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Warden Report

Favre, Packers returning to past form

Click here for more on this story
Posted: Friday September 28, 2001 5:21 PM
  Brett Favre Brett Favre has already thrown five TD passes in just two games this season. Matthew Stockman/Allsport

Ryan E. Houston, Special to CNNSI.com

I thought long and hard about how to start this off, but all I keep thinking about is how my beloved Packers are looking so dominate. Oh I know, I would hardly call the Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins stiff competition myself, but regardless, it sure feels good to see Brett Favre back to MVP form.

Speaking of Favre, let's look at some players who were drafted in Round 1 and see how they are doing. I built a spreadsheet of sorts using our pre-season EDA, ADP and HDP lists. For those avid Asylum addicts you are probably quite familiar with these useful tools. Basically it is broken down by the Average Draft Position (ADP). This was figured out by analyzing over 250 drafts during the preseason and compiling it into a spreadsheet. Current Ranking (CR) is where that player is currently ranked in regards to that position. Overall Ranking (OR) is the position of where that player is currently ranked overall at any position.

Current quarterback rankings
Player  ADP  CR  OR 
Peyton Manning  8.2  1  
Donovan McNabb  27.2  2  
Brian Griese  26.5  3  
Kurt Warner  6.5  4  
Jay Fiedler  153.3  7  
Daunte Culpepper  5.6  8  
Brett Favre  39.3  9  
Jeff Garcia  24.5  11  
Chris Weinke  164.8  12  
Elvis Grbac  61.7  10  15  
Kerry Collins  98.1  11  17  
Rich Gannon  34.1  12  20  
Mark Brunell  81.8  13  23  
Rob Johnson  97.1  14  24  
Doug Flutie  111.2  15  25  
Jon Kitna  138.1  16  27  
Chris Chandler  168.6  17  34  
Trent Green  40.6  18  36  
Tim Couch  116.1  19  38  
Aaron Brooks  53.2  20  43  
ADP: Average draft position
CR: Current ranking
OR: Overall ranking
 

Who would have ever imagined that players named Chris Weinke, Jay Fiedler, Chris Chandler and Tim Couch would have been in the top 20 during the preseason? The most interesting player representation on this list was Jon Kitna. I had a difficult time finding him ranked on any of our preseason lists, basically because he didn't meet the criteria. In our pre-eason EDA and ADP lists you had to be picked in a set number of drafts to be listed. I found, while doing this research, that Jon Kitna didn't meet that criteria and was even undrafted in most 16-team Leagues. Who would have thought?

Quarterbacks: Start 'em

1. Peyton Manning: You better hope your opponent doesn't have him this week.
2. Donovan McNabb: Makes things happen on offense with few talented weapons.
3. Brett Favre: Has got something going with Schroeder and Freeman.
4. Rich Gannon: We know he's better than his 125 yards passing a week ago.
5. Trent Green: Will he finally break out of his funk against the Redskins?
6. Jeff Garcia: Something tells me the Jets aren't very good.
7. Brian Griese: Hard to sit a guy with such a hot hand regardless of who he plays.
8. Kurt Warner: See comments above.
9. Mark Brunell: The Browns defense is solid, but the Jags will rely on Mark this week.
10. Aaron Brooks: Hopefully he can shake off the rust and return to form.
11. Brad Johnson: The loss of Robert Griffith really hurts the Vikings secondary.
12. Daunte Culpepper: I don't think they will win, but you have to start him.
13. Doug Flutie: Hard for me to imagine I would have ever watched a Bengals-Chargers game.
14. Jay Fiedler: He has proven a lot in the past two weeks.
15. Jon Kitna: I'm going to give him some "mad props" this week!!

Quarterbacks: Sit 'em

1. Matt Hasselbeck: So Mr. Holmgren says it not Matt's fault ... interesting!
2. Patriots QB: This will be embarrassing for whomever gets the starting nod.
3. Kerry Collins: The Saints will take three weeks worth of frustration out on him.
4. Vinny Testaverde: Not a bad matchup but hasn't done anything this year.
5. Tony Banks: From waiver wire to starting quarterback. Not the answer.

Running wild

This week I wanted to collaborate a bit for the running back portion of the report. As some of you know, we at the Asylum are very pleased to have Randy Moyer working with us Exclusively. Randy is one of the top running back reporters in the FF community and we are very glad to have him as part of our team. I wanted to give you a sneak peak into what he provides to our site on a weekly basis. Check it out.

Week 3 Running Back projections
Player  Rush Yds.  Rec. Yds.  TD  Opp 
Edgerrin James  143  39  @ NE 
Jamal Anderson  117  21  @ Ari 
Stephen Davis  110  21  KC 
Ahman Green  107  26  @ Car 
Tyrone Wheatley  102  12  Sea 
Ricky Williams  97  21  @ NYG 
Warrick Dunn  94  24  @ Min 
Curtis Martin  92  19  SF (MNF) 
Stacey Mack  91  19  Cle  
Lamar Smith  88  30  @ StL 
Correll Buckhalter  86  19  Dal 
James Jackson  84  26  @ Jax 
Ricky Watters  83  12  @ Oak 
Marshall Faulk  82  64  Mia 
Corey Dillon  81  @ SD 
Priest Holmes  80  11  @ Was 
Kevan Barlow  78  @ NYJ 
L. Tomlinson  77  19  Cin 
Travis Henry  74  Pit 
Emmit Smith  73  @ Phi 
Jerome Bettis  67  @ Buf 
Tiki Barber  65  46  NO 
Mike Anderson  62  18  Bal 
Nick Goings  59  16  GB  
Michael Bennett  57  23  TB 
Thomas Jones  56  Atl  
Terry Allen  46  11  @ Den 
Olandis Gary  45  Bal 
Charlie Garner  45  37  Sea  
Ron Dayne  44  NO 
Garrison Hearst  38  13  @ NYJ  
Michael Pittman  34  27  Atl  
Terry Jackson  19  @ NYJ 
J.R. Redmond  19  23  Ind 
Dorsey Levens  19  @ Caro 
Amos Zereoue  18  @ Buf  
Shaun Alexander  12  @ Oak 
Tim Biakabutuka  11  GB  
Richard Huntley  11  GB 
Jamel White  16  @ Jax 
Jason Brookins  @ Den 
Terrell Davis  Bal 
Fred Taylor  Cle 
Duece McCallister  @ NYG 
Duce Staley  Dal  
Eddie George  BYE  BYE  BYE  BYE  
James Stewart  BYE  BYE  BYE  BYE 
James Allen  BYE  BYE  BYE  BYE  
 

Catching on

Through Week 2, some surprises still remain atop the top 25 WR list. As the trend continues you notice that some of these guys were probably on your waiver wire after week 1 of the NFL season. Here is a synopsis using Fantasy League Manager (FLM) Software. Players are sorted by Average Fantasy Points Per Game:

Top 20 Wide Receivers
Player  Num
Rec 
Rec
Yds 
Rec
TDs 
FFL
Pts 
Avg
PPG 
Rod Smith  23  277  48.1  24.0 
Jerome Pathon  17  261  38.1  19.0 
Marvin Harrison  11  181  36.1  18.0 
Jimmy Smith  15  213  33.3  16.6 
Marcus Robinson  99  15.9  15.9 
James Thrash  11  176  30.5  15.2 
Albert Connell  89  14.9  14.9 
Isaac Bruce  12  233  29.3  14.6 
David Boston  145  14.5  14.5 
Bill Schroeder  145  27.1  13.5 
Johnnie Morton  11  211  27.1  13.5 
Muhsin Muhammad  14  201  26.1  13.0 
Amani Toomer  10  129  24.9  12.4 
Troy Brown  12  188  24.8  12.4 
Tim Brown  11  153  21.7  10.8 
Marty Booker  18  144  20.8  10.4 
Peerless Price  88  20.7  10.3 
Oronde Gadsden  144  20.4  10.2 
Tim Dwight  119  19.5  9.75 
Jeff Graham  94  9.4  9.40 
 

Couple things to watch:

Troy Brown, Patriots: He was putting up some solid numbers early on. The loss of Drew Bledsoe will really hurt this guy and I don't expect him to keep putting up anywhere near the numbers he has been without Drew in the lineup.

James Thrash, Eagles: How many of you had this guy on your bench in Week 2 because of his horrific performance in Week 1? That is what I thought. Watch this situation closely. I'm not ready to call him a must start, but another game like that one and there will be no doubt.

Rod Smith, Broncos: Something tells me this is about to change. He can't be that open every week when he is the only "true" weapon they have.

Johnnie Morton, Lions: Putting up some very solid numbers despite an awful QB situation in Detroit. Could have a breakout season.

Marcus Robinson, Bears: Where have you been the last 16 months? Looks fully recovered from a back injury and could work some magic in Chi-Town. A great player that needs to stay healthy to be a dominant Fantasy Football contributor.

Wide Receivers: Start 'em

1. Marvin Harrison: He will USE Ty Law this weekend.
2. David Boston: He sure did look good against a GREAT Broncos team.
3. Jimmy Smith: Could have similar numbers to those of Week 1.
4. Keyshawn Johnson: I like his matchup this week. Could dominate the Vikes secondary.
5. Jerome Pathon: They are going to score A LOT of points in Indy this week.
6. Tim Brown: Who is worse: The Patriots or The Seahawks?
7. Cris Carter: Has to prove he is the leader of this team.
8. Randy Moss: Has to prove he can run routes!!!
9. Antonio Freeman: Looks like he has chemistry with the Favre once again.
10. Terrell Owens: He is a Monday Night-type guy!
11. Eric Moulds: Will he finally wake up this week?
12. Amani Toomer: They may be playing catch-up in this one.
13. Bill Schroeder: I like that slant pattern they are running with him.
14. Rod Smith: I would start him, but don't expect a lot out of him.
15. Oronde Gadsden: Fiedler seems to look for him early and often.

Wide Receivers: Sit 'em

1. Derrick Alexander: He will play. He won't play. Make up your mind.
2. Darrell Jackson: Hasn't done anything yet and won't against Woodson.
3. Tony Martin: Out 2-4 weeks according to published reports.
4. Joey Galloway: No chance vs. the Eagles.
5. Rams WRs: I believe this will be the Marshall Faulk dump-off show!

Special report

I have decided to replace the Tight End section of the report with a special INSANEX Update Report. For those of you that don't know INSANEX is the Insane Experts League that is hosted by fantasyasylum.com. It features some of the top names in the FF community including James Quintong of CNNSI.com.

INSANEX Update
Team  Owner  Record  Points 
Fantasy Asylum  Ryan "The Warden" Houston  2-0  202  
CNN/SI  James Quintong  1-1  182  
Trade Rumors  Shawn Bryant  1-1  179  
Wild Card Sports  Brian Kerklau  1-1  172  
FanEx Football  Terry Cannon  2-0  169  
Prognosticator  Tony Holm  0-2  166  
Komments.com  Greg Kellog  1-1  163  
The Winning Formula  Dave Cooper  1-1  154  
Footballguys  Clayton Gray  1-1  153  
Jackpot Sports  Mark Bond  0-2  124  
 

Thus far, James and I are leading the pack in terms of points scored. Brian Griese, Marshall Faulk and Rod Smith are carrying the Asylum Team, while James is riding the wave of Daunte Culpepper, Lamar Smith and Jimmy Smith.

For all the details check out the INSANEXpage on FantasyAsylum.com.

'Til next week ... may the ball bounce to those that deserve it most!

Ryan Houston is the co-owner of FantasyAsylum.com. His column "The Warden Report" can be found there along with other great tools to help increase your Fantasy Football knowledge. Follow The Warden and James Quintong of CNNSI.com as they do battle in INSANEX - The Insane Experts League only on FantasyAsylum.com. The Fantasy Football Institute for Insane Fans! Get Committed ... To Winning!


 
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