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Marty Burns' Breakdown
New York    Toronto 
At age 37, Patrick Ewing can no longer carry the Knicks on his shoulders, but he can still play defense and rebound. As long as he avoids the temptation to dominate the ball in the low post, this old warrior is an asset to his club.  CENTER

The Edge:
  None  

Though undersized in the pivot, 6'9" Antonio Davis knows Ewing well from his many playoff battles as a member of the Pacers. However, neither Davis nor veteran Kevin Willis possess enough low-post game to create offense for teammates.

In Larry Johnson and Latrell Sprewell, the Knicks don't have a big frontcourt, but they get the job done. Sprewell is the game's best open-court player and a good defender -- though he has struggled mightily this season against Vince Carter. LJ is a shell of his former self in terms of explosiveness, but uses his savvy and toughness to compensate. FORWARDS

The Edge:
  

Vince Carter has torched New York for 33.0 points per game in four contests this season, and will need to continue attacking for his team to stand a chance. Just as important, he must step up his defense, a weakness at times this season. Meanwhile, look for power forward Charles Oakley to play like a man possessed against his former mates. 

Point guards Charlie Ward and Chris Childs will defend well and make occasional big shots, but they're turnover prone. Shooting guard Allan Houston is an All-Star capable of taking over a game, but if he doesn't snap out of his late-season shooting slump, the Knicks will be in huge trouble.  GUARDS

The Edge:
  

The Raptors' big backcourt of point guard Doug Christie and shooting guard Tracy McGrady can cause problems on defense, but they rely too much on jump shots on the other end. Still Christie is a ball-hawk on defense, and McGrady a terrific shot-blocker. They should give New York all it can handle. 

In 6 '10" forward Marcus Camby the Knicks possess one of the league's best Sixth Men, a skywalker who can change the game at both ends. Camby, a former Raptor, has been battling a sore right knee but should be able to play. Kurt Thomas and Childs contribute steady defense in the frontcourt and at point, respectively.  BENCH

The Edge:
   

With Willis, point guards Muggsy Bogues and Dee Brown, and three-point specialist Dell Curry, the Raptors have plenty of veteran leadership. To upset the Knicks, however, they're going to need to make some shots as well. 

Say what you want about the Knicks, but they are a hard-headed veteran crew that plays its best when the chips are down. Having been embarrassed by the Raptors this season -- and then hearing about in the New York tabloids -- they will come focused and ready to play.   INTANGIBLES

The Edge:
   

Just a few weeks ago they were in a free fall, pointing fingers in the locker room and holding three-hour team meetings. To their credit, they righted the ship. But you have to wonder how a team whose two key players have never before played in the postseason will hold up in the crucible of a first-round series with the defending conference champs. 

After years of battling Michael Jordan, Knicks coach Jeff Van Gundy and his staff have ample experience devising game plans to slow a high-scoring superstar such as Carter. The Knicks sometimes tune Van Gundy out during the regular season, but they'll listen to him now.  COACH

The Edge:
   

Butch Carter deserves credit for getting the Raptors to their first playoff appearance, but his grip on the team is tenuous -- as evidenced by recent public criticism of his play-calling by some of the team's veterans. In short, he still has a lot to prove. 

Camby, who missed a month with a sprained right knee earlier this season, is now battling soreness in the same knee caused by a collision in a game late in the season. If he's not healthy, New York is a different team.  'X' FACTOR

The Edge:
   

Like Jordan, the player to whom he's so often compared, Vince Carter has shown an eerie ability to meet the moment (see Slam Dunk '00). Will this be his Garden coming-out party, à la Michael's show in Boston in the '86 playoffs? 
Burns' Prediction: Knicks in 4
 

Sports Illustrated staff writer Marty Burns covers pro basketball for CNNSI.com. Look for his columns on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Click here to send Marty a comment.


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