SI.com 2002 NCAA Basketball Preview 2002 NCAA Basketball Preview


  Posted: Wednesday October 16, 2002 1:57 PM
Updated: Monday October 28, 2002 11:31 AM

Duke Blue Devils

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Coach and Program | Starters Lost | Others Lost
Projected Starters | Key Reserves | Final Analysis

COACH AND PROGRAM

Duke basketball is on a historic five-year roll.

In that span, the Blue Devils have achieved things that no program in college basketball has ever accomplished. Duke has been a No. 1-seeded team in the past five NCAA tournaments. No other team has been a No. 1 for more than three years in a row since the NCAA began seeding its field in 1980.

Duke has finished as the top-ranked team in the final Associated Press poll for four straight seasons, a feat no team has matched -- not even John Wooden's UCLA Bruins -- since the AP began ranking teams in 1949. Duke has won four straight ACC championships (the first team to win more than three in a row) and has compiled an unparalleled 87-9 ACC record over the past five seasons.

And while Duke's NCAA tournament record has not matched what Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski achieved in the late 1980s and early 1990s, it's hard to criticize an 18-4 NCAA turnament record over the pst five years that includes a national title, a second-place finish and five straight Sweet 16s.

Most amazing of all, Krzyzewski has kept Duke at the top of the college basketball world in an era rife with instability and early defections to the NBA.

"Environments change," Krzyzewski said. "If you want to be successful in each environment, you have to be able to anticipate as much change as possible and don't spend most of your time saying, 'Well, in the good old days ...' "

 
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In the good old days, Krzyzewski never lost underclassmen to the NBA. Between 1986 and 1994 -- when he took Duke to seven Final Fours in nine years and won two national championships -- Blue Devils, almost alone among college basketball's elite, were able to keep star players for four years. From Johnny Dawkins to Danny Ferry to Christian Laettner to Grant Hill, Duke kids stayed.

That changed after Duke's NCAA runner-up finish in 1999, when sophomore Elton Brand, sophomore Will Avery and freshman (!) Corey Maggette all jumped to the NBA. It happened again last spring,when juniors Jason Williams, Carlos Boozer and Mike Dunleavy all made the leap.

"In the last four years, we've had six kids picked in the [NBA draft] lottery and seven in the first round," Krzyzewski said. "What happens as a result of that is very interesting. So far what's happened is that we've been able to still maintain a high level of play. When that [Brand, Avery, Maggette] group left, we still finished No. 1 three straight years and won a national championship [two years later].

"If we can come close to doing that, it would be great."

Don't bet against him pulling it off. One reason the Duke program has been so consistent in recent years is that Krzyzewski and his staff have recruited so well. Three times in the past six years, the Blue Devils have landed the nation's top-ranked recruiting class.

And despite a few individual disappointments (Chris Burgess? Casey Sanders?), those classes have been as good as advertised. The 1998 haul produced two future national players of the year in Brand and Shane Battier, plus Avery, who was a first-round NBA draft choice after his sophomore season. The 2000 class turned out another national player of the year in Williams, a consensus All-American in Dunleavy and a first-team All-ACC performer in Boozer.

Krzyzewski's new six-man class is, on paper, rated higher than either of the others. It includes four McDonald's prep All-Americans, a fifth player regarded as a top-10 prospect and a sixth player rated among the nation's top 100 prospects. Oklahoma power forward Shelden Williams and Virginia sharpshooter J.J. Redick are about as close to sure-fire contributors as incoming freshmen can be.

"What I like about our class is, first of all, it's deep," the Duke coach said. "We need them. We need a lot of players after losing the three guys we lost. Secondly, they're talented kids and they are a variety of talents -- we have big guys, we have shooters, we have ball-handlers. You could make a team with that group.

"Overall, they are very eager and enthusiastic. The environment for us to develop in is outstanding. I think we're going to be good."

There are some strong parallels between what Krzyzewski faced going into the 1999-2000 season and what he faces headed into the 2002-03 campaign. Three years ago, the Blue Devils returned just three players with any experience, and all had been role players on the Duke team that lost the NCAA title game to UConn.

Of course, during the 1999-2000 season, Battier and Chris Carrawell blossomed into stars and teamed with precocious freshmen such as Williams, Dunleavy and Boozer to keep Duke among the nation's elite. Krzyzewski hopes that veteran role players Chris Duhon and Dahntay Jones -- or maybe gifted sophomore Daniel Ewing -- will do the same this season, emerging as stars and blending with this recruiting class to keep the Blue Devils near the top of the national rankings.

However, the Duke coach doesn't want to push the analogy too far.

"The only difference is that [in 1999], we had more leadership coming back," Krzyzewski said. "Even though we had just those three kids, all three of them proved to be outstanding leaders. Shane was just one of the great leaders in college sports. Now, even though we have some veterans coming back, none of them have had that leadership role."

Finding that leadership is Krzyzewski's chief concern entering the season. He was hoping Dunleavy would return to provide the veteran anchor for his newcomers. Now he's hoping that Duhon can fill the void.

But he admits to being as curious as an outsider about how it's going to work out.

Curious, that is, in a good way.

"To me it's exciting," he said. "I don't have to go undefeated to be happy. I want to have a team that competes for championships each year. I'd like to figure out how this group, in a very youthful stage, might compete for something like that."

In the past few years, no coach has been better at figuring such things out than Duke's Krzyzewski.

STARTERS LOST

C/F -- CARLOS BOOZER (6-9, 18.2 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 1.1 apg, 0.9 spg, 0.7 bs, 28.4 minutes, .665 FG, .754 FT) It's easy to second-guess Boozer's decision to jump to the NBA. The powerfully built Alaskan was not picked in the first round of the draft and had to sign a one-year contract with the Cleveland Cavaliers. But Krzyzewski is convinced that Boozer -- a natural power forward who spent his Duke career playing center -- will blossom in the pro game.

Certainly Boozer was an amazingly efficient offensive player in the low post for the Blue Devils. A deadly finisher with either hand, he broke Elton Brand's school record for career field-goal percentage and just missed the ACC mark. He topped the 20-point mark 14 times in his junior year and finished as the No. 4 scorer in the ACC.

Boozer was plagued with injuries in his first two years at Duke. He broke a bone in his left foot just before his freshman season and broke the same bone in his right foot late in his sophomore season. He overcame both injuries quickly, especially in 2001, when he returned in time to play a key role in Final Four wins over Maryland and Arizona.

Boozer was merely a fair rebounder for his size and was not an impressive defender, but Duke will miss his offensive excellence in the post.

F -- MICHAEL DUNLEAVY (6-8, 17.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 2.1 apg, 2.3 spg, 32.4 minutes, .483 FG, .378 3PT, .681 FT) While Krzyzewski seemed resigned to the early departures of Williams and Boozer, he was less accommodating when Dunleavy wanted to test the NBA waters.

Dunleavy was urged to declare by his father (former NBA coach Mike Dunleavy Sr.) and later said that almost until the last moment he was planning to return to Duke for his senior season -- for the chance to become national player of the year and to see his number retired in Cameron.

Instead, he couldn't pass up the chance to become the third player taken in the 2002 draft. In a way, that choice was a testimony to Krzyzewski's basketball acumen -- three years earlier, the Duke coach passed up the higher-rated Casey Jacobsen for a chance to land the skinny swingman from Portland. That choice paid off on the night of April 2, 2001, when Dunleavy's 21 points and four second-half 3-pointers helped Duke edge Arizona in the NCAA title game.

Dunleavy built on that performance as a junior, providing Duke with an inside-outside versatility that few opponents could match. He proved his inside prowess with seven double-figure rebound games. He showed his outside skill by making 88 3-point shots. He handled the ball like a guard. He scored 20-plus points 13 times in the season and was voted to the media's All-ACC defensive team.

Of course, that range of skills is what made him so attractive to the NBA, which see him as, if not quite another Larry Bird, a player in that mold.

Those are skills that Krzyzewski would have liked to use to build around this season. Dunleavy was capable of playing three positions. It might take three different players to replace him.

G -- JASON WILLIAMS (6-2, 21.3 ppg, 5.3 apg, 3.5 rpg, 2.2 spg, 33.6 minutes, .457 FG, .383 3PT, .676 FT) Williams passed up the chance to become the No. 1 pick in the 2001 NBA Draft for a chance to return to Duke to earn his degree, to win another national championship and to become the consensus national player of the year.

He accomplished two out of three goals, falling short of the third when he missed what would have been the game-tying free throw in the final seconds against Indiana in a NCAA South Regional semifinal.

It was a frustrating end to a great season for Williams. The New Jersey native was an unstoppable offensive machine, leading the ACC in scoring while still passing out more than five assists a game. He overcame a broken wrist suffered in a preseason pickup game and opened the season with a 27-point effort in a narrow victory over Seton Hall. He topped 20 points in 19 games and went over the 30 mark on four occasions.

The powerfully built guard was equally adept from the perimeter, where he connected on 108 3-pointers, and in traffic, where he used his body and athleticism to score consistently against bigger players.

Williams was at his best against the best, raising his average to 26.3 points per game against ranked opponents. He almost single-handedly beat Kentucky with a 38-point performance in December, then blew away eventual national champion Maryland in January with a 34-point, eight-assist outburst. He put up 37 against North Carolina in the final home game of his career.

Williams, who won the Naismith Award in 2001 (the only major POY award that didn't go to teammate Shane Battier that season), won almost every major national award as a junior. He finished his career as just the second player in ACC history to top 2,000 career points through his junior season.

His departure robs Duke of a great player, one capable of single-handedly dominating games. He will be missed.

OTHERS LOST

C -- MATT CHRISTENSEN (6-10, 1.5 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 5.8 minutes, .458 FG, 684 FT) The Mormon big man found more notoriety for what he did in the seconds after his career ended than for anything he did as a player.

Christensen, who didn't get to play against Indiana in his final college game, reacted angrily when no foul was called as teammate Carlos Boozer tried to put up what would have been the game-winning shot in the final seconds. He rushed off the bench and confronted official Bruce Benedict (the former Atlanta Braves' catcher) as he tried to leave the floor.

Krzyzewski arrived within seconds to prevent Christensen from doing more than screaming at the official, but the incident got wide-spread attention and resulted in a written letter of apology from Christensen to Benedict.

Christensen was an excellent student and, until that final moment, was never involved in any unsavory incidents. Unfortunately, he was never much of a player -- a big man with bad knees who lacked the mobility to play Duke's frenetic style. His greatest contributions came during the 1999-2000 season, as he manned the middle while Boozer recovered from a preseason foot injury.

Until the finale, Christensen's greatest legacy was going to be his remarkable longevity at Duke. He arrived as a freshman in the fall of 1995. After spot duty that season, he took two years off to go on a Mormon mission, returned to red-shirt in 1998-99, then performed as a backup through last season.

F -- REGGIE LOVE (6-4, 0.9 ppg., 1.1 rpg., 3.7 minutes, .400 FG, .500 FT) There was a moment late in the 2001 season when it looked as if Love would develop into a useful player. When Boozer broke his foot late in the regular season, the 6-foot-4 football player emerged as Duke's top backup in the post.

But Love didn't build on that opportunity as a sophomore and by the end of the season was buried on the bench. He was suspended for the ACC Tournament for an unspecified violation of team rules. Although he returned to the bench for the first round of the NCAA tournament, he dropped off the team before the Sweet 16 to participate in spring football practice. At the moment, he plans to concentrate on football.

PROJECTED STARTERS

G -- CHRIS DUHON (6-1, 190 lbs., JR, # 21, 8.9 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 5.9 apg, 2.3 spg, 35.1 minutes, .410 FG, .340 3PT, .711 FT, Salmen HS/ Slidell, La.) When Duhon led a collection of American college all-stars to the title in the World Championships for Young Men in Saitama, Japan, in the summer of 2001, a lot of basketball observers watched and thought that the Duke point guard was about to emerge as an NCAA superstar. It didn't happen.

"A good player knows if he's been really good or just good," Krzyzewski said. "Could Chris have played better last year? Absolutely. Did he play poorly? No. He had a good year, not a great year."

Duhon, who emerged as a starter during Duke's NCAA title run in 2001, put up some impressive numbers in 2002. He was second in the ACC in steals, fourth in assists and second in assist/turnover margin. He was voted to the coaches' All-ACC defensive team.

Yet there was always a sense that something was missing from Duhon's game. He was never the assertive leader who won the MVP award at the World Championships.

"Some of that has to do with the nature of our team," Krzyzewski said. "Jason needed to have the ball. Our strength last year was that we played four perimeter guys. So the ball was shared more. Also Mike and Jason, those guys made great decisions. It gave Chris a lot less opportunity to create things for them. Those were kids who created for themselves. "It didn't lend to his strengths. I think this team will lend to Chris' strengths. I think he's going to be a very, very important guy for us this year."

He had better be. This will be a young team that will need leadership. Krzyzewski has labeled Duhon "a natural leader" and appointed him as Duke's captain.

The Duke coach also would like to see Duhon regain the shooting touch that caused him to be rated the best pure shooter in his class coming out of high school. So far, he has shown only flashes of that—making 5-of-6 3-point shots at Virginia as a freshman or foiling Southern Cal's defensive strategy in the 2001 East Regional title game by hitting three second-half 3-pointers. But overall, his shooting has been just fair -- 36.1 percent on 3-pointers as a freshman and 34.0 percent as a sophomore.

But Duhon has spent his first two years deferring to Williams and Dunleavy. Now the team is his to run. To a large degree, Duke's 2002-03 season will depend on whether the Louisiana playmaker reaches the heights he was supposed to reach last year.

"I do expect it to happen now," Krzyzewski said.

G -- DANIEL EWING (6-3, 170 lbs., SO, #5, 6.5 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.9 spg., 18.2 minutes, .479 FG, .457 3PT, .686 FT, Willowridge HS/Sugarland, Texas) Krzyzewski didn't expect Ewing to walk in as a freshman and put Jason Williams or Chris Duhon on the bench.

But the Texas high school star still made a remarkable transition to college basketball.

"Daniel, to me, was as good as any freshman in the league last year," Krzyzewski said. "He was just on our team that had a pretty set lineup."

Even so, Ewing found a way to make a significant contribution off the bench. He had the best 3-point percentage on the team, hit double figures nine times and twice led the team in assists -- not easy to do with Williams and Duhon among the top four playmakers in the ACC.

The combination guard was at his best late in the season, averaging 9.0 points on 53.8 percent shooting in the NCAA tournament. His best game came in Duke's tough second-round victory over Notre Dame, when Ewing scored a season-high 18 points and sank four crucial free throws in the final minutes.

Ewing, who teamed in the backcourt with Texas freshman star T.J. Ford to win two straight state titles at Willowridge High School, is expected to slide into the starting backcourt role vacated by Jason Williams. While he's not likely to replace Williams' offensive production, a lot of Duke watchers think Ewing has star potential -- including Krzyzewski.

"There are many things Daniel has that he hasn't shown yet," Krzyzewski said late in the season. "At times he [played] a little more conservatively because he [was playing] with upperclassmen. I think you'll see him come out a little more as he grows."

G/F -- DAHNTAY JONES (6-6, 210 lbs., SR, #30, 11.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.2 apg, 0.5 bpg, 0.8 spg, 28.9 minutes, .505 FG, .231 3PT, .725 FT, Steinert HS/Trenton, N.J.) Jones, who came to Duke after two seasons at Rutgers, is only the second transfer Krzyzewski has taken.

And like the first, St.John's forward Roshown McLeod, Jones struggled at times after sitting out his transfer season. "Actually, Dahntay did a lot better than Roshown did in his first year after red-shirting," Krzyzewski said. "If he can do as well his senior year as Roshown did, then Dahntay will be terrific."

McLeod was a first-team All-ACC player as a senior and became a first-round NBA draft pick. Jones certainly has the athleticism to do the same.

Jones was Duke's defensive stopper in 2002. A member of both the coaches' and the media's All-ACC defensive teams, he also was selected to the national all-defensive team by CollegeInsider.com. His finest moment may have come in Duke's first matchup against Maryland, when he limited Terp star Juan Dixon to 10 points on 2-of-9 shooting.

Jones was also an effective player in transition and around the basket. The one flaw in his game was his shooting -- opponents often backed off and dared him to shoot. That strategy paid off as Jones hit just 12-of-52 3-point shots. If he's going to match McLeod's improvement in his second season at Duke, Jones is going to have to get that figure up at least to the 34.5 percent that he hit as a sophomore at Rutgers.

Krzyzewski believes there's reason to think Jones can make a significant improvement this season.

"He's really a good student and because of transferring [and sitting out a year], he's close to graduating," Krzyzewski said. "He'll have so much more time to concentrate on basketball. I think he'll be really good."

C -- CASEY SANDERS (6-11, 235 lbs., SR, #20, 1.6 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 0.5 bpg, 7.8 minutes, .479 FG, .480 FT, Tampa Prep/Tampa, Fla.) Before writing off Sanders as the big flop in Krzyzewski's great recruiting class from four years ago, remember one name: Alaa Abdelnaby.

More than a decade ago, Abdelnaby's career looked very much like Sanders' first three years at Duke. The Egyptian big man was a McDonald's All-American in 1986 who rarely got off the bench in his first three years in college. But given the opportunity to play as a senior, Abdelnaby emerged as a key player on Duke's 1990 Final Four team and played so well that he became an NBA first-round draft choice.

Could that happen to Sanders?

"We have a tendency to call kids disappointments when maybe they just aren't ready," Krzyzewski said. "It's one of the things that will never change. Each kid runs his own race. If Casey compared himself to where Jason was, Casey will always be disappointed. My feeling is 'Where do you finish your race?' Casey's in his last quarter mile. Maybe this is his time." Sanders, who arrived at Duke three years ago as a rail-thin 195-pounder, has added 30 pounds to his 6-foot-11 frame. He owns extraordinary quickness and leaping ability for a player his size, but so far has lacked the strength and basketball acumen to be much of a contributor.

That's not to say he hasn't had his moments. Late in his sophomore year, when Boozer broke his foot, Sanders moved into the starting lineup and made a significant contribution as Duke won 10 straight games, including both the ACC and NCAA championships. He didn't put up big numbers, but held his own in the middle and proved to be an impressive shot-blocker. Unfortunately, Sanders didn't use that experience to become a consistent contributor as a junior. He languished on the bench, much as he did as a freshman and for most of his sophomore year.

Krzyzewski needs more from Sanders this season.

"It's a new ballgame for him," Krzyzewski said. "He's gone through three years with some really good production when we needed him during our run to the NCAA title to the frustration of not building on it last year. He should be a better man, a better player for going through that."

Krzyzewski will give Sanders the first shot at the center spot vacated by Boozer's jump to the NBA. If he can't do the job, the Blue Devils will have to rely on their freshmen big men in the middle. "I think Casey should be ready to do it," Krzyzewski said. "We're very optimistic about him. I'd be shocked if he doesn't contribute greatly this year."

F -- SHELDEN WILLIAMS (6-9, 255 lbs., FR, #23, 20.0 ppg, 12.0 rpg, 3.0 bpg, Midwest City HS/Forest Park, Okla.) Duke rarely has had a more controversial recruit ... or a more important one.

There's little debate about Williams' potential on the court. He was a consensus choice as Oklahoma's prep player of the year after leading Midwest City to the state 6-A title as a junior. Nationally, he was regarded as one of the nation's top 10 prospects and seemed to have both the maturity and the physical skill to make an immediate impact at the college level.

But Williams' life took a turn midway through his senior season. His Midwest City high school team was playing in a prep tournament in Columbus, Ohio, when the future Blue Devil and three of his teammates were caught in their hotel room at 2 a.m. with a young woman. She filed a rape complaint against the four players, and while the Columbus police didn't find enough evidence to take the charge to a grand jury, Williams and his teammates found themselves mired in an ugly controversy.

The incident ended Williams' senior season prematurely, as all four players were kicked off for a violation of team rules. His admission to Duke was questioned, although the school later determined that because no charges were filed and Williams had never before been in trouble, no further action would be taken against him.

"He's a great kid and it's unfortunate he's in a situation where he didn't get to finish his senior year," Krzyzewski said. The Duke coach understands that his prize recruit will still be haunted by what happened that night in Columbus. "He had his first experience as a public figure," Krzyzewski said. "What we have to do is talk to him about that, tell him, 'If you want to be really good, you'll be a public figure for a while.' The best way to handle any situation like that is to be honest about it and get support from people around you."

Duke needs Williams to put his troubles behind him and do what he does best -- play basketball. The muscular forward -- nicknamed "The Landlord" for his ownership of the lane in high school -- appears to be the logical successor in the Elton Brand-Carlos Boozer line of power players. He has the strength to play inside, but with an outside dimension to his game that Krzyzewski would like to utilize.

KEY RESERVES

PG -- SEAN DOCKERY (6-2, 175 lbs., FR, #15, 28.0 ppg, 7.0 apg, 4.0 rpg, 4.0 spg, Julian HS/Chicago) Like his new classmate Shelden Williams, Dockery has been a lightning rod for controversy since signing with Duke.

Unlike Williams' case, it's hard to see what the criticism is all about. Dockery, the product of an inner-city Chicago high school, was labeled an academic question mark -- although he met the NCAA qualifying standards midway through his senior season.

"Somebody got an early bit of information about his academics, and all of a sudden, he's perceived to be not very intelligent," Krzyzewski said. "I think that's a shame. He scored really well academically and on his college boards in his senior year. He was judged by what he was doing in his sophomore year. Shame on whoever did that."

Krzyzewski has long admired Dockery's floor game, which is one reason he pursued the Chicago playmaker over some higher-rated point guards.

There may have been better shooters available, but the Chicago prep player of the year could be best defender in the class and has to rank as one of the best playmakers. He set Illinois career records for assists (1,179) and steals (664). Dockery appears to have the physical maturity to make an immediate impact, although his playing time as a freshman may be limited by the presence of Duhon and Ewing. Of course, Krzyzewski has never been adverse to playing two point guards together, so if Dockery can demonstrate his defensive and playmaking skills early, he could carve out an early role for himself.

F/C NICK HORVATH (6-10, 235 lbs., JR, #3, 1.5 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 8.0 minutes, .311 FG, .048 3PT, .500 FT, Mounds View HS/ Arden, Minn.) The former Minnesota Mr. Basketball hasn't had a lot of luck at Duke.

He showed promise as a freshman in 1999-2000 -- especially as a big man who could step outside and hit the 3-pointer. He banked in a 3-pointer at the buzzer to save a game against DePaul, and his 3-of-4 3-pointers in a victory over Wake Forest clinched Duke's ACC regular-season title.

But after missing almost all the next season with a foot injury (and receiving a medical hardship year), Horvath struggled through another injury-plagued season in 2002 and never regained his shooting touch. He missed 20 of 21 3-point tries and hit just 31.1 percent from the floor.

Horvath did demonstrate the ability to mix it up low. He pulled down more rebounds per minute than any player other than Boozer, and only Sanders blocked more shots per minute played.

"When I came to Duke, I was a very one-dimensional player," Horvath told the Duke student newspaper. "I was an offensive player. Now my role has switched. My coaches from high school can't believe how much harder I play."

That ability in the post could be useful for a team without a proven big man. But if Horvath is going to be more than a spot contributor, he'll have to recapture the shooting touch that made him so dangerous as a freshman.

F -- SHAVLIK RANDOLPH (6-10, 215 lbs., FR, #42, 30.0 ppg, 14.0 rpg, 5.0 bpg, .594 FG, Broughton HS/Raleigh, N.C.) The Raleigh big man is a historic pickup for Duke for a number of reasons.

In the first place, he's the grandson and namesake of former N.C. State All-American Ronnie Shavlik, who was one of the ACC's two or three greatest players in the 1950s. In the second place, Randolph represents Duke's first clear-cut in-state recruiting victory over rival North Carolina since the 1960s.

But is Randolph worth the hype?

Many of the recruiting gurus rated the slender big man as the nation's No. 1 junior prospect, but most of them dropped him in the rankings after a less-than-dominating summer of AAU ball in 2001. Randolph was bothered by an ankle injury, but he also appeared less inclined to take his game down low.

"As a junior, I loved him," recruiting writer Clint Jackson said. "He was best as a power forward who had a variety of moves inside, but could step outside. As a senior, I thought he got away from what made him special. I thought he was better as a [power forward] stepping out. Now he wants to be a [small forward]."

Randolph is an excellent shooter and a good ball-handler. But where he's really remarkable is using his quickness and his variety of post moves inside.

Krzyzewski would like to think that Randolph will develop into the kind of inside/outside forward that Danny Ferry and Christian Laettner were at Duke. The departure of Dunleavy may open up a window of opportunity for the Raleigh prep star to play right away. If either Sanders or Williams falters, Randolph could find himself in the starting rotation as a freshman.

G -- J.J. REDICK (6-4, 200 lbs., FR, #4, 28.3 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 4.0 apg, .570 FG, .440 3PT, .910 FT, Cave Springs HS/Roanoke, Va.) How good is Redick?

Ask veteran prep guru Howard Garfinkel.

"He's the best shooter I've seen since Chris Mullins," Garfinkel said. "More than that, he's a player. He's smooth. He's smart. He can move without the ball. He can handle, rebound and pass. I love J.J. Redick."

Redick fashioned an astonishing end to his prep career when he returned from what was thought to be a season-ending foot injury to lead Cave Springs to the Virginia 3-A title. In the process, Redick set state records for playoff points (111 in three games) and playoff 3-pointers (20). He then earned MVP honors in the McDonald's All-American game when he scored 26 points and hit 5-of-6 3-pointers. He also won the McDonald's 3-point shooting contest.

Redick may not be able to start as a freshman on a team that boasts a pair of veteran wings in Ewing and Jones, but his offensive skills are sure to earn him playing time.

Redick has already made a significant contribution to the Duke program. When he committed to Duke in the fall of his junior year, he became the first member of the "Super Six" to come aboard. He forged a strong friendship with Randolph and helped convince the Raleigh prep star to join him at Duke.

C -- MICHAEL THOMPSON (6-10, 250 lbs., FR, #50, 25.0 ppg, 12.0 rpg, 4.0 bpg., Providence Catholic HS/Joliet, Ill.) Thompson committed to Duke midway through his junior year at Providence Catholic. When he turned in a series of mediocre performances in several AAU tournaments that spring, critics wondered if Krzyzewski had made a mistake in taking the Illinois big man so early.

That thinking changed after Thompson spent a session at the Duke basketball camp, where he had a confidence-boosting encounter with Boozer in a pickup game.

"That's all it took," Thompson said. "My confidence went up so much. It wasn't my physical stuff that was making me not do well. It was mental. After playing against Carlos, I felt like I could play against anybody."

The experience turned into a launching pad as Thompson re-established himself as a top 25 prospect at the summer camps, then finished his prep career with a strong senior season. With prep big man rivals Amare Stoudamire and DeAngelo Collins jumping straight to the NBA, Thompson may be the best pure center prospect entering college basketball this season.

"Center has become a vanishing species," recruiting writer Bob Gibbons said. "The good ones don't go to college anymore." Thompson's early decision to go to Duke helped Krzyzewski put together his spectacular class. His presence helped convince Williams and Randolph -- two forwards who don't want to be forced to play center -- that they will have help in the middle.

Thompson will vie with Sanders for the starting center role. He's physically more mature than his older, more experienced teammate. His strength could come in handy.

G -- ANDRE BUCKNER (5-10, 170 lbs., SR, #2, 0.9 ppg, 0.3 rpg, 0.4 apg, 3.3 minutes, .286 FG, .167 3PT, .600 FT, University Heights HS/Hopkinsville, Ky.) The younger brother of former Clemson star Greg Buckner was recruited three years ago as a stopgap when Avery unexpectedly turned pro.

Buckner, who was planning to attend Tennessee as a walk-on, jumped at the chance to attend Duke on scholarship, even though Krzyzewski explained that he was just recruiting him as a practice player.

The tiny playmaker has filled that role to perfection and even made a very limited contribution in game situations. As a freshman, he gave a foul-plagued Blue Devil team several solid minutes in a tough win at Clemson.

But for the most part, Buckner will make his contribution in practice. Although undersized, he's a capable ball-handler and a pesky defender. If circumstances force Buckner into a real game situation, he should be able to hold his own.

G -- ANDY BORMAN (6-1, 180 lbs., SR, #40, 0.6 ppg, 0.9 rpg, 2.1 minutes, 7 appearances, Bradenton Academy/ Morrisville, N.C.) Krzyzewski's nephew is at Duke on a soccer scholarship and won't join the basketball team until that season is over in late November or early December. He's strictly a practice player.

G -- MARK CAUSEY (6-3, 180 lbs., SO, #45, 1.1 ppg, 0.7 rpg, 3.9 minutes, 12 appearances, East Hall HS/Gainesville, Ga.) Duke's best walk-on was the Georgia Class AA player of the year in 2001. A fair athlete and an exceptional shooter, Causey is a valuable practice player.

He didn't see any significant game action as a freshman, and with Duke's depth on the perimeter, it's unlikely that he'll be more than a mop-up player this season. Still, if circumstances dictate, Causey and Buckner are the two little-used players most likely to help in a crisis.

G -- ANDY MEANS (6-5, 190 lbs., JR, #53, 1.1 ppg., 1.0 rpg., 3.1 minutes, 10 appearances, Lawrence North HS/Indianapolis) An honorable mention all-state pick in Indiana in 2001, Means is another valuable practice player, but is unlikely to see any significant game action.

BLUE RIBBON ANALYSIS

How long can Krzyzewski keep this high-wire act going?

His first great run -- from 1986 to 1994 -- came to an abrupt end in 1995, when the Duke coach was sidelined by back surgery and the Blue Devils crashed to the bottom of the ACC. It took Krzyzewski two years to rebuild his empire and initiate his second great run. Since 1997, Duke has won more games than anybody in college basketball (13 more than runner-up Kansas).

But if Krzyzewski hopes to continue his run, he has to reload on the run. He will have to plug Williams, Redick and Randolph into his rotation the way he did with Williams, Dunleavy and Boozer three years ago. He will have to get the same kind of improvement from Duhon and Jones that he got from Carrawell and Battier after the 1999 season.

Don't bet against the Duke coach pulling it off. But never forget how fragile that success is in the current basketball climate. One bad recruiting class -- or an over-hyped one -- could lead to the same kind of disaster the Blue Devils endured in 1995.

That shouldn't happen this year. Krzyzewski appears to have enough proven veterans on the perimeter to keep Duke among the nation's elite teams. In a game dominated by point guard play, the Blue Devils are set at the point -- even if Duhon doesn't step up his game and become a star, he has already proven himself a quality college playmaker.

Krzyzewski doesn't need all six members of his heralded recruiting class to be impact players. If he can get significant contributions from two of his three inside recruits, the Blue Devils will be fine.


 
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