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From the Enron collapse to the recent surge on Wall Street, big business has
been big news of late. But even in the NBA, there's no shortage of speculating. Dynasties rise and fall. Hot franchises emerge while others go belly-up. Predicting which of today's teams will be sitting pretty in five years -- and which will go dot-com -- can be harder than figuring out a price-to-earnings ratio.
So for those NBA fans who don't know the difference between Arthur Andersen and Kenny Anderson, SI's Marty Burns takes stock of all 29 teams -- and gives you his picks for the Bulls and Bears (well, Grizzlies anyway) to watch in the coming years.
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BUY
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DALLAS MAVERICKS
Principal owner: Mark Cuban
Billionaire Cuban has already shown he will spend any amount of money to keep
them competitive. Moreover, they've got a talented young core -- Michael
Finley, Dirk Nowitzki and Steve Nash -- that's locked up for years, and a
gleaming new American Airlines Center. Unless David Stern's Thought Police
force Cuban into selling, the Mavs should be a force for years to come.
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SACRAMENTO KINGS
Principal owner: The Maloof Brothers
This organization has it all: strong management, great young talent and a
rabid fan base. Chris Webber and Peja Stojakovic are locked up through 2007,
and there are tradeable assets for future flexibility. GM Geoff Petrie is one
of the best in the business. Arco Arena is in good shape, and the fans pack
the house.
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ORLANDO MAGIC
Principal owner: Rich DeVos
With one of the game's brightest young stars in Tracy McGrady, no state
income tax and a location desirable to many pro athletes, the Magic should be
talented for years to come. They have draft picks to trade and flexibility
to clear cap room in 2003 for another run at Tim Duncan. If Grant Hill ever
makes it back, look out.
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INDIANA PACERS
Principal owner: Melvin Simon
GM Donnie Walsh has done a masterful job of retooling after their 1999 Finals run. With young stars Jermaine O'Neal, Al Harrington, Jamaal Tinsley, Jonathan
Bender and Ron Artest, they've got the pieces in place to carry on after
Reggie Miller retires. Meanwhile, Conseco Fieldhouse is one of the game's
best venues.
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LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Principal owner: Donald Sterling
Not even the penny-pinching Sterling can screw this up. With young stars
Lamar Odom, Elton Brand, Darius Miles, Quentin Richardson and Corey Maggette,
the Clippers are one of the most exciting teams in the league. Sterling won't
re-sign them all, but they should be able to get value in trades and keep the
buzz in L.A. going for a few years.
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Other buys: San Antonio, Milwaukee, Philadelphia
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SELL
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NEW YORK KNICKS
Principal owner: Cablevision
Not even Cablevision's deep pockets can save this team of mismatched parts
from what looks to be a painful decline. Long-term deals to players like
Allan Houston, Shandon Anderson and Howard Eisley mean no salary cap room for
years to come. Meanwhile, GM Scott Layden has done little to inspire the fan
base.
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UTAH JAZZ
Principal owner: Larry Miller
John Stockton and Karl Malone will probably be gone by 2003, and then what?
The Jazz will have plenty of cap room, but attracting free agents to Salt
Lake City has never been easy. If folks in Utah thought they witnessed a lot
of construction for the Olympics, just wait until this rebuilding project begins.
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TORONTO RAPTORS
Principal owner: Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment
After having its value soar last year with Vince Carter's decision to re-sign
with the organization, this stock has plummeted like Enron. Long-term deals
to Antonio Davis, Alvin Williams and Jerome Williams have left them with no
cap flexibility and little in the way of tradeable assets. A coaching change
might be in the works as well.
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MIAMI HEAT
Principal owner: Micky Arison
Another formerly hot property, this team's stock appears set to take a
tumble. With Alonzo Mourning's health in long-term doubt and the rest of the
cap tied up in long-term deals to Brian Grant and Eddie Jones, it's doubtful
they can re-tool and stay under the luxury tax. Meanwhile, Pat Riley is
expected to leave the bench for the front office soon.
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CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Principal owner: Gordon Gund
Even at its present low value, this stock is a risk. With hobbled center
Zydrunas Ilgauskas tying up much of the payroll, there's little room to sign
free agents. Meanwhile, point guard Andre Miller might bolt in two years.
Declining attendance at Gund Arena only adds to the Cavs' list of concerns.
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Other sells: Charlotte, Golden State, Atlanta, Denver, Washington
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HOLD
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BOSTON CELTICS
Principal owner: Paul Gaston
The only NBA team actually traded on the New York stock exchange (current
price: $11.15), the Celtics have a decent future. Antoine Walker and Paul
Pierce are signed long-term, and Jim O'Brien has been a terrific fit as
coach. On the down side, luxury tax concerns could hinder ability to add
future assets.
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CHICAGO BULLS
Principal owner: Jerry Reinsdorf
There's nowhere to go but up, and they have a slew of potential talent in Tyson Chandler, Eddy Curry, Jamal Crawford, Trenton Hassell, Marcus Fizer and Eddie Robinson. They might add the No. 1 pick in the June draft as well. However, management is a disaster and it's doubtful the team will commit money to keeping all these pieces together.
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NEW JERSEY NETS
Principal owner: Lewis Katz
The Nets are primed to take over the New York market if they can keep Jason Kidd from bolting after the 2002-03 season. Keith Van Horn, Kenyon Martin and Todd
MacCulloch are all signed long-term, and GM Rod Thorn leads a solid management
team. Attendance is a concern, but a new arena deal could help.
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PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Principal owner: Paul Allen
With Paul Allen's deep pockets, this team will never lack for money.
Chemistry and bloated payroll are drawbacks, but a late surge this season
behind new coach Maurice Cheeks bodes well for the future. Traditional fan
support and the state-of-art Rose Garden are other pluses.
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LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Principal owner: Jerry Buss
Though it might be tempting to sell now, this stock still has growth
potential. With Shaq and Kobe signed long-term, and no sign of disharmony on
the horizon, they could corner the market on gold jewelry. Besides, Phil
Jackson's relationship with the owner's daughter means he'll be doing insider
trading for years to come.
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Other holds: Houston, Minnesota, Phoenix, Memphis, Detroit, Seattle
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