Extra MustardSI On CampusFantasyPhoto GalleriesSwimsuitVideoFanNationSI KidsTNT
MLB Baseball Scouting Reports

Houston Astros

SI Prediction: 4th in NL Central
Houston went outside the organization to boost the offense, but the development of the homegrown Pence will bring the larger reward.
Houston went outside the organization to boost the offense, but the development of the homegrown Pence will bring the larger reward.
John Biever/SI
FAST FACTS
Houston Astros MANAGER CECIL COOPER
first year with Houston
Team Page | 2008 Schedule
THE NUMBERS LIE | DON'T LIE
8
Runs batted in by rookie catcher J.R. Towles on Sept. 20 against the Cardinals. Towles, who was playing in just his sixth major league game, has a reputation as a run producer: During his minor league career he averaged one RBI every 6.1 at bats; by contrast, incumbent catcher Brad Ausmus, 39 in April, failed to average one RBI per 10 at bats in three of the last four seasons.
CONSIDER THIS
The Astros went into spring training with a set lineup and roster, in part because they made one of the more questionable signings of the off-season. While Kazuo Matsui's .342 on-base percentage and 32 steals in 2007 looked attractive, his season was largely a Coors Field mirage. Down from the mountain, the 32-year-old Matsui hit .249 with a .304 OBP and a .333 slugging percentage, even worse than his .266/.318/.379 marks during his three previous seasons with the Rockies and the Mets. Paying Matsui $16.5 million over three seasons is a mistake. Mark Loretta, the veteran infielder who will make $2.75 million this year, is the better player at the plate (career .362 OBP) and comparable in the field, and should be given a big chunk of the playing time at second.
BATTING ORDER
POS. PLAYER B-T PVR BA HR RBI SB
CF MICHAEL BOURN L-R 74 .277 1 6 18
2B KAZUO MATSUI S-R 181 .288 4 37 32
RF HUNTER PENCE R 39 .322 17 69 11
1B LANCE BERKMAN S-L 23 .278 34 102 7
LF CARLOS LEE R 19 .303 32 119 10
SS MIGUEL TEJADA R 66 .296 18 81 2
3B TY WIGGINTON R 168 .278 22 67 3
C J.R. TOWLES (R) R 178 .375 1 12 0
BENCH
POS. PLAYER B-T PVR BA HR RBI SB
IF MARK LORETTA R 250 .287 4 41 1
OF-1B DARIN ERSTAD L 314 .248 4 32 7
C BRAD AUSMUS R 406 .235 3 25 6
ROTATION
PITCHER PVR W L K/9 WHIP ERA
RH ROY OSWALT 8 14 7 6.5 1.33 3.18
RH BRANDON BACKE 211 3 1 3.5 1.33 3.77
LH WANDY RODRIGUEZ 137 9 13 7.8 1.32 4.58
RH SHAWN CHACON 160 5 4 7.4 1.49 3.94
RH WOODY WILLIAMS 239 8 15 4.8 1.43 5.27
BULLPEN
PITCHER PVR W L S WHIP ERA
RH JOSE VALVERDE 32 1 47 10.9 1.20 2.66
RH OSCAR VILLARREAL 215 2 1 6.8 1.40 4.24
RH DOUG BROCAIL 254 5 0 5.1 1.17 3.05

"Bourn, Pence and Towles at least bring a fresh identity to a thin, aging roster."

Shortly before Christmas general manager Ed Wade heard a knock at his office door. The visitor was nine-year veteran Lance Berkman, who had told a Houston newspaper reporter that he was not comfortable with the fist-pumping, sky-pointing theatrics of new closer Jose Valverde. "Should I call Jose and talk to him?" Berkman asked Wade, who had obtained Valverde on Dec. 14 in a four-player trade.

Wade assured Berkman that a hug and handshake on the first day of spring training would be sufficient. "It's been a tough off-season for [Berkman]", says a sympathetic Wade, whose wheeling and dealing left the Astros' longest-tenured player as one of only six holdovers from the 2005 team that lost to the White Sox in the World Series.

More than half of the 25 players on Houston's projected Opening Day roster were obtained in trades or through free agency after Wade was hired on Sept. 20 to replace Tim Purpura. The players in that group range from up-and-comers (speedy centerfielder Michael Bourn, 25) to declining stars (shortstop Miguel Tejada, whose range continues to deteriorate) to overpriced journeymen ($16.5 million second baseman Kazuo Matsui, box, below). "It took a while to get comfortable," acknowledges Berkman, one of only two everyday players who were in last year's Opening Day lineup. (Leftfielder Carlos Lee is the other.)

For all the turnover, Wade did little to upgrade a rotation that was about as stable as francium in 2007. Righthanded ace Roy Oswalt is the only starter who won at least 10 games last year, but at age 30 even he is starting to slip; his strikeout rate has gradually declined in each of the last three seasons while his walk rate spiked last year. Nolan Ryan, who was a special adviser to the team before becoming the Rangers' president last month, is impressed by the No. 2 starter, lefthander Wandy Rodriguez, whose record (9-13) belies his much-improved stuff (158 strikeouts in 182 2/3 innings). Beyond those two Houston has holes that Wade felt could not be filled by the free agents available. "Our view of this market was that it was a case of overpaying," he says. "Rather than focus on trying to add secondary arms to primary roles, we thought it was more important to focus on the offense."

Tejada was the most notable addition to a team that finished in the bottom half of the NL in runs, homers and stolen bases, but his power is not what it once was; his slugging percentage has fallen nearly 100 points over the last four seasons. The bigger lift -- at least over the long term -- will come from outfielder Hunter Pence (third in last year's NL Rookie of the Year vote) and catcher J.R. Towles (.375 batting average after a late-season call-up), who along with Bourn at least brings a fresh, younger identity to a thin, aging roster.

Manager Cecil Cooper, who took over for the fired Phil Garner last August, appears particularly intent on leveraging the speed of Bourn and Matsui. In addition to the usual fielding and hitting stations, a full-time baserunning drill station was set up this spring by Cooper, who hired former speedster Gary Redus to emphasize basestealing technique and taking extra bases. "Even Carlos will be expected to steal," says Cooper, referring to the lumbering, 6' 2", 240-pound Lee.

While the Astros are counting on Bourn and Matsui to inject some spark into the lineup, they'll get plenty of energy from Valverde, who describes his trademark fist-pumping as passion. (Opponents -- and even a few teammates -- call it showmanship.) But while he says that he "was offended" by Berkman's comments, he insists that he has gotten over it. Besides, as Wade told Berkman that day the first baseman visited him in his office, "What I like most about [Valverde's] routine is that he shook hands with his teammates 47 times last season at the end of games that he closed." -- Melissa Segura

Issue date: March 31, 2008

Search