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CNNSI.com's NCAA Bubble Watch

One last bracket projection for Selection Sunday

Posted: Sunday March 10, 2002 9:28 AM
Updated: Sunday March 10, 2002 5:47 PM
  Rylan Hainje Rylan Hainje and Butler are rooting for Ohio State in today's Big Ten title game. AP

By Stewart Mandel, CNNSI.com

When the 2002 NCAA tournament bracket is unveiled today at 6 p.m. EST, the pertinent questions might not involve who got in and who did not. (The only real mystery at this point involves the controversial Butler.)

More like, "What is this thing?"

This year's tourney marks the NCAA's first attempt at implementing reforms announced last fall intended to keep more teams closer to home in the opening rounds.

No longer will the East or Midwest's 16 teams be limited to two sites. Oh no. This year's festivities could include teams from one region heading to as many as four different first- and second-round sites.

For instance, say likely Midwest No. 1 seed Kansas is placed in St. Louis on opening weekend. The Jayhawks' first opponent, a No. 16 seed, accompanies them, as do the No. 8 and 9 seeds, from which KU's second-round opponent is determined.

But whereas in previous years, the No. 4, 5, 12 and 13 seeds - the teams next-nearest to Kansas looking at a bracket -- would always play at that site, if No. 4 happens to be Georgia and No. 13 NC-Wilmington, the committee may see fit to send these teams to Greenville, S.C. -- technically not a "Midwest" locale.

In our final projected bracket of the year -- updated following Sunday's four remaining championship games -- we attempt to match teams to locations using the new criteria. Since this has never been done before for real, we make no guarantees of accuracy like we do for the seeds, which for the majority of teams should fall within one spot of where they officially land.

An abbreviated guide to the bracket follows.

Seeding the 65
Site  East  Site  Midwest 
Greenville, S.C.:   1. Duke*  St. Louis:   1. Kansas 
   16. Murray St.*     16. Winthrop*/Siena* 
   8. Notre Dame     8. W. Kentucky* 
   9. Missouri     9. Utah 
St. Louis:   4. Mississippi St.*  Pittsburgh:   4. Kentucky 
   13. C. Connecticut*     13. UC Santa Barbara* 
   5. Indiana     5. Ohio State* 
   12. Wyoming     12. Kent State* 
Chicago:   3. Marquette  Wash. D.C.:   3. Pittsburgh 
   14. Valparaiso*     14. Hampton* 
   6. Oklahoma St.     6. Wake Forest 
   11. Creighton*     11. Tulsa 
Pittsburgh:   2. UConn*  Albuquerque:   2. Arizona* 
   15. Boston*     15. Holy Cross* 
   7. UCLA     7. Texas 
   10. Pepperdine     10. Ole Miss 
Site  South  Site  West 
Wash. D.C.:   1. Maryland  Dallas:   1. Oklahoma* 
   16. Alcorn St*.     16. Montana*  
   8. Cal     8. Stanford 
   9. Hawaii*     9. Michigan St. 
Albuquerque:   4. Illinois  Greenville, S.C.:   4. Georgia 
   13. Penn*     13. NC Wilmington* 
   5. Florida     5. Miami 
   12. S. Illinois     12. Butler 
Sacramento:   3. Gonzaga*  Sacramento:   3. Oregon 
   14. Davidson*     14. McNeese St.* 
   6. USC     6. Xavier* 
   11. San Diego St.*     11. St. John's  
Dallas:   2. Alabama  Chicago:   2. Cincinnati* 
   15. Fla. Atlantic*     15. Illinois-Chi.* 
   7. Texas Tech     7. N.C. State** 
   10. Boston College     10. Wisconsin 
* -- automatic bid
 

Notes on the bracket

  • Last five at-large bids: Tulsa (26-6, No. 33 RPI), St. John's (20-11, No. 40), Southern Illinois (26-7, No. 48), Wyoming (21-8, No. 63), Butler (25-5, No. 77).

    Butler would set a new record for worst RPI rating of an at-large team, but fortunately for the Bulldogs, there aren't a lot of other tempting candidates left.

  • First five left out: Charlotte (18-11, No. 37), Georgetown (19-11, No. 56), Virginia (17-11, No. 50), Utah State (23-7, No. 60), Memphis (22-9, No. 69).

    Despite 20 wins, Syracuse (20-11, No. 67) barely merits a mention after dropping nine of its final 13.

    RPI numbers from collegerpi.com, March 10.

     
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