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Marty Burns' Breakdown
Indiana    New York 
Rik Smits has size (7'4") and a sweet jumper, but he's slowing down and has been woefully inconsistent during the playoffs. He needs to make outside shots to pull Ewing out of the lane. On defense, he must be physical while staying out of foul trouble.   CENTER

The Edge:
  

Like Smits, Patrick Ewing also has lost a step. But he's still an effective defender, rebounder and shot maker. Against the Pacers in the regular season, he averaged 18.8 points and 9.3 rebounds in four games, sinking the game-winning basket in an 83-81 victory in April. 

Jalen Rose played big at both ends against Philadelphia's George Lynch, but he now faces a much more skilled offensive player in Sprewell. He must score his usual 16 to 20 points, keep Spree in check and -- perhaps most important -- hit the boards. At power forward, All-Star Dale Davis has been steady in the playoffs, even while playing through nagging injuries.   FORWARDS

The Edge:
  None  

Latrell Sprewell will have his hands full with the 6'8" lefty Rose, but he showed against Jamal Mashburn that he can guard bigger forwards, and his quickness gives Indiana fits. Against the Pacers this year, Sprewell averaged 19.3 points on 57.6-percent shooting. Larry Johnson is a low- post threat who still draws double teams and can defend any front-court position.  

Reggie Miller averaged 17 points against the Knicks during the season, but he shot just 38.3 percent. Still, he's a big-time player who seems to save his best for the Knicks -- especially in Madison Square Garden. Point guard Mark Jackson has hurt New York in the past by posting up Ward or Childs, but new rules could lessen his effectiveness. .  GUARDS

The Edge:
  

Allan Houston won't be able to sag off on Miller as he did Dan Majerle in the Heat series. He must stay in his face and fight through the constant screens. Houston, who has a sore ankle, also must make Miller burn energy guarding him. Charlie Ward came up huge against the Heat and should be fine against Jackson if he can keep him out of the post.  

Travis Best is the key to the Pacers' second unit, pressuring the ball on defense and creating mayhem on offense. Forwards Austin Croshere and Derrick McKey will be asked to help on the boards and keep a body on Camby. Sam Perkins and Chris Mullin will hit big shots if left open.   BENCH

The Edge:
   

If Chris Childs can keep Best relatively in check, the Knicks should gain a slight edge off the bench, because Indiana has nobody to match up with 6'11" pogo-stick Marcus Camby (10.3 points, 10 boards vs. Pacers this year). Kurt Thomas provides defense and rebounding, but he must keep his temper in check.  

After four unsuccessful trips to the conference finals over the past six years, the Pacers are desperate to reach the Promised Land. Like the Heat, they also know the Knicks well and want badly to beat them. They should be locked and loaded for Game 1, and if it goes seven, they get the deciding game on their home court.   INTANGIBLES

The Edge:
  

The Knicks are like Frankenstein. They just won't die. They have a good combination of stars and role players, they believe in themselves, and they always play stingy defense. However, their habit of making things tough on themselves could come back to haunt them against the Pacers.. 

In his final season as coach, Larry Bird will be tested in this series perhaps like never before. He must find a way to negate New York's edge in quickness without slowing down his own offense. Look for him to roll the dice with some matchups in an effort to get back to the Finals one more time..  COACH

The Edge:
  None  

Jeff Van Gundy always has his team prepared, but even he'll be hard-pressed to get his team ready after the grueling Miami series. Still, he knows the Pacers so well that he should have no trouble making adjustments. As long as he remembers to park his car in the remote lot at the airport, he'll be OK.. 

Smits has been so inconsistent he's thinking of retirement. The Pacers desperately need him to provide a low-post presence, especially since Ewing is starting to smell another shot at a long-elusive title.  'X' FACTOR

The Edge:
  

After a draining seven-game series with the Heat, the Knicks must regroup mentally and physically. The Pacers figure to come at New York with just as much intensity as Miami did, so how well the Knicks respond could make the difference.  
Burns' Prediction: Knicks in 6
 

Marty Burns covers pro basketball for CNNSI.com. Look for his columns on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Click here to send Marty a comment.


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