM
Peter King
Peter King>WEEKEND PICKOFF

NFL Week 7
 
Last Week: 8-6 (.571); This Season: 51-40 (.560)
 
Sunday, Oct. 21
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-3)
I know some nice residents of Western New York. They love the Bills. And I know the players don't often care what fans think. But the Bills players should know this: If they lose to the 2-4 Titans, and if the Titans overrun the $53-jillion Buffalo defensive front, well, the natives are going to be very upset.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Dallas Cowboys (2-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-4)
The Cowboys are 8-1 against the Panthers, and Tony Romo is 3-0 against them. Having said both of those things, understand one verity: I cannot vouch for anything about the Dallas Cowboys, their clock-management, Tony Romo or the reliability of Dez Bryant. Moral of the story is, whether you're in Vegas or your mother's dingy basement, do not wager on this ballgame.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Baltimore Ravens (5-1) at Houston Texans (5-1)
Game of the weekend. Maybe the game of the year. No Ray Lewis, no Lardarius Webb, only 70 percent of Haloti Ngata. Which means the Texans are going to score enough points to win. But watch Joe Flacco in this game. I think he'll be on fire, especially with Johnathan Joseph so suspect in the Houston secondary, and especially with Torrey Smith and Jacoby Jones burning up said Houston secondary. By the way, this just in: John Harbaugh can coach. He'll go above the .700 winning percentage with a win here; he's 49-21 in his 70 NFL regular season games.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Cleveland Browns (1-5) at Indianapolis Colts (2-3)
Unseen Matchup of the Weekend Dept.: Colts wideout Reggie Wayne, the NFL's receiving-yardage leader (118.6 yards per game) versus Cleveland cornerback Joe Haden, back to blanket the league's best receivers.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Arizona Cardinals (4-2) at Minnesota Vikings (4-2)
Like both defenses. Love the two cover corners in the game, Antoine Winfield and Patrick Peterson. But the Vikings have the better running game and the more accurate quarterback.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) New Orleans Saints (1-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3)
You can thank Aqib Talib for this loss, Bucs fans. I'm not positive Tampa would have beaten New Orleans with Talib covering Marques Colston. But their best chance flew out the window when Talib was suspended four games last week for using Adderall.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Green Bay Packers (3-3) at St. Louis Rams (3-3)
The Pack's back. I think. The one thing we've all learned from the first six weeks of the season about the Green Bay offense is James Jones is a vastly underrated talent, and the catches he's made -- both in volume and difficulty -- show he's a top-20 NFL receiver on a team with two others.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Washington Redskins (3-3) at New York Giants (4-2)
A bit of history here: The Giants lost twice to the Redskins last year by double digits, and the Giants are 5-5 at home in their last 10, and, well, BobGriff is a revelation. You want to focus on his running, fine. But roll this around in your head for a second: In five of his first six NFL games, Griffin has completed two-thirds of his passes or better. That would be an amazing stretch for Drew Brees, and here's a rookie doing it in his first six weeks in the league. So I suspect the Giants will have to play their best to win.
 
4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) New York Jets (3-3) at New England Patriots (3-3)
Still shaking my head over the Patriots having three rookies out of four defensive backs on the field to defend Russell Wilson's game-winning touchdown bomb to Sidney Rice the other day. If I could trust the Jets to throw the ball, which I can't, this would be a ballgame. I can't figure out how the Jets will prevent Tom Brady from crushing them with that quick-twitch no-huddle offense that's run 89 and 85 plays the last two weeks.
 
4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) at Oakland Raiders (1-4)
Reaching for interesting things in this game. So let's talk punters. Rookie Bryan Anger, first in the NFL with a 51.3-yard average, meets the best punter of this era, Shane Lechler (sixth, 49.2) for the first time. I mean, they're really going to meet for the first time, despite the fact that Anger went to Cal, a 20-minute drive from the Raiders' stadium (depending on crazy Bay Area traffic), but the two never met to swap punting stories. "It'll be fun to meet Bryan," Lechler told me this week. "He's off to a great start." Don't you long for the day, Raider and Jag fans, when the most interesting thing in your game isn't the battle of the punters?
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3)
Blah start for 2-3 Pittsburgh, allowing 115 points and a 93.8 passer rating, with the knowledge that Troy Polamalu could be missing for multiple weeks now with his strained calf. Andy Dalton had two sub-par games against the Steelers last year, but Polamalu was there in both to torment him and to disguise deep coverages against A.J Green. I like Cincinnati, narrowly, mostly because of the play-making Polamalu's absence.
 
Monday, Oct. 22
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) Detroit Lions (2-3) at Chicago Bears (4-1)
So the Lions woke up in the second half to steal one in Philadelphia. I can't see it happening at Soldier Field Monday night against a healthy Bears team coming off a bye. Strange Stat of the Week: Matthew Stafford has four touchdown passes, none to Calvin Johnson. And Chicago corners Tim Jennings and Charles Tillman have been a suspring strength of the team, so I don't see Stafford breaking out of it in Chicago.
 
Week 7 Fantasy Projections               Start 'em, Sit 'em
 

 
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