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Fantasy Player Projections

 
New England Patriots
Dolphins Stadium | Sunday, November 23 | 1:00 p.m. EST (CBS)
Pick: Patriots 24, Dolphins 20
Miami Dolphins
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBMatt Cassel
230 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 1 INT
Cassel was just starting his second game the last time these two teams met and in that game he was extremely conservative, completing 19-of-31 passes for one TD and an interception. Now the coaches have more faith in him and last week against the Jets he set career bests by completing 30-of-51 passes for 400 yards and three TDs, while rushing eight times for 62 yards. He was a fantasy monster last week, but duplicating that performance on the road will be much, much tougher.
RBSammy Morris
60 rush yards, 1 rush TD
Morris returned from his knee injury last week, but was limited to five carries for 14 yards. He believes he will be ready to start this week and is a worthy fantasy play if he does get the starting nod. The Dolphins have a Top 10 rushing defense, so nothing will come easily, but a healthy Sammy Morris will balance out this attack.
RBBen Jarvis Green-Ellis
30 rush yards
After rushing for 105 yards in Week 10, Green-Ellis was limited to just nine yards on two carries against the Jets. The Patriots totally abandoned the run and threw 51 times in that game. Now that Morris is back from his knee injury, Green-Ellis is a very risky fantasy play. Keep him on your bench for this week if Morris starts because he just won't get enough touches to get the job done.
WRRandy Moss
5 rec, 70 yards, 1 TD
Moss had a bad night last week against the Jets until he tied the game with a spectacular TD catch to tie the game with one second left in regulation. The Pats eventually loss and Moss was unable to improve upon his three catches for 26 yards, but the catch was another example of why this guy is a Hall of Famer. Moss had just four catches for 25 yards in the Week 3 matchup, but he will post better numbers this second time around.
WRWes Welker
7 rec, 70 yards
Welker had his second straight 100-yard game last week vs. the Jets as he finished with seven catches for 108 yards. He now has 72 catches for 718 yards on the season and he's had at least six catches in every game. He's a solid play in Point Per Reception leagues and he will improve on his totals from this Week 3 matchup (6 catches, 55 yards) in this rematch.
WRJabar Gaffney
4 rec, 40 yards
Gaffney finally looked like a capable receiver last week against the Jets as he finished with a season-high seven catches for 86 yards and a TD. The score was his second of the year as he also caught a TD pass in the Week 3 game vs. Miami, snaring six passes for 51 yards in that game. He's still not consistent enough to start in fantasy football, but you have to like the progress he's made.
TEBenjamin Watson
3 rec, 30 yards, 1 TD
Watson had just 11 catches for 91 yards entering last week's game against the Jets, but he almost doubled those numbers as he caught eight passes for 88 yards and his first TD of the season. Watson was an impossible matchup for the Jets, but it remains to be seen if he can do it again this week in Miami. During the first matchup with the Dolphins, Watson was held to just one catch for six yards, so be careful. But expect better numbers as the Pats seem to be clicking behind Cassel.
KStephen Gostkowski
2 PATs, 1 FG
Gostkowski was perfect on all three FG attempts last week and is now 24-of-26 on FG attempts, while scoring 91 points through 10 games.
Defense
2 sacks, 1 INT
The Pats' defense couldn't stop Brett Favre last week and it certainly couldn't stop the Wildcat offense in the 38-10 loss to Miami in Week 3. This aging defense will need to force turnovers to upset the Dolphins in South Florida.
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBChad Pennington
190 pass yards, 1 pass TD, 1 INT
The Dolphins have won four games in a row, but during that streak Pennington has thrown only two TD passes. He didn't throw any in last week's 17-15 win over Oakland even though he threw for 174 yards, and he didn't throw any in the Week 3 38-10 win over New England, although he did throw for 226 yards. Look for Pennington to manage the game again, but keep him on your bench as that won't result in good fantasy stats.
RBRonnie Brown
2 rec, 15 rec yards, 75 rush yards, 1 rush TD
The Dolphins unveiled the "Wildcat" formation in Week 3 at New England and it was a HUGE success as Brown ran for 113 yards and four TDs and even threw a TD pass. Brown compiled his third 100-yard game last week vs. Oakland as he ran for 101 yards on 16 carries. The Wildcat offense won't have the same success this week, but Brown is still a worthy play as the lead back in Miami.
RBRicky Williams
2 rec, 20 rec yards, 40 rush yards
Williams also had success against the Patriots in that Week 3 breakout game as he rushed for 98 yards on 16 carries. For the most part he's been a fantasy bust since then, topping 100 yards just once with three TDs. He rushed for 49 yards on 13 carries last week vs. Oakland, but won't top that this week.
WRTed Ginn Jr.
4 rec, 55 yards
Ginn Jr. almost topped 100 yards for the second time this year as he had four catches for 51 yards vs. Oakland and added 42 yards on two carries. In the Week 3 win at New England, he finished with five catches for 49 yards. He's still too inconsistent to start each week, but his speed is tantalizing.
WRGreg Camarillo
4 rec, 45 yards
After a strong stretch, Camarillo has been quiet the last two games, catching a total of just six passes for 55 yards. He was held in check this past week against Oakland with just two catches for 34 yards. He's a solid possession receiver for the Dolphins, but he doesn't produce enough to start each week in fantasy football. Leave him on your bench.
WRDavone Bess
2 rec, 20 yards
Bess had his best game of the season last week vs. Oakland as he caught three passes for 50 yards. But no No. 3 wideout on this team is fantasy worthy.
TEAnthony Fasano
2 rec, 25 yards
Fasano had three catches for 66 yards and a TD in the Week 3 win at New England, but he's been a non-factor since then. He failed to catch a pass last week vs. Oakland as David Martin had the lone catch from the tight ends. Sit Fasano again.
KDan Carpenter
2 PATs, 2 FGs
Carpenter kicked a 38-yard field with 38 seconds left last week to led the Dolphins to the 17-15 win over Oakland. But with 63 points in 10 games, he's still not fantasy worthy.
Defense
2 sacks, 1 INT
The Dolphins collected six sacks last week vs. Oakland, but overall this has not be a solid fantasy defense. Don't expect too much from them this week unless they can pressure Cassel into mistakes.
 
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