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Marty Burns' Breakdown
Utah    Seattle 
The two-headed monster of Olden Polynice and Greg Ostertag won't do much damage offensively, but they keep the Jazz system running. Against the Sonics that should be enough.  CENTER

The Edge:
  None  

Horace Grant is really a power forward, but he plays the middle without complaint and does an adequate job. Look for him to spend as much time guarding Karl Malone as he does Utah centers. 

Even at age 36, the Mailman still delivers. Determined to make one more run for the title, he'll bring his A game. When small forward Bryon Russell scores 14 points or more, the Jazz usually win.  FORWARDS

The Edge:
  

Vin Baker has been performing better of late. During the season he helped keep Malone relatively in check while scoring more than 20 points in three of four games. Like Baker, Ruben Patterson might not start but figures to be the main guy at small forward. Seattle needs his D on Russell. 

John Stockton and Jeff Hornacek actually posted numbers comparable to or better than a year ago. They are still too smart, too experienced and too good at running plays to get beaten very often. Hornacek has bad knees, however, and could be vulnerable on D.  GUARDS

The Edge:
  

Gary Payton can still take over a game. Look for him to go in the post a lot to try to take advantage of Utah's small guards. Brent Barry is OK in a wide-open game, but he won't get many chances to run against the grind-it-out Jazz. 

Howard Eisley can provide a spark, but otherwise there is little to fear from the Jazz reserve corps. They basically try to keep the game close while the stars catch a breath.  BENCH

The Edge:
  

Vernon Maxwell, back from a right knee injury, is not afraid to take big shots. Versatile second-year forward Rashard Lewis has the quickness -- especially on the offensive boards -- to hurt Utah as well. 

The Jazz figure to be extra motivated after Sonics coach Paul Westphal said Seattle was glad to be playing Utah instead of L.A.   INTANGIBLES

The Edge:
   

The way the Sonics avoided L.A. -- with a huge win overtime win at Sacramento -- has to be a boost for their fragile confidence. 

Jerry Sloan seldom fails to have his team prepared for a game. Of course, they've been running the same plays for so long, he really only has to make sure they don't miss the bus.  COACH

The Edge:
   

Concerned about his team's sluggish play, Westphal shook up the starting lineup two weeks ago, and the Sonics responded. Still he's had several run-ins with Payton, Maxwell and Baker in recent weeks, and his hold on the team remains in doubt. 

Will Utah 's aging three stars be able to hold up in the playoffs, when other teams match their intensity all 48 minutes?  'X' FACTOR

The Edge:
  None  

An early taste of playoff success might shake Baker out of his doldrums and restore his confidence. 
Burns' Prediction: Jazz in 3
 

Sports Illustrated staff writer Marty Burns covers pro basketball for CNNSI.com. Look for his columns on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Click here to send Marty a comment.


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