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Marty Burns' Breakdown
Indiana    Philadelphia 
Rik Smits was barely a factor in the first round against shot-blocking Bucks center Ervin Johnson, a player very similar to Sixers center Theo Ratliff. The Pacers need Smits to assert himself in the low post, draw double teams and keep Ratliff occupied or it will be tough to win this series.  CENTER

The Edge:
  None  

Theo Ratliff enjoyed a breakout series against the Hornets, especially in Game 3 when he blocked six shots and altered several others. He won't score much, but he will hurt the Pacers on the offensive glass if they don't put a body on him. He could have a major impact. 

With Smits' play in decline, power forward Dale Davis will likely need to have a big series, especially on the boards. Otherwise the Pacers won't have any inside game. Small forward Jalen Rose also will be asked to do a lot. He must score, rebound and play help defense on Allen Iverson.  FORWARDS

The Edge:
  

Tyrone Hill is known for his savvy low post D, but he also hurt the Pacers this season at the other end (15.3 points and 10.0 rebounds in four games). Meanwhile, George Lynch helped hold Rose to 41.3% shooting in their regular-season series. If they can duplicate those efforts, the Sixers should be in great shape. 

Mark Jackson and Reggie Miller at times looked old and slow against the quick-tempo Bucks. But Jackson is still an expert set-up man, and Miller can still take over a game, as he proved with his 41-point masterpiece in the Game 5 clincher. If Miller doesn't get too tired chasing Iverson around, he could have more heroics in store. Look for Jackson, meanwhile, to try to take Iverson into the low post.  GUARDS

The Edge:
  

Despite playing with several nagging injuries, Iverson bravely carried the Sixers past the Hornets with his usual scoring, playmaking and hustle defense. His quickness will give the Pacers fits. Eric Snow hopes to return after missing the last two playoff games with a chipped ankle bone. His steady leadership and defense on Miller will be critical. 

Travis Best, who hit the game-winning three-pointer in Game 5, will play a key role defending Iverson. However, the Pacers need Austin Croshere (foot) and Derrick McKey (tendon) to shake off their nagging injuries and play better -- especially on defense -- than they did against the Bucks.  BENCH

The Edge:
  None  

At 6'10", Toni Kukoc sees the court well and can shoot over most defenders. Aaron McKie proved against Charlotte that he's a quality backup for Snow at point, while 7'0" Matt Geiger is playing his best ball of the season. 

The Pacers showed in their Game 5 victory over Milwaukee how important home-court advantage is to them. They also are refreshed, having survived a scare to the Bucks. Look for them to be much more comfortable back in their half-court game.  INTANGIBLES

The Edge:
  None  

The Sixers have had a week off to rest up and heal for this series, a big help given all their nagging injuries. They are also extra motivated, since Indiana swept them out of the playoffs a year ago. 

With so little time to prepare for the Sixers, coach Larry Bird will really be tested during this series. There's no doubt he's got a good feel for his team, but he'll be up against a master tactician in Brown. He'll need to make smart adjustments on the fly if he wants to hold off his retirement a bit longer.   COACH

The Edge:
   

Larry Brown would never say it, but is there any doubt he'd derive extra pleasure from beating his old team? Especially after getting swept by the Pacers in the conference semifinals last year? Brown will have his team as ready as it has ever been. 

Smits appears to be a shell of the player who was a top five center a few years ago. Still, he's 7'4" and should get more chances to set up in the post here than he did against the uptempo Bucks.   'X' FACTOR

The Edge:
   

Kukoc is up and down, but when he's on it's often lights out for opponents. Two years ago, as a member of the Bulls, Kukoc got hot and killed the Pacers in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. 
Burns' Prediction: Sixers in 6
 

Sports Illustrated staff writer Marty Burns covers pro basketball for CNNSI.com. Look for his columns on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Click here to send Marty a comment.


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