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Fantasy Player Projections

 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arrowhead Stadium | Sunday, November 02 | 1:00 p.m. EST (Fox)
Pick: Buccaneers 20, Chiefs 10
Kansas City Chiefs
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBJeff Garcia
195 pass yards, 1 pass TD, 1 INT
Just when you're starting to feel kind of good about Jeff Garcia, he faces a reeling Dallas defense and looks like a skittish high school girl on prom night. He threw 43 times last week but only amassed 227 yards and 0 TDs and looked jumpy and uncertain of himself in the pocket. The Chiefs are pretty horrible defensively (207.9 passing yards a game) but this looks like a game the Bucs will win by dominating on the ground. That makes Garcia little more than an OK starter in very large leagues this week.
RBEarnest Graham
3 rec, 20 rec yards, 120 rush yards, 1 rush TD
Graham continues to see some action at fullback and his fantasy value is suffering as a result. He rushed for only 42 yards last week though he did catch four passes. The good news is he faces an absolutely awful Kansas City run defense that gives up a league-worst 196.9 yards a game. Look for Graham to get 20+ carries and destroy this horrible defense.
RBWarrick Dunn
3 rec, 25 rec yards, 45 rush yards
Dunn's playing time was limited last week due to a neck injury. If he practices without restrictions this week he makes for a fine RB3 in larger leagues. But if he's hobbling, the Bucs may decide to pound away with Graham and not risk further injuring Dunn (who, by the way, could be facing a league suspension in a few weeks). Watch the practice reports closely before committing to Dunn this week.
WRAntonio Bryant
5 rec, 55 yards, 1 TD
Bryant remains the No. 1 WR for the Bucs but that doesn't have extreme value given Garcia's inconsistent nature. The Chiefs will give up plays in the secondary, however, so Bryant has a good chance to find the end zone this week. He's been a productive fantasy option most weeks and is looking like a solid WR2 in this one.
WRJoey Galloway
3 rec, 40 yards
Galloway played for the first time since Week 2 last week against Dallas and caught three passes for 38 yards. He's lost the go-to role in the passing game to Antonio Bryant and this offense doesn't generate enough passing production for two viable fantasy starters. Galloway is always a threat to strike for a big play, but it's too risky hoping that will occur so look elsewhere for a starting WR this week.
TEJerramy Stevens
3 rec, 30 yards
Stevens is inching his way toward being the No. 1 TE for the Bucs. He's caught nine passes the past three games and looks to be on the same page with Garcia. He's just a so-so fantasy starter, though, so don't expect much if you have to use him this week.
KMatt Bryant
2 PATs, 2 FGs
Bryant continues to deliver for his fantasy owners. He provided all of Tampa Bay's scoring last week with three FGs and he's 17 of 20 FG attempts this season. The Bucs will control this game and give Bryant 2-3 FG chances this week. He's a good starter if you need him.
Defense
3 sacks, 2 INT
The Bucs rank second in the league in points allowed per game (15) and are fifth in total defense. They face rookie QB Tyler Thigpen, who shredded the Jets on the road in Week 8. The Bucs bring a stronger defensive mindset to the field than the Jets do, however. So Thigpen will have his hands full. The Bucs will apply plenty of pressure, so look for some sacks and at least one takeaway, making them a fine starting option this week.
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBTyler Thigpen
205 pass yards, 1 pass TD, 2 INT
Just when you think you've kind of got this fantasy football thing figured out, along comes somebody named Tyler Thigpen. All Thigpen did was toast the Jets last week for 280 yards passing and a TD and almost beat Brett Favre on his home field. The Bucs rank seventh in the league in pass defense, though, so look for Thigpen to come crashing back to earth this week. Hard. Don't chase last week's stats and don't start Thigpen if you can help it.
RBKolby Smith
2 rec, 10 rec yards, 30 rush yards
With Larry Johnson expected to miss another game due to his suspension, Smith will make his third straight start. He's been miserable so far, rushing for only 35 yards on 21 attempts. The Bucs give up only 88.9 rushing yards a game so Smith is in for another long afternoon. He's a poor fantasy option again this week.
WRDwayne Bowe
6 rec, 75 yards
Bowe is one of the few good things the Chiefs have offensively. He's having a fine season as he's caught 40 passes for 512 yards and two TDs. He has topped 55 yards receiving in every game but two so expect him to deliver his usual brand of production this week. If you've been starting him, there's no reason to sit him now.
WRDevard Darling
2 rec, 15 yards
The Chiefs' No. 2 WR has been a black hole for fantasy owners this season. That isn't going to change this week.
TETony Gonzalez
5 rec, 60 yards
Gonzalez has been playing lights out since his trade demand failed to materialize. He has caught six passes in each of the past two games and scored last week against the Jets. He remains one of the game's premier TEs and a Must Start at the position in all leagues. He'll be productive again this week.
KConnor Barth
1 PAT, 1 FG
 
Defense
1 sack, 1 INT
The Chiefs are a mess defensively under Herm Edwards. They are horrible against the run and lack big-play talent in the secondary. The Bucs will own this game, rendering the Chiefs a useless fantasy option once again this week.
 
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