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College Basketball

CNN/SI breaks down the field of 64

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Posted: Sunday March 07, 1999 03:43 PM

Team-by-team Bubble analysis

ATLANTA (CNN/SI) -- The day college hoops fans crave has finally arrived -- Selection Sunday, and here at CNN/SI we've got the 64 teams before the NCAA committee announces them.

Top 16 Seeds
No. East South Midwest West
Michigan State
St. John's
Ohio State

Barring a miraculous upset by Illinois in the Big Ten final against Michigan State, the field is set this Sunday morning with only the fine-tuning of seeding left to do this afternoon.

It appears that no team wants to claim the last No. 1 seed. Auburn, Stanford and Maryland all lost Saturday, leaving the committee scratching its heads over whom to give that last top seed. The three locks for top seeds are Duke, Connecticut and Michigan State.

At the other end of the field, the last bubble teams sorted themselves out over the past three days.

Rhode Island knocked A-10 partner Xavier out of the tournament when the Rams beat Temple to win their conference's automatic bid.

The last team to garner an at-large bid is DePaul, which despite losing 3 of its last 4 games had quality wins over Cincinnati, George Washington and California. Should Illinois upset Michigan State on Sunday, it appears that DePaul would be the team to lose its bid at the last minute.

Automatic bids not listed in Top 16 seeds (22): America East -- Delaware; Atlantic 10 -- Rhode Island; Big Sky -- Weber State; Big South -- Winthrop; Big West -- New Mexico State; Colonial -- George Mason; Ivy -- Penn; Metro Atlantic -- Siena; Mid-American -- Kent; Mid-Continent -- Valparaiso; Mid-Eastern -- Florida A&M; Midwestern -- Detroit; Missouri Valley -- Creighton; Northeast -- Mt. St. Mary's; Ohio Valley -- Murray State; Patriot -- Lafayette; Southern -- College of Charleston; Southland -- Texas San-Antonio; Sun Belt -- Arkansas State; SWAC -- Alcorn State; TAAC -- Samford; West Coast -- Gonzaga.

At-large locks: UCLA, Indiana, Iowa, Purdue, Washington, Minnesota, Kansas, Miami (Ohio), Temple, Florida, Tennessee, Louisville, Arkansas, Texas, Missouri, Villanova, George Washington, Syracuse, UAB, Tulsa, Oklahoma State, Evansville, Oklahoma, SW Missouri State, Nebraska, DePaul.

Conference breakdown: Big 10 -- 7, Big 12 -- 6, Big East -- 5, SEC -- 5, Conference USA -- 5, Pac 10 -- 4, ACC -- 3, A-10 -- 3, MVC -- 3, MAC --2, WAC -- 2.    
Breaking down the Bubble
Team RPI Sag. Key Wins Key Losses
Rutgers 44 33 Syracuse West Virginia, Seton Hall
Headed to NIT after fifth loss in six games
SW Missouri State 36 41 Missouri, St. Louis TCU, Wichita State, Illinois State
Will not get snubbed this year thanks to high RPI
TCU 41 66 Gonzaga, Providence, UNLV UNLV, Rice, Tulsa (twice)
Hello NIT after loss in first round of WAC tourney
Mississippi 51 27 Florida, Arkansas (twice), Louisville, Oklahoma, Georgia Temple, Memphis, South Carolina, Tennessee, Mississippi State
19-12 record not good enough for bid
Nebraska 48 75 Kansas (twice), Oklahoma, Creighton Tulsa, Villanova, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
Snuck in at end as sixth Big 12 bid
Syracuse 38 25 UConn, Indiana Miami (Ohio), Miami (Fla.), Providence, Rutgers, UConn
In NCAA tourney after win over Villanova
UAB 45 58 UNC-Charlotte, Tulsa Princeton, DePaul Memphis
Win over DePaul should be enough for bid
DePaul 46 54 California, George Washington, Cincinnati UNC-Charlotte (twice), Louisville (twice), Kansas, New Mexico
Probably picking up last at-large bid
Tulsa 30 47 Nebraska, TCU (twice) Colorado St., Air Force, UNLV (twice)
Golden Hurricanes are in after win over Fresno State
California 57 46 Arizona, UCLA, UNC, Rhode Island Arizona St., Washington (twice), Oregon
Out of NCAAs after loss against Oregon
UNLV 77 79 TCU, Tulsa (twice) Oklahoma St., SMU (twice), Rice, TCU
Buh-bye; are 16-12 after first-round loss in WAC tourney
Fresno State 68 87 Georgia, Miami (Ohio), Temple Pepperdine, Iowa St., San Jose St.
Headed to NIT after loss to Tulsa
Xavier 66 44 Miami (Ohio), Temple, GW LaSalle, Dayton, Toledo, GW
Twenty-one wins just not enough out of weak A-10
Oklahoma St. 50 40 Missouri, TCU, UNLV, Nebraska Oklahoma (twice), Texas (twice), Colorado, Kansas
A lock after run to Big 12 final
New Mexico 76 84 DePaul, Arizona Hawaii, UTEP, Utah
Killed themselves with horrible RPI
Wake Forest 60 61 Maryland Arkansas, Temple
On outside looking in after loss to N.C. State.
Toledo 63 55 Xavier, Ohio State Akron, Bowling Green (twice)
Little to no chance now
Rhode Island 64 53 TCU, Utah Providence, California, Pepperdine, Cleveland State, St. Bonaventure
Got in -- only by winning A-10 tourney
Evansville 49 73 SW Missouri State (twice) Illinois State (twice), Butler, East Carolina
Held two key wins over SW Missouri State

Related information
Bubble Watch: A look-see at the NCAA's search for 64
Your Take: Make a case for your Bubble team
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